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MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 03, 2026 01:15
Inter Miami
#3 · 46 pts
3 – 4
Final score
Orlando City SC
#7 · 34 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Inter Miami, result Orlando City SC wins
I. Fray (ast. T. Segovia) 4'
T. Segovia (ast. L. Messi) 25'
L. Messi (ast. L. Suarez) 34'
39' (ast. J. Ellis) M. Ojeda
68' (ast. A. Gomez) M. Ojeda
(pen.) 78' M. Ojeda
90'+3 (ast. B. Ojeda) T. Spicer
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 70% win probability (draw 15%, Orlando City SC 13%). The final result was Inter Miami 3–4 Orlando City SC. In 1 previous meetings, Inter Miami have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Orlando City SC.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
12
10
Shots on target
9
3.00
Actual xG
1.91
5
Saves
7
65%
Possession
35%
10
Corners
2
10
Tackles
23
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽I. Fray · ast. T. Segovia
4'
18'
R. Jansson
⚽T. Segovia · ast. L. Messi
25'
⚽L. Messi · ast. L. Suarez
34'
36'
A. Gomez
39'
ast. J. Ellis · M. Ojeda⚽
D. St.Clair
45'+5
46'
E. Atuesta / Luis Otavio ↕
46'
T. Spicer / Tiago ↕
Y. Bright
52'
G. Hoyos
55'
59'
D. McGuire / J. Ellis ↕
R. de Paul
59'
↕ I. Fray / F. Mura
66'
68'
ast. A. Gomez · M. Ojeda⚽
↕ L. Suarez / T. Allende
71'
L. Messi
78'
78'
(pen.) M. Ojeda⚽
87'
D. Brekalo / A. Gomez ↕
90'+3
ast. B. Ojeda · T. Spicer⚽
90'+4
Z. Taifi / M. Ojeda ↕
90'+7
M. Crepeau
Pre-match prediction
70.35%
Inter
15.76%
X
13.89%
Orlando ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Orlando City SC) 13.89% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Inter
4.44
3.00
-1.44
Orlando
1.06
1.91
+0.85
Inter Miami dominated by xG (3.00 vs 1.91). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 27 60
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 27 46
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 27 46
4 Charlotte Charlotte 27 43
5 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 27 33
9 New York City FC New York City FC 27 33
10 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 26 33
11 DC United DC United 26 30
12 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 27 29
13 Toronto FC Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 27 24
Lineups
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-2-2-2
97 Dayne St. Clair Dayne St. Clair G 6.70
32 N. Allen N. Allen D 6.20
16 Micael Micael D 6.20
37 M. Falcón M. Falcón D 5.30
17 I. Fray I. Fray 1 ⚽ 66' D 7.60
42 Y. Bright Y. Bright M 7.20
7 R. De Paul R. De Paul M 8.00
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.00
10 L. Messi L. Messi 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 10.00
9 L. Suárez L. Suárez 1 👟 71' F 6.90
19 Germán Berterame Germán Berterame F 5.90
Bench
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter F
4 F. Mura F. Mura 24' D 6.20
2 G. Luján G. Luján D
21
T. Allende 19' F 6.90
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 3-5-2
71 M. Crépeau M. Crépeau G 8.00
3
87' D 6.30
6 R. Jansson R. Jansson D 6.90
57 Iago Iago D 6.60
77 I. Angulo I. Angulo M 7.30
11 Tiago Tiago 45' M 6.50
5 Luis Otávio Luis Otávio 45' M 6.50
8 Braian Ojeda Braian Ojeda 1 👟 M 7.60
24 G. Dorsey G. Dorsey M 6.30
22 Justin Ellis Justin Ellis 1 👟 59' F 6.90
10 M. Ojeda M. Ojeda 3 ⚽ 89' F 10.00
Bench
25 Colin Guske Colin Guske M
4 D. Brekalo D. Brekalo 13' D 6.90
13 D. McGuire D. McGuire 31' F 6.60
20 E. Atuesta E. Atuesta 45' M 7.20
29 Tahir Reid-Brown Tahir Reid-Brown D
14 T. Spicer T. Spicer 1 ⚽ 45' F 8.20
16 W. Cartagena W. Cartagena M
19 Z. Taifi Z. Taifi 1' M
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
L. Messi
M · Inter
10.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 43 pass
M. Ojeda
M. Ojeda
F · Orlando
10.00
3 ⚽
6 shots · 32 pass
T. Spicer
T. Spicer
F · Orlando
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 4 pass
R. De Paul
R. De Paul
M · Inter
8.00
3 shots · 69 pass
T. Segovia
T. Segovia
M · Inter
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 55 pass
M. Crépeau
M. Crépeau
G · Orlando
8.00
· 14 pass
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dayne St. Clair G 90 6.70 — — — 33 31% — 1 —
N. Allen D 90 6.20 — — — 44 41% 2 — —
Micael D 90 6.20 — — — 48 46% — — —
M. Falcón D 90 5.30 — — — 56 53% — — —
I. Fray D 66 7.60 1 — 1 29 25% 1 — —
Y. Bright M 90 7.20 — — 1 73 67% 3 1 —
R. De Paul M 90 8.00 — — 3 69 62% 2 1 —
T. Segovia M 90 8.00 1 1 3 55 54% — — —
L. Messi M 90 10.00 1 1 3 43 39% 1 1 —
L. Suárez F 71 6.90 — 1 4 34 26% 1 — —
Germán Berterame F 90 5.90 — — 4 35 25% — — —
F. Mura D 24 6.20 — — — 12 12% — — —
T. Allende F 19 6.90 — — — 4 3% — — —
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Crépeau G 90 8.00 — — — 14 11% — 1 —
D 87 6.30 — — — 34 29% 1 1 —
R. Jansson D 90 6.90 — — — 29 19% 3 1 —
Iago D 90 6.60 — — — 30 23% — — —
I. Angulo M 90 7.30 — — — 37 34% 4 — —
Tiago M 45 6.50 — — — 5 1% 2 — —
Luis Otávio M 45 6.50 — — — 10 9% 3 — —
Braian Ojeda M 90 7.60 — 1 1 37 34% 3 — —
G. Dorsey M 90 6.30 — — — 22 14% 2 — —
Justin Ellis F 59 6.90 — 1 1 8 7% — — —
M. Ojeda F 89 10.00 3 — 6 32 22% — — —
D. Brekalo D 13 6.90 — — — 3 2% — — —
D. McGuire F 31 6.60 — — 1 9 6% — — —
E. Atuesta M 45 7.20 — — 1 15 13% 3 — —
T. Spicer F 45 8.20 1 — 2 4 4% 2 — —
Z. Taifi M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Orlando City SC?
The final score was Inter Miami 3–4 Orlando City SC.
What did the model predict before Inter Miami vs Orlando City SC?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Inter Miami win, 15% to a draw, and 13% to an Orlando City SC win.