Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 3
May 01, 2026 04:00
F. Fydriszewski
(ast. J. Montano)
87'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Cusco 24%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 1–0 Cusco. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Medellin have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cusco.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
1
1.13
Actual xG
0.36
1
Saves
5
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
1
12
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
D. Catano
/ D. Moreno
46'
56'
C. Diez
/
G. Carabajal
63'
J. Zevallos
F. Chaverra
63'
F. Chaverra
/ J. Montano
63'
E. Mena Perea
/ H. Palacios
64'
H. Loboa
/ B. Perlaza
70'
74'
P. Diaz
78'
J. Bolivar
/
J. Manzaneda
H. Palacios
79'
⚽F. Fydriszewski
· ast. J. Montano
87'
90'+1
I. Colman
/
D. Soto
90'+1
J. Tevez
/
J. Zevallos
Yony Gonzalez
/ L. Chaverra
90'+1
F. Fabra
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
48.75%
Independiente ←
27.12%
X
24.13%
Cusco
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin)
48.75%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
1.13
-0.24
0.93
0.36
-0.57
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.36).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Eder Chaux
G
Eder Chaux
G
18
F. Fabra
D
F. Fabra
D
33
Daniel Londoño
D
Daniel Londoño
D
24
José Ortiz
D
José Ortiz
D
26
Esneyder Mena
64'
D
Esneyder Mena
64'
D
11
Y. González
M
Y. González
M
8
Alexis Serna
M
Alexis Serna
M
16
Halam Loboa
70'
M
Halam Loboa
70'
M
13
F. Chaverra
63'
M
F. Chaverra
63'
M
10
Daniel Cataño
45'
F
Daniel Cataño
45'
F
19
F. Fydriszewski
1 ⚽
F
F. Fydriszewski
1 ⚽
F
Bench
14
Baldomero Perlaza
25'
M
Baldomero Perlaza
25'
M
6
Didier Moreno
50'
M
Didier Moreno
50'
M
31
D. Moreno
M
30
Hayen Palacios
31'
D
Hayen Palacios
31'
D
20
John Edwin Montaño
1 👟
32'
F
John Edwin Montaño
1 👟
32'
F
2
Léyser Chaverra
4'
D
Léyser Chaverra
4'
D
5
Luis Escorcia
D
Luis Escorcia
D
28
Pedro Diaz
G
Pedro Diaz
G
21
J. Zevallos
D
J. Zevallos
D
6
D
8
A. Fuentes
D
A. Fuentes
D
24
Marlon Ruidías
D
Marlon Ruidías
D
7
J. Manzaneda
78'
M
J. Manzaneda
78'
M
16
Oswaldo Valenzuela
M
Oswaldo Valenzuela
M
88
Diego Soto
M
Diego Soto
M
26
Nicolás Silva
M
Nicolás Silva
M
27
Gabriel Carabajal
56'
F
Gabriel Carabajal
56'
F
9
F. Callejo
F
F. Callejo
F
Bench
14
Carlo Diez
39'
M
Carlo Diez
39'
M
10
Iván Colman
4'
M
Iván Colman
4'
M
77
Joel Herrera
M
Joel Herrera
M
15
Jose Bolivar
17'
D
Jose Bolivar
17'
D
11
Juan Tévez
4'
F
Juan Tévez
4'
F
32
Julinho Astudillo
D
Julinho Astudillo
D
5
M. Aucca
M
Best on the pitch
Alexis Serna
M · Independiente
8.20
· 72 pass
John Edwin Montaño
F · Independiente
7.20
1 👟
· 13 pass
Oswaldo Valenzuela
M · Cusco
7.20
1 shots
· 30 pass
Daniel Londoño
D · Independiente
7.20
1 shots
· 66 pass
José Ortiz
D · Independiente
7.20
· 42 pass
Esneyder Mena
D · Independiente
7.20
· 33 pass
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eder Chaux | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| F. Fabra | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Londoño | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 61% | — | — | — |
| José Ortiz | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Esneyder Mena | D | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. González | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Serna | M | 95 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 72 | 68% | 3 | — | — |
| Halam Loboa | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Chaverra | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Cataño | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Fydriszewski | F | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Baldomero Perlaza | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Didier Moreno | M | 50 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Hayen Palacios | D | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 2 | 1 | — |
| John Edwin Montaño | F | 32 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Léyser Chaverra | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Cusco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Diaz | G | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Zevallos | D | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — | |
| A. Fuentes | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Marlon Ruidías | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Manzaneda | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Oswaldo Valenzuela | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego Soto | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolás Silva | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Carabajal | F | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| F. Callejo | F | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Carlo Diez | M | 39 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Iván Colman | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jose Bolivar | D | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Juan Tévez | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Cusco?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 1–0 Cusco.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Cusco?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Cusco win.