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Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 3 May 01, 2026 04:00
Independiente Medellin
#3 · 4 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Cusco
#4 · 1 pts
F. Fydriszewski (ast. J. Montano) 87'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Cusco 24%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 1–0 Cusco.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
1
1.13
Actual xG
0.36
1
Saves
5
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
1
12
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
↕ D. Catano / D. Moreno
46'
56'
C. Diez / G. Carabajal ↕
63'
J. Zevallos
F. Chaverra
63'
↕ F. Chaverra / J. Montano
63'
↕ E. Mena Perea / H. Palacios
64'
↕ H. Loboa / B. Perlaza
70'
74'
P. Diaz
78'
J. Bolivar / J. Manzaneda ↕
H. Palacios
79'
⚽F. Fydriszewski · ast. J. Montano
87'
90'+1
I. Colman / D. Soto ↕
90'+1
J. Tevez / J. Zevallos ↕
↕ Yony Gonzalez / L. Chaverra
90'+1
F. Fabra
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
48.75%
Independiente ←
27.12%
X
24.13%
Cusco
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin) 48.75% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independiente
1.37
1.13
-0.24
Cusco
0.93
0.36
-0.57
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.36). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 4-4-1-1
25
E. Chaux G 6.90
18 F. Fabra F. Fabra D 6.60
33
D. Londono D 7.20
24
J. Ortiz D 7.20
26
E. Mena Perea 64' D 7.20
11
Yony Gonzalez M 6.90
8
A. Serna M 8.20
16
H. Loboa 70' M 7.20
13
F. Chaverra 63' M 6.90
10
D. Catano 45' F 6.90
19 F. Fydriszewski F. Fydriszewski 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
14
B. Perlaza 25' M 6.70
6
D. Moreno 50' M 6.60
31
D. Moreno M
30 H. Palacios H. Palacios 31' D 6.70
20
J. Montano 1 👟 32' F 7.20
2
L. Chaverra 4' D
5
L. Escorcia D
Cusco Cusco 4-4-1-1
28 Pedro Diaz Pedro Diaz G 6.70
21 José Zevallos José Zevallos D 6.60
6
D 6.90
8 Aldair Fuentes Aldair Fuentes D 6.90
24 Marlon Ruidías Marlon Ruidías D 7.00
7 José Miguel Manzaneda José Miguel Manzaneda 78' M 6.60
16 Oswaldo Valenzuela Oswaldo Valenzuela M 7.20
88 Diego Soto Diego Soto M 6.30
26 Nicolás Silva Nicolás Silva M 6.30
27 Gabriel Carabajal Gabriel Carabajal 56' F 6.60
9 Facundo Callejo Facundo Callejo F 6.20
Bench
14 Carlo Diez Carlo Diez 39' M 6.50
10 Iván Colman Iván Colman 4' M
32
J. Astudillo D
77 Joel Herrera Joel Herrera M
15 Jose Bolivar Jose Bolivar 17' D 6.50
11 Juan Tévez Juan Tévez 4' F
5
M. Aucca M
Best on the pitch
A. Serna
M · Independiente
8.20
· 72 pass
J. Montano
F · Independiente
7.20
1 👟
· 13 pass
Oswaldo Valenzuela
Oswaldo Valenzuela
M · Cusco
7.20
1 shots · 30 pass
D. Londono
D · Independiente
7.20
1 shots · 66 pass
J. Ortiz
D · Independiente
7.20
· 42 pass
E. Mena Perea
D · Independiente
7.20
· 33 pass
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Chaux G 95 6.90 — — — 19 16% — — —
F. Fabra D 95 6.60 — — 1 55 50% 1 1 —
D. Londono D 95 7.20 — — 1 66 61% — — —
J. Ortiz D 95 7.20 — — — 42 41% 1 — —
E. Mena Perea D 64 7.20 — — — 33 27% 1 — —
Yony Gonzalez M 91 6.90 — — 3 26 25% — — —
A. Serna M 95 8.20 — — — 72 68% 3 — —
H. Loboa M 70 7.20 — — 1 61 58% 2 — —
F. Chaverra M 63 6.90 — — 3 38 34% — 1 —
D. Catano F 45 6.90 — — 2 27 24% 1 — —
F. Fydriszewski F 95 7.20 1 — 4 12 9% — — —
B. Perlaza M 25 6.70 — — 1 7 6% 1 — —
D. Moreno M 50 6.60 — — — 31 29% — — —
H. Palacios D 31 6.70 — — 1 8 6% 2 1 —
J. Montano F 32 7.20 — 1 — 13 10% — — —
L. Chaverra D 4 — — — — 1 — — — —
Cusco Cusco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pedro Diaz G 95 6.70 — — — 28 18% — 1 —
José Zevallos D 91 6.60 — — — 28 22% 2 1 —
D 95 6.90 — — — 24 18% 1 — —
Aldair Fuentes D 95 6.90 — — 1 19 19% — — —
Marlon Ruidías D 95 7.00 — — — 37 35% 4 — —
José Miguel Manzaneda M 78 6.60 — — — 25 22% 2 — —
Oswaldo Valenzuela M 95 7.20 — — 1 30 27% 2 — —
Diego Soto M 91 6.30 — — 1 29 24% 2 — —
Nicolás Silva M 95 6.30 — — 1 24 15% — — —
Gabriel Carabajal F 56 6.60 — — 1 21 17% — — —
Facundo Callejo F 95 6.20 — — 4 18 13% — — —
Carlo Diez M 39 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
Iván Colman M 4 — — — — 7 5% — — —
Jose Bolivar D 17 6.50 — — — 8 7% — — —
Juan Tévez F 4 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Cusco?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 1–0 Cusco.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Cusco?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Cusco win.