J. Ortiz
(ast. F. Chaverra)
84'
J. Ortiz
(ast. D. Catano)
89'
25'
(ast. J. Lucumi)
Y. Guzman
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 43% win probability (draw 29%, America de Cali 26%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 2–1 America de Cali.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
1.39
Actual xG
0.51
1
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
6
5
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
25'
ast. J. Lucumi ·
Y. Guzman⚽
K. Mantilla
/ J. Ortiz
36'
H. Loboa
/ E. Larrosa
46'
47'
Rafael Carrascal
Hayen Palacios
60'
H. Palacios
/ D. Catano
61'
64'
J. Palacios
/
D. Machis
64'
Y. Garces
/
D. Valencia
76'
Josen Escobar
78'
Marlon Torres
D. Moreno
/ Yony Gonzalez
84'
L. Chaverra
/ E. Mena Perea
84'
⚽J. Ortiz
· ast. F. Chaverra
84'
85'
D. Mina
/
O. Bertel
85'
J. Romero
/
J. Lucumi
⚽J. Ortiz
· ast. D. Catano
89'
90'+3
A. Ramos
/
J. Escobar
Pre-match prediction
43.64%
Independiente ←
29.91%
X
26.44%
America
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin)
43.64%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.62
1.39
-0.23
0.96
0.51
-0.45
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
33
D. Londoño
D
D. Londoño
D
4
K. Mantilla
36'
D
K. Mantilla
36'
D
2
L. Chaverra
84'
D
L. Chaverra
84'
D
18
F. Fabra
M
F. Fabra
M
31
D. Moreno
84'
M
D. Moreno
84'
M
16
H. Loboa
45'
M
H. Loboa
45'
M
14
B. Perlaza
M
B. Perlaza
M
30
H. Palacios
61'
M
H. Palacios
61'
M
20
J. Montaño
F
J. Montaño
F
13
F. Chaverra
1 👟
F
F. Chaverra
1 👟
F
Bench
10
D. Cataño
1 👟
29'
M
D. Cataño
1 👟
29'
M
25
E. Chaux
G
E. Chaux
G
9
E. Larrosa
45'
F
26
E. Mena
14'
M
E. Mena
14'
M
24
J. Ortiz
2 ⚽
54'
M
J. Ortiz
2 ⚽
54'
M
5
L. Escorcia
D
L. Escorcia
D
11
Y. González
14'
F
Y. González
14'
F
1
Jean
G
Jean
G
30
O. Bertel
85'
D
O. Bertel
85'
D
4
A. Mosquera
D
A. Mosquera
D
2
M. Torres
D
M. Torres
D
13
M. Castillo
D
M. Castillo
D
11
D. Machís
64'
M
D. Machís
64'
M
5
J. Escobar
89'
M
J. Escobar
89'
M
15
R. Carrascal
M
R. Carrascal
M
17
J. Lucumí
1 👟
85'
M
J. Lucumí
1 👟
85'
M
9
J. Valencia
64'
F
J. Valencia
64'
F
10
Yeison Guzmán
1 ⚽
F
Yeison Guzmán
1 ⚽
F
Bench
20
Adrián Ramos
1'
F
Adrián Ramos
1'
F
3
D. Rosero
D
D. Rosero
D
25
Joel Romero
13'
M
6
José Cavadia
M
José Cavadia
M
12
J. Soto
G
J. Soto
G
21
T. Ángel
F
T. Ángel
F
19
T. Palacios
26'
F
T. Palacios
26'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Ortiz
M · Independiente
9.60
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 39 pass
Yeison Guzmán
F · America
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 35 pass
F. Chaverra
F · Independiente
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 33 pass
D. Londoño
D · Independiente
7.20
· 59 pass
A. Mosquera
D · America
7.20
· 52 pass
D. Cataño
M · Independiente
7.00
1 👟
2 shots
· 19 pass
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| D. Londoño | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 54% | — | — | — |
| K. Mantilla | D | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| L. Chaverra | D | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Fabra | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Moreno | M | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| H. Loboa | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| B. Perlaza | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Palacios | M | 61 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Montaño | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| F. Chaverra | F | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| D. Cataño | M | 29 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| E. Larrosa | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| E. Mena | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Ortiz | M | 54 | 9.60 | 2 | — | 3 | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. González | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
America de Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| O. Bertel | D | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Mosquera | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Torres | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Castillo | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Machís | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Escobar | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Carrascal | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Lucumí | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Valencia | F | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Yeison Guzmán | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Adrián Ramos | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joel Romero | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Palacios | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 2–1 America de Cali.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 29% to a draw, and 26% to an America de Cali win.