✓Model correct — prediction Independiente Medellin
A. Aedo
23'
(og)
F. Fydriszewski
(ast. F. Fabra)
31'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 65% win probability (draw 23%, Chico 10%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 2–0 Chico.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
2
4
Shots on target
2
1.14
Actual xG
0.41
2
Saves
3
69%
Possession
31%
3
Corners
3
7
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
L. Escorcia
9'
⚽A. Aedo
(og)
23'
30'
A. Saldana
/
D. Ruiz
⚽F. Fydriszewski
· ast. F. Fabra
31'
34'
J. Palma
D. Londono
41'
46'
O. Caicedo
/
D. A. Ramirez Raigosa
L. Escorcia
/ L. Chaverra
46'
50'
A. Banguero
F. Chaverra
59'
F. Chaverra
/ J. Montano
68'
D. Catano
/ H. Palacios
84'
Yony Gonzalez
/ B. Perlaza
84'
F. Fydriszewski
/ N. Segura
89'
Pre-match prediction
65.53%
Independiente ←
23.95%
X
10.52%
Chico
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin)
65.53%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
1.14
-0.64
0.49
0.41
-0.08
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (1.14 vs 0.41).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Eder Chaux
G
Eder Chaux
G
18
F. Fabra
1 👟
D
F. Fabra
1 👟
D
33
D. Londoño
D
D. Londoño
D
5
Luis Escorcia
45'
D
Luis Escorcia
45'
D
26
Esneyder Mena
D
Esneyder Mena
D
11
Yony González
84'
M
Yony González
84'
M
8
Alexis Serna
M
Alexis Serna
M
16
Halam Loboa
M
Halam Loboa
M
13
Francisco Chaverra
68'
M
Francisco Chaverra
68'
M
19
F. Fydriszewski
1 ⚽
89'
F
F. Fydriszewski
1 ⚽
89'
F
10
Daniel Cataño
84'
F
Daniel Cataño
84'
F
Bench
14
Baldomero Perlaza
11'
M
Baldomero Perlaza
11'
M
31
Diego Moreno
M
Diego Moreno
M
30
Hayen Palacios
11'
D
Hayen Palacios
11'
D
20
John Edwin Montaño
22'
F
John Edwin Montaño
22'
F
2
Léyser Chaverra
45'
D
Léyser Chaverra
45'
D
23
G
3
J. Quiceno
D
24
A. Banguero
D
A. Banguero
D
6
A. Aedo
1 ⚽
D
29
D. Ruiz
30'
D
16
Santiago Mera
M
28
J. Diaz
M
8
Sebastian Salazar
M
11
D. A. Ramirez Raigosa
45'
M
25
J. Palma
F
9
Jairo Molina
F
Jairo Molina
F
Bench
2
A. Saldana
60'
D
7
Italo Montaño Cortes
F
17
Oscar Caicedo
45'
M
13
Y. Martinez
M
Best on the pitch
F. Fabra
D · Independiente
9.00
1 👟
2 shots
· 55 pass
Alexis Serna
M · Independiente
8.30
· 82 pass
Esneyder Mena
D · Independiente
7.90
· 47 pass
D. Londoño
D · Independiente
7.50
· 66 pass
F. Fydriszewski
F · Independiente
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
Daniel Cataño
F · Independiente
7.50
1 shots
· 70 pass
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eder Chaux | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| F. Fabra | D | 90 | 9.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 55 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Londoño | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 66 | 61% | — | 1 | — |
| Luis Escorcia | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Esneyder Mena | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Yony González | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Serna | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 82 | 75% | — | — | — |
| Halam Loboa | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Francisco Chaverra | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Fydriszewski | F | 89 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Cataño | F | 84 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Baldomero Perlaza | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Hayen Palacios | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| John Edwin Montaño | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Léyser Chaverra | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
Chico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| J. Quiceno | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| A. Banguero | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Aedo | D | 90 | 5.70 | 1 | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| D. Ruiz | D | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Mera | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Diaz | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastian Salazar | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D. A. Ramirez Raigosa | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Palma | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Jairo Molina | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Saldana | D | 60 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Oscar Caicedo | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Chico?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 2–0 Chico.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Chico?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 23% to a draw, and 10% to an Chico win.