Skip to main content
← MLS
MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 03, 2026 01:15
Inter Miami
#2 · 31 pts
3 – 4
Final score
Orlando City SC
#12 · 14 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Inter Miami, result Orlando City SC wins
I. Fray (ast. T. Segovia) 4'
T. Segovia (ast. L. Messi) 25'
L. Messi (ast. L. Suarez) 34'
39' (ast. J. Ellis) M. Ojeda
68' (ast. A. Gomez) M. Ojeda
(pen.) 78' M. Ojeda
90'+3 (ast. B. Ojeda) T. Spicer
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 70% win probability (draw 15%, Orlando City SC 13%). The final result was Inter Miami 3–4 Orlando City SC. In 1 previous meetings, Inter Miami have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Orlando City SC.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
12
10
Shots on target
9
3.00
Actual xG
1.91
5
Saves
7
65%
Possession
35%
10
Corners
2
10
Tackles
23
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽I. Fray · ast. T. Segovia
4'
18'
R. Jansson
⚽T. Segovia · ast. L. Messi
25'
⚽L. Messi · ast. L. Suarez
34'
36'
A. Gomez
39'
ast. J. Ellis · M. Ojeda⚽
D. St.Clair
45'+5
46'
E. Atuesta / Luis Otavio ↕
46'
T. Spicer / Tiago ↕
Y. Bright
52'
G. Hoyos
55'
59'
D. McGuire / J. Ellis ↕
R. de Paul
59'
↕ I. Fray / F. Mura
66'
68'
ast. A. Gomez · M. Ojeda⚽
↕ L. Suarez / T. Allende
71'
L. Messi
78'
78'
(pen.) M. Ojeda⚽
87'
D. Brekalo / A. Gomez ↕
90'+3
ast. B. Ojeda · T. Spicer⚽
90'+4
Z. Taifi / M. Ojeda ↕
90'+7
M. Crepeau
Pre-match prediction
70.35%
Inter
15.76%
X
13.89%
Orlando ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Orlando City SC) 13.89% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Inter
4.44
3.00
-1.44
Orlando
1.06
1.91
+0.85
Inter Miami dominated by xG (3.00 vs 1.91). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 14 33
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 15 31
3 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 14 26
4 New England Revolution New England Revolution 14 25
5 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 15 22
6 Charlotte Charlotte 15 21
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 15 20
8 New York City FC New York City FC 15 19
9 DC United DC United 15 18
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 15 16
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 14 14
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 15 14
13 Toronto FC Toronto FC 14 14
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 14 11
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 15 7
Lineups
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-2-2-2
97 Dayne St. Clair Dayne St. Clair G 6.70
32 Noah Allen Noah Allen D 6.20
16 Micael Micael D 6.20
37 Maximiliano Falcón Maximiliano Falcón D 5.30
17 I. Fray I. Fray 1 ⚽ 66' D 7.60
42 Y. Bright Y. Bright M 7.20
7 Rodrigo De Paul Rodrigo De Paul M 8.00
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.00
10 L. Messi L. Messi 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 10.00
9 Luis Suárez Luis Suárez 1 👟 71' F 6.90
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame F 5.90
Bench
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter F
4 Facundo Mura Facundo Mura 24' D 6.20
2 Gonzalo Luján Gonzalo Luján D
21
T. Allende 19' F 6.90
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 3-5-2
71 Maxime Crépeau Maxime Crépeau G 8.00
3
87' D 6.30
6 Robin Jansson Robin Jansson D 6.90
57 Iago Silva Iago Silva D 6.60
77 Iván Angulo Iván Angulo M 7.30
11 Tiago Souza Tiago Souza 45' M 6.50
5 Luis Otávio Luis Otávio 45' M 6.50
8 B. Ojeda B. Ojeda 1 👟 M 7.60
24 Griffin Dorsey Griffin Dorsey M 6.30
22 Justin Ellis Justin Ellis 1 👟 59' F 6.90
10 M. Ojeda M. Ojeda 3 ⚽ 89' F 10.00
Bench
25
C. Guske M
4 David Brekalo David Brekalo 13' D 6.90
13 Duncan McGuire Duncan McGuire 31' F 6.60
20 Eduard Atuesta Eduard Atuesta 45' M 7.20
29 Tahir Reid-Brown Tahir Reid-Brown D
14 Tyrese Spicer Tyrese Spicer 1 ⚽ 45' F 8.20
16 W. Cartagena W. Cartagena M
19 Zakaria Taifi Zakaria Taifi 1' M
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
L. Messi
M · Inter
10.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 43 pass
M. Ojeda
M. Ojeda
F · Orlando
10.00
3 ⚽
6 shots · 32 pass
Tyrese Spicer
Tyrese Spicer
F · Orlando
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 4 pass
Rodrigo De Paul
Rodrigo De Paul
M · Inter
8.00
3 shots · 69 pass
T. Segovia
T. Segovia
M · Inter
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 55 pass
Maxime Crépeau
Maxime Crépeau
G · Orlando
8.00
· 14 pass
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dayne St. Clair G 90 6.70 — — — 33 31% — 1 —
Noah Allen D 90 6.20 — — — 44 41% 2 — —
Micael D 90 6.20 — — — 48 46% — — —
Maximiliano Falcón D 90 5.30 — — — 56 53% — — —
I. Fray D 66 7.60 1 — 1 29 25% 1 — —
Y. Bright M 90 7.20 — — 1 73 67% 3 1 —
Rodrigo De Paul M 90 8.00 — — 3 69 62% 2 1 —
T. Segovia M 90 8.00 1 1 3 55 54% — — —
L. Messi M 90 10.00 1 1 3 43 39% 1 1 —
Luis Suárez F 71 6.90 — 1 4 34 26% 1 — —
G. Berterame F 90 5.90 — — 4 35 25% — — —
Facundo Mura D 24 6.20 — — — 12 12% — — —
T. Allende F 19 6.90 — — — 4 3% — — —
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Maxime Crépeau G 90 8.00 — — — 14 11% — 1 —
D 87 6.30 — — — 34 29% 1 1 —
Robin Jansson D 90 6.90 — — — 29 19% 3 1 —
Iago Silva D 90 6.60 — — — 30 23% — — —
Iván Angulo M 90 7.30 — — — 37 34% 4 — —
Tiago Souza M 45 6.50 — — — 5 1% 2 — —
Luis Otávio M 45 6.50 — — — 10 9% 3 — —
B. Ojeda M 90 7.60 — 1 1 37 34% 3 — —
Griffin Dorsey M 90 6.30 — — — 22 14% 2 — —
Justin Ellis F 59 6.90 — 1 1 8 7% — — —
M. Ojeda F 89 10.00 3 — 6 32 22% — — —
David Brekalo D 13 6.90 — — — 3 2% — — —
Duncan McGuire F 31 6.60 — — 1 9 6% — — —
Eduard Atuesta M 45 7.20 — — 1 15 13% 3 — —
Tyrese Spicer F 45 8.20 1 — 2 4 4% 2 — —
Zakaria Taifi M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Orlando City SC?
The final score was Inter Miami 3–4 Orlando City SC.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs Orlando City SC?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Inter Miami win, 15% to a draw, and 13% to an Orlando City SC win.