Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 10 April 23, 2026 01:20 Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin

Independiente Medellin

#8 · 23 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Chico

#16 · 16 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Independiente Medellin

A. Aedo 23' (og)

F. Fydriszewski (ast. F. Fabra) 31'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 65% win probability (draw 23%, Chico 10%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 2–0 Chico. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Medellin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chico.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

2

4

Shots on target

2

1.14

Actual xG

0.41

2

Saves

3

69%

Possession

31%

3

Corners

3

7

Tackles

7

3

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

L. Escorcia

9'

⚽A. Aedo (og)

23'

30'

A. Saldana / D. Ruiz ↕

⚽F. Fydriszewski · ast. F. Fabra

31'

34'

J. Palma

D. Londono

41'

46'

O. Caicedo / D. A. Ramirez Raigosa ↕

↕ L. Escorcia / L. Chaverra

46'

50'

A. Banguero

F. Chaverra

59'

↕ F. Chaverra / J. Montano

68'

↕ D. Catano / H. Palacios

84'

↕ Yony Gonzalez / B. Perlaza

84'

↕ F. Fydriszewski / N. Segura

89'

Pre-match prediction

65.53%

Independiente ←

23.95%

X

10.52%

Chico

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin) 65.53% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Independiente

1.78

1.14

-0.64

Chico

0.49

0.41

-0.08

Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (1.14 vs 0.41). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	16	35
2	America de Cali	16	34
3	Deportivo Cali	16	30
4	Santa Fe	16	28
5	Millonarios	16	26
6	Bucaramanga	15	25
7	Once Caldas	17	24
8	Independiente Medellin	16	23
9	Águilas Doradas	16	22
10	Cucuta	16	21
11	Deportes Tolima	16	20
12	Internacional de Bogota	17	20
13	Alianza Valledupar	16	18
14	Llaneros	16	17
15	Junior	16	16
16	Chico	16	16
17	Deportivo Pereira	15	14
18	Jaguares	15	13
19	Fortaleza FC	16	12
20	Deportivo Pasto	15	12

Lineups

Independiente Medellin 4-4-2

25 Eder Chaux G 6.90

18 Frank Fabra 1 👟 D 9.00

33 Daniel Londoño D 7.50

5 Luis Escorcia 45' D 6.70

26 Esneyder Mena D 7.90

11 Yony González 84' M 6.90

8 Alexis Serna M 8.30

16 Halam Loboa M 7.30

13 F. Chaverra 68' M 6.90

19 F. Fydriszewski 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.50

10 Daniel Cataño 84' F 7.50

Bench

14 Baldomero Perlaza 11' M 6.70

31 Diego Moreno M

30 H. Palacios 11' D 6.60

20 John Edwin Montaño 22' F 6.70

2 Léyser Chaverra 45' D 7.20

Chico 4-4-2

23

G 6.60

3 Juan Quiceno D 6.30

24 A. Banguero D 6.60

6

A. Aedo 1 ⚽ D 5.70

29

D. Ruiz 30' D 6.20

16 Santiago Mera M 6.30

28 Juan Diaz M 7.20

8 Sebastian Salazar M 6.20

11 Delio Ramírez 45' M 6.90

25 Sebastián Palma F 7.30

9 J. Molina F 7.30

Bench

2

A. Saldana 60' D 6.00

7 Italo Montaño Cortes F

17

Oscar Caicedo 45' M 6.20

13

Y. Martinez M

Best on the pitch

Frank Fabra

D · Independiente

9.00

1 👟

2 shots · 55 pass

Alexis Serna

M · Independiente

8.30

· 82 pass

Esneyder Mena

D · Independiente

7.90

· 47 pass

Daniel Londoño

D · Independiente

7.50

· 66 pass

F. Fydriszewski

F · Independiente

7.50

1 ⚽

3 shots · 14 pass

Daniel Cataño

F · Independiente

7.50

1 shots · 70 pass

Independiente Medellin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Eder Chaux	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—
Frank Fabra	D	90	9.00	—	1	2	55	45%	1	—	—
Daniel Londoño	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	66	61%	—	1	—
Luis Escorcia	D	45	6.70	—	—	—	25	21%	—	1	—
Esneyder Mena	D	90	7.90	—	—	—	47	45%	4	—	—
Yony González	M	84	6.90	—	—	2	27	21%	—	—	—
Alexis Serna	M	90	8.30	—	—	—	82	75%	—	—	—
Halam Loboa	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	70	67%	1	—	—
F. Chaverra	M	68	6.90	—	—	—	27	24%	—	1	—
F. Fydriszewski	F	89	7.50	1	—	3	14	10%	—	—	—
Daniel Cataño	F	84	7.50	—	—	1	70	63%	1	—	—
Baldomero Perlaza	M	11	6.70	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—
H. Palacios	D	11	6.60	—	—	1	5	4%	—	—	—
John Edwin Montaño	F	22	6.70	—	—	—	12	11%	—	—	—
Léyser Chaverra	D	45	7.20	—	—	—	26	24%	—	—	—

Chico — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	27	9%	—	—	—
Juan Quiceno	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	35	29%	—	—	—
A. Banguero	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	24	19%	2	1	—
A. Aedo	D	90	5.70	1	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—
D. Ruiz	D	30	6.20	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
Santiago Mera	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	17	14%	2	—	—
Juan Diaz	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	47	41%	1	—	—
Sebastian Salazar	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	18	17%	—	—	—
Delio Ramírez	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	15	11%	1	—	—
Sebastián Palma	F	90	7.30	—	—	—	31	23%	—	1	—
J. Molina	F	90	7.30	—	—	1	7	5%	—	—	—
A. Saldana	D	60	6.00	—	—	—	11	9%	—	—	—
Oscar Caicedo	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	6	5%	1	—	—