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2 – 1
Final score
#3 · 0 pts
J. Ortiz (ast. F. Chaverra) 84'
J. Ortiz (ast. D. Catano) 89'
25' (ast. J. Lucumi) Y. Guzman
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 43% win probability (draw 29%, America de Cali 26%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 2–1 America de Cali.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
1.39
Actual xG
0.51
1
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
6
5
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
25'
ast. J. Lucumi · Y. Guzman
K. Mantilla / J. Ortiz
36'
H. Loboa / E. Larrosa
46'
47'
Rafael Carrascal
Hayen Palacios
60'
H. Palacios / D. Catano
61'
64'
J. Palacios / D. Machis
64'
Y. Garces / D. Valencia
76'
Josen Escobar
78'
Marlon Torres
D. Moreno / Yony Gonzalez
84'
L. Chaverra / E. Mena Perea
84'
J. Ortiz · ast. F. Chaverra
84'
85'
D. Mina / O. Bertel
85'
J. Romero / J. Lucumi
J. Ortiz · ast. D. Catano
89'
90'+3
A. Ramos / J. Escobar
Pre-match prediction
43.64%
Independiente ←
29.91%
X
26.44%
America
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin) 43.64% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independiente
1.62
1.39
-0.23
America
0.96
0.51
-0.45
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Chico Chico 0 0
2 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0 0
3 America de Cali America de Cali 0 0
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0 0
5 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 0 0
6 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0 0
7 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0 0
8 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 0 0
9 Cucuta Cucuta 0 0
10 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0 0
11 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0 0
12 Junior Junior 0 0
13 Millonarios Millonarios 0 0
14 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0 0
15 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0 0
16 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 0 0
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 0 0
18 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 0 0
19 Llaneros Llaneros 0 0
20 Jaguares Jaguares 0 0
Lineups
1
G 6.50
33 Daniel Londoño Daniel Londoño D 7.20
4
K. Mantilla 36' D 6.30
2 Léyser Chaverra Léyser Chaverra 84' D 6.70
18 F. Fabra F. Fabra M 6.90
31
D. Moreno 84' M 6.50
16 Halam Loboa Halam Loboa 45' M 6.90
14 Baldomero Perlaza Baldomero Perlaza M 7.00
30 Hayen Palacios Hayen Palacios 61' M 5.90
20 John Edwin Montaño John Edwin Montaño F 6.50
13 F. Chaverra F. Chaverra 1 👟 F 7.70
Bench
10 Daniel Cataño Daniel Cataño 1 👟 29' M 7.00
25 Eder Chaux Eder Chaux G
9
E. Larrosa 45' F 6.30
26 Esneyder Mena Esneyder Mena 14' M 6.70
24 José Ortiz José Ortiz 2 ⚽ 54' M 9.60
5 Luis Escorcia Luis Escorcia D
11 Y. González Y. González 14' F 6.50
1 Jean Fernandes Jean Fernandes G 6.20
30 Omar Bertel Omar Bertel 85' D 7.00
4 Andrés Mosquera Andrés Mosquera D 7.20
2 M. Torres M. Torres D 6.30
13 Mateo Castillo Márquez Mateo Castillo Márquez D 6.50
11 D. Machís D. Machís 64' M 6.70
5 J. Escobar J. Escobar 89' M 6.20
15 R. Carrascal R. Carrascal M 6.90
17 J. Lucumí J. Lucumí 1 👟 85' M 6.90
9 Daniel Valencia Daniel Valencia 64' F 6.60
10 Yeison Guzmán Yeison Guzmán 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
20 Adrián Ramos Adrián Ramos 1' F
3 Dany Rosero Dany Rosero D
25 Joel Romero Joel Romero 13' M 6.50
12 Jorge Soto Jorge Soto G
6 José Cavadia José Cavadia M
21 T. Ángel T. Ángel F
19 Tilman Palacios Tilman Palacios 26' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
José Ortiz
José Ortiz
M · Independiente
9.60
2 ⚽
3 shots · 39 pass
Yeison Guzmán
Yeison Guzmán
F · America
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 35 pass
F. Chaverra
F. Chaverra
F · Independiente
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 33 pass
Daniel Londoño
Daniel Londoño
D · Independiente
7.20
· 59 pass
Andrés Mosquera
Andrés Mosquera
D · America
7.20
· 52 pass
Daniel Cataño
Daniel Cataño
M · Independiente
7.00
1 👟
2 shots · 19 pass
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 25 16%
Daniel Londoño D 90 7.20 59 54%
K. Mantilla D 36 6.30 15 12%
Léyser Chaverra D 84 6.70 45 34% 1
F. Fabra M 90 6.90 1 28 24% 1
D. Moreno M 84 6.50 1 27 25%
Halam Loboa M 45 6.90 17 16%
Baldomero Perlaza M 90 7.00 25 23% 2
Hayen Palacios M 61 5.90 2 8 6% 1
John Edwin Montaño F 90 6.50 1 18 13%
F. Chaverra F 90 7.70 1 2 33 28%
Daniel Cataño M 29 7.00 1 2 19 15%
E. Larrosa F 45 6.30 1 6 4%
Esneyder Mena M 14 6.70 5 4%
José Ortiz M 54 9.60 2 3 39 33% 1
Y. González F 14 6.50 4 4%
America de Cali America de Cali — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Jean Fernandes G 90 6.20 26 17%
Omar Bertel D 85 7.00 40 33% 2
Andrés Mosquera D 90 7.20 52 47% 1
M. Torres D 90 6.30 33 27% 1
Mateo Castillo Márquez D 90 6.50 1 23 17% 4
D. Machís M 64 6.70 1 21 20%
J. Escobar M 89 6.20 37 32% 1
R. Carrascal M 90 6.90 55 50% 1 1
J. Lucumí M 85 6.90 1 14 12% 1
Daniel Valencia F 64 6.60 1 10 7%
Yeison Guzmán F 90 8.20 1 2 35 31%
Adrián Ramos F 1
Joel Romero M 13 6.50 3 2%
Tilman Palacios F 26 6.30 1 8 8% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 2–1 America de Cali.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 29% to a draw, and 26% to an America de Cali win.