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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 10 April 23, 2026 01:20
Independiente Medellin
#11 · 26 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Chico
#18 · 17 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Independiente Medellin
A. Aedo 23' (og)
F. Fydriszewski (ast. F. Fabra) 31'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 65% win probability (draw 23%, Chico 10%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 2–0 Chico.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
2
4
Shots on target
2
1.14
Actual xG
0.41
2
Saves
3
69%
Possession
31%
3
Corners
3
7
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
L. Escorcia
9'
⚽A. Aedo (og)
23'
30'
A. Saldana / D. Ruiz ↕
⚽F. Fydriszewski · ast. F. Fabra
31'
34'
J. Palma
D. Londono
41'
46'
O. Caicedo / D. A. Ramirez Raigosa ↕
↕ L. Escorcia / L. Chaverra
46'
50'
A. Banguero
F. Chaverra
59'
↕ F. Chaverra / J. Montano
68'
↕ D. Catano / H. Palacios
84'
↕ Yony Gonzalez / B. Perlaza
84'
↕ F. Fydriszewski / N. Segura
89'
Pre-match prediction
65.53%
Independiente ←
23.95%
X
10.52%
Chico
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin) 65.53% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independiente
1.78
1.14
-0.64
Chico
0.49
0.41
-0.08
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (1.14 vs 0.41). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Lineups
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 4-4-2
25
E. Chaux G 6.90
18 F. Fabra F. Fabra 1 👟 D 9.00
33
D. Londono D 7.50
5
L. Escorcia 45' D 6.70
26
E. Mena Perea D 7.90
11
Yony Gonzalez 84' M 6.90
8
A. Serna M 8.30
16
H. Loboa M 7.30
13
F. Chaverra 68' M 6.90
19 F. Fydriszewski F. Fydriszewski 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.50
10
D. Catano 84' F 7.50
Bench
14
B. Perlaza 11' M 6.70
31
D. Moreno M
30 H. Palacios H. Palacios 11' D 6.60
20
J. Montano 22' F 6.70
2
L. Chaverra 45' D 7.20
Chico Chico 4-4-2
23
G 6.60
3
J. Quiceno D 6.30
24 A. Banguero A. Banguero D 6.60
6
A. Aedo 1 ⚽ D 5.70
29
D. Ruiz 30' D 6.20
16
Santiago Mera M 6.30
28
J. Diaz M 7.20
8
Sebastian Salazar M 6.20
11
D. A. Ramirez Raigosa 45' M 6.90
25
J. Palma F 7.30
9 J. Molina J. Molina F 7.30
Bench
2
A. Saldana 60' D 6.00
7
I. Montano F
17
Oscar Caicedo 45' M 6.20
13
Y. Martinez M
Best on the pitch
F. Fabra
F. Fabra
D · Independiente
9.00
1 👟
2 shots · 55 pass
A. Serna
M · Independiente
8.30
· 82 pass
E. Mena Perea
D · Independiente
7.90
· 47 pass
D. Londono
D · Independiente
7.50
· 66 pass
F. Fydriszewski
F. Fydriszewski
F · Independiente
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
D. Catano
F · Independiente
7.50
1 shots · 70 pass
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Chaux G 90 6.90 — — — 17 13% — — —
F. Fabra D 90 9.00 — 1 2 55 45% 1 — —
D. Londono D 90 7.50 — — — 66 61% — 1 —
L. Escorcia D 45 6.70 — — — 25 21% — 1 —
E. Mena Perea D 90 7.90 — — — 47 45% 4 — —
Yony Gonzalez M 84 6.90 — — 2 27 21% — — —
A. Serna M 90 8.30 — — — 82 75% — — —
H. Loboa M 90 7.30 — — — 70 67% 1 — —
F. Chaverra M 68 6.90 — — — 27 24% — 1 —
F. Fydriszewski F 89 7.50 1 — 3 14 10% — — —
D. Catano F 84 7.50 — — 1 70 63% 1 — —
B. Perlaza M 11 6.70 — — — 7 6% — — —
H. Palacios D 11 6.60 — — 1 5 4% — — —
J. Montano F 22 6.70 — — — 12 11% — — —
L. Chaverra D 45 7.20 — — — 26 24% — — —
Chico Chico — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 27 9% — — —
J. Quiceno D 90 6.30 — — 1 35 29% — — —
A. Banguero D 90 6.60 — — — 24 19% 2 1 —
A. Aedo D 90 5.70 1 — — 10 7% — — —
D. Ruiz D 30 6.20 — — — 6 5% — — —
Santiago Mera M 90 6.30 — — — 17 14% 2 — —
J. Diaz M 90 7.20 — — — 47 41% 1 — —
Sebastian Salazar M 90 6.20 — — — 18 17% — — —
D. A. Ramirez Raigosa M 45 6.90 — — — 15 11% 1 — —
J. Palma F 90 7.30 — — — 31 23% — 1 —
J. Molina F 90 7.30 — — 1 7 5% — — —
A. Saldana D 60 6.00 — — — 11 9% — — —
Oscar Caicedo M 45 6.20 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Chico?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 2–0 Chico.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Chico?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 23% to a draw, and 10% to an Chico win.