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MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 03, 2026 01:15
Inter Miami
#2 · 25 pts
3 – 4
Final score
Orlando City SC
#12 · 13 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Inter Miami, result Orlando City SC vince
I. Fray (ast. T. Segovia) 4'
T. Segovia (ast. L. Messi) 25'
L. Messi (ast. L. Suarez) 34'
39' (ast. J. Ellis) M. Ojeda
68' (ast. A. Gomez) M. Ojeda
(pen.) 78' M. Ojeda
90'+3 (ast. B. Ojeda) T. Spicer

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 70% win probability (draw 15%, Orlando City SC 13%). The final result was Inter Miami 3–4 Orlando City SC. In 1 previous meetings, Inter Miami have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Orlando City SC.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
12
10
Shots on target
9
3.00
Actual xG
1.91
5
Saves
7
65%
Possession
35%
10
Corners
2
10
Tackles
23
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽I. Fray · ast. T. Segovia
4'
18'
R. Jansson
⚽T. Segovia · ast. L. Messi
25'
⚽L. Messi · ast. L. Suarez
34'
36'
A. Gomez
39'
ast. J. Ellis · M. Ojeda⚽
D. St.Clair
45'+5
46'
E. Atuesta / Luis Otavio ↕
46'
T. Spicer / Tiago ↕
Y. Bright
52'
G. Hoyos
55'
59'
D. McGuire / J. Ellis ↕
R. de Paul
59'
↕ I. Fray / F. Mura
66'
68'
ast. A. Gomez · M. Ojeda⚽
↕ L. Suarez / T. Allende
71'
L. Messi
78'
78'
(pen.) M. Ojeda⚽
87'
D. Brekalo / A. Gomez ↕
90'+3
ast. B. Ojeda · T. Spicer⚽
90'+4
Z. Taifi / M. Ojeda ↕
90'+7
M. Crepeau
Pre-match prediction
70.35%
Inter
15.76%
X
13.89%
Orlando ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Orlando City SC) 13.89% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Inter
4.44
3.00
-1.44
Orlando
1.06
1.91
+0.85
Inter Miami dominated by xG (3.00 vs 1.91). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-2-2-2
97 Dayne St. Clair Dayne St. Clair G 6.70
32
N. Allen D 6.20
16 Micael Micael D 6.20
37 Maximiliano Falcón Maximiliano Falcón D 5.30
17 Ian Fray Ian Fray 1 ⚽ 66' D 7.60
42 Yannick Bright Yannick Bright M 7.20
7 Rodrigo De Paul Rodrigo De Paul M 8.00
8 Telasco Segovia Telasco Segovia 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.00
10 Lionel Messi Lionel Messi 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 10.00
9 Luis Suárez Luis Suárez 1 👟 71' F 6.90
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame F 5.90
Bench
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter F
4 Facundo Mura Facundo Mura 24' D 6.20
2 Gonzalo Luján Gonzalo Luján D
21
T. Allende 19' F 6.90
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 3-5-2
71 Maxime Crépeau Maxime Crépeau G 8.00
3
87' D 6.30
6 Robin Jansson Robin Jansson D 6.90
57 Iago Silva Iago Silva D 6.60
77 Iván Angulo Iván Angulo M 7.30
11 Tiago Souza Tiago Souza 45' M 6.50
5 Luis Otávio Luis Otávio 45' M 6.50
8 Braian Ojeda Braian Ojeda 1 👟 M 7.60
24 Griffin Dorsey Griffin Dorsey M 6.30
22 Justin Ellis Justin Ellis 1 👟 59' F 6.90
10 Martín Ojeda Martín Ojeda 3 ⚽ 89' F 10.00
Bench
25
C. Guske M
4 David Brekalo David Brekalo 13' D 6.90
13 Duncan McGuire Duncan McGuire 31' F 6.60
20 Eduard Atuesta Eduard Atuesta 45' M 7.20
29 Tahir Reid-Brown Tahir Reid-Brown D
14 Tyrese Spicer Tyrese Spicer 1 ⚽ 45' F 8.20
16 Wilder Cartagena Wilder Cartagena M
19 Zakaria Taifi Zakaria Taifi 1' M
Best on the pitch
Lionel Messi
Lionel Messi
M · Inter
10.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 43 pass
Martín Ojeda
Martín Ojeda
F · Orlando
10.00
3 ⚽
6 shots · 32 pass
Tyrese Spicer
Tyrese Spicer
F · Orlando
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 4 pass
Rodrigo De Paul
Rodrigo De Paul
M · Inter
8.00
3 shots · 69 pass
Telasco Segovia
Telasco Segovia
M · Inter
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 55 pass
Maxime Crépeau
Maxime Crépeau
G · Orlando
8.00
· 14 pass
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dayne St. Clair G 90 6.70 — — — 33 31% — 1 —
N. Allen D 90 6.20 — — — 44 41% 2 — —
Micael D 90 6.20 — — — 48 46% — — —
Maximiliano Falcón D 90 5.30 — — — 56 53% — — —
Ian Fray D 66 7.60 1 — 1 29 25% 1 — —
Yannick Bright M 90 7.20 — — 1 73 67% 3 1 —
Rodrigo De Paul M 90 8.00 — — 3 69 62% 2 1 —
Telasco Segovia M 90 8.00 1 1 3 55 54% — — —
Lionel Messi M 90 10.00 1 1 3 43 39% 1 1 —
Luis Suárez F 71 6.90 — 1 4 34 26% 1 — —
G. Berterame F 90 5.90 — — 4 35 25% — — —
Facundo Mura D 24 6.20 — — — 12 12% — — —
T. Allende F 19 6.90 — — — 4 3% — — —
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Maxime Crépeau G 90 8.00 — — — 14 11% — 1 —
D 87 6.30 — — — 34 29% 1 1 —
Robin Jansson D 90 6.90 — — — 29 19% 3 1 —
Iago Silva D 90 6.60 — — — 30 23% — — —
Iván Angulo M 90 7.30 — — — 37 34% 4 — —
Tiago Souza M 45 6.50 — — — 5 1% 2 — —
Luis Otávio M 45 6.50 — — — 10 9% 3 — —
Braian Ojeda M 90 7.60 — 1 1 37 34% 3 — —
Griffin Dorsey M 90 6.30 — — — 22 14% 2 — —
Justin Ellis F 59 6.90 — 1 1 8 7% — — —
Martín Ojeda F 89 10.00 3 — 6 32 22% — — —
David Brekalo D 13 6.90 — — — 3 2% — — —
Duncan McGuire F 31 6.60 — — 1 9 6% — — —
Eduard Atuesta M 45 7.20 — — 1 15 13% 3 — —
Tyrese Spicer F 45 8.20 1 — 2 4 4% 2 — —
Zakaria Taifi M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Orlando City SC?
The final score was Inter Miami 3–4 Orlando City SC.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs Orlando City SC?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Inter Miami win, 15% to a draw, and 13% to an Orlando City SC win.