Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 10 April 23, 2026 01:20 Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin

Independiente Medellin

#4 · 9 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Chico

#15 · 8 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Independiente Medellin

A. Aedo 23' (og)

F. Fydriszewski (ast. F. Fabra) 31'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 65% win probability (draw 23%, Chico 10%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 2–0 Chico. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Medellin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chico.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

2

4

Shots on target

2

1.14

Actual xG

0.41

2

Saves

3

69%

Possession

31%

3

Corners

3

7

Tackles

7

3

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

L. Escorcia

9'

⚽A. Aedo (og)

23'

30'

A. Saldana / D. Ruiz ↕

⚽F. Fydriszewski · ast. F. Fabra

31'

34'

J. Palma

D. Londono

41'

46'

O. Caicedo / D. A. Ramirez Raigosa ↕

↕ L. Escorcia / L. Chaverra

46'

50'

A. Banguero

F. Chaverra

59'

↕ F. Chaverra / J. Montano

68'

↕ D. Catano / H. Palacios

84'

↕ Yony Gonzalez / B. Perlaza

84'

↕ F. Fydriszewski / N. Segura

89'

Pre-match prediction

65.53%

Independiente ←

23.95%

X

10.52%

Chico

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin) 65.53% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Independiente

1.78

1.14

-0.64

Chico

0.49

0.41

-0.08

Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (1.14 vs 0.41). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	America de Cali	5	13
2	Llaneros	5	11
3	Deportes Tolima	5	10
4	Independiente Medellin	4	9
5	Bucaramanga	5	9
6	Águilas Doradas	4	8
7	Deportivo Cali	4	7
8	Millonarios	4	7
9	Once Caldas	5	6
10	Atletico Nacional	3	6
11	Santa Fe	4	5
12	Fortaleza FC	5	5
13	Internacional de Bogota	5	5
14	Cucuta	5	5
15	Jaguares	5	4
16	Deportivo Pereira	3	2
17	Alianza Valledupar	4	2
18	Junior	3	1
19	Deportivo Pasto	5	0
20	Chico	3	0

Lineups

Independiente Medellin 4-4-2

25 E. Chaux G 6.90

18 F. Fabra 1 👟 D 9.00

33 D. Londoño D 7.50

5 L. Escorcia 45' D 6.70

26 E. Mena D 7.90

11 Y. González 84' M 6.90

8 Alexis Serna M 8.30

16 H. Loboa M 7.30

13 F. Chaverra 68' M 6.90

19 F. Fydriszewski 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.50

10 Daniel Cataño 84' F 7.50

Bench

14 B. Perlaza 11' M 6.70

31 D. Moreno M

30 H. Palacios 11' D 6.60

20 J. Montaño 22' F 6.70

2 L. Chaverra 45' D 7.20

Chico 4-4-2

23

G 6.60

3 Juan Quiceno D 6.30

24 A. Banguero D 6.60

6

A. Aedo 1 ⚽ D 5.70

29

D. Ruiz 30' D 6.20

16 S. Mera M 6.30

28 J. Díaz M 7.20

8 S. Salazar M 6.20

11 Delio Ramírez 45' M 6.90

25 Sebastián Palma F 7.30

9 J. Molina F 7.30

Bench

2

A. Saldana 60' D 6.00

7 Italo Montaño Cortes F

17

Oscar Caicedo 45' M 6.20

13

Y. Martinez M

Best on the pitch

F. Fabra

D · Independiente

9.00

1 👟

2 shots · 55 pass

Alexis Serna

M · Independiente

8.30

· 82 pass

E. Mena

D · Independiente

7.90

· 47 pass

D. Londoño

D · Independiente

7.50

· 66 pass

F. Fydriszewski

F · Independiente

7.50

1 ⚽

3 shots · 14 pass

Daniel Cataño

F · Independiente

7.50

1 shots · 70 pass

Independiente Medellin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Chaux	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—
F. Fabra	D	90	9.00	—	1	2	55	45%	1	—	—
D. Londoño	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	66	61%	—	1	—
L. Escorcia	D	45	6.70	—	—	—	25	21%	—	1	—
E. Mena	D	90	7.90	—	—	—	47	45%	4	—	—
Y. González	M	84	6.90	—	—	2	27	21%	—	—	—
Alexis Serna	M	90	8.30	—	—	—	82	75%	—	—	—
H. Loboa	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	70	67%	1	—	—
F. Chaverra	M	68	6.90	—	—	—	27	24%	—	1	—
F. Fydriszewski	F	89	7.50	1	—	3	14	10%	—	—	—
Daniel Cataño	F	84	7.50	—	—	1	70	63%	1	—	—
B. Perlaza	M	11	6.70	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—
H. Palacios	D	11	6.60	—	—	1	5	4%	—	—	—
J. Montaño	F	22	6.70	—	—	—	12	11%	—	—	—
L. Chaverra	D	45	7.20	—	—	—	26	24%	—	—	—

Chico — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	27	9%	—	—	—
Juan Quiceno	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	35	29%	—	—	—
A. Banguero	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	24	19%	2	1	—
A. Aedo	D	90	5.70	1	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—
D. Ruiz	D	30	6.20	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
S. Mera	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	17	14%	2	—	—
J. Díaz	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	47	41%	1	—	—
S. Salazar	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	18	17%	—	—	—
Delio Ramírez	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	15	11%	1	—	—
Sebastián Palma	F	90	7.30	—	—	—	31	23%	—	1	—
J. Molina	F	90	7.30	—	—	1	7	5%	—	—	—
A. Saldana	D	60	6.00	—	—	—	11	9%	—	—	—
Oscar Caicedo	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	6	5%	1	—	—