Serie A
· Regular Season - 35
May 03, 2026 20:45
✓Model correct — prediction Inter
M. Thuram
(ast. P. Zielinski)
45'+1
H. Mkhitaryan
(ast. L. Martinez)
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 67% win probability (draw 22%, Parma 9%). The final result was Inter 2–0 Parma. In 1 previous meetings, Inter have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Parma.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
0
2.09
Actual xG
0.27
0
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
8
Corners
3
9
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽M. Thuram
· ast. P. Zielinski
45'+1
F. Esposito
/ A. Bonny
46'
P. Zielinski
64'
P. Zielinski
/ H. Mkhitaryan
67'
M. Thuram
/ L. Martinez
67'
A. Bastoni
/ Carlos Augusto
67'
67'
C. Ordonez
/
M. Keita
67'
N. Elphege
/
M. Pellegrino
75'
O. Sorensen
/
A. Bernabe
75'
P. Almqvist
/
G. Strefezza
⚽H. Mkhitaryan
· ast. L. Martinez
80'
85'
F. Carboni
/
E. Valeri
N. Barella
/ D. Frattesi
89'
Pre-match prediction
67.73%
Inter ←
22.77%
X
9.51%
Parma
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Inter)
67.73%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.80
2.09
+0.29
0.60
0.27
-0.33
Inter dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
95
Alessandro Bastoni
67'
D
Alessandro Bastoni
67'
D
25
Manuel Akanji
D
Manuel Akanji
D
31
Yann Bisseck
D
Yann Bisseck
D
32
Federico Dimarco
M
Federico Dimarco
M
8
P. Sučić
M
P. Sučić
M
7
Piotr Zieliński
1 👟
67'
M
Piotr Zieliński
1 👟
67'
M
23
Nicolò Barella
89'
M
Nicolò Barella
89'
M
2
D. Dumfries
M
D. Dumfries
M
94
F. Esposito
45'
F
F. Esposito
45'
F
9
M. Thuram
1 ⚽
67'
F
M. Thuram
1 ⚽
67'
F
Bench
14
A. Bonny
45'
F
A. Bonny
45'
F
17
A. Diouf
M
A. Diouf
M
30
Carlos Augusto
23'
D
Carlos Augusto
23'
D
16
D. Frattesi
1'
M
D. Frattesi
1'
M
15
Francesco Acerbi
D
Francesco Acerbi
D
20
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
22
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
1 ⚽
23'
M
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
1 ⚽
23'
M
10
Lautaro Martínez
1 👟
23'
F
Lautaro Martínez
1 👟
23'
F
11
Luís Henrique
F
Luís Henrique
F
43
Matteo Cocchi
D
Matteo Cocchi
D
36
Matteo Darmian
D
Matteo Darmian
D
31
Zion Suzuki
G
Zion Suzuki
G
3
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
D
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
D
37
D
39
Alessandro Circati
D
Alessandro Circati
D
14
E. Valeri
85'
M
E. Valeri
85'
M
16
Mandela Keita
67'
M
Mandela Keita
67'
M
41
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
M
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
M
10
A. Bernabe
75'
M
15
Enrico Delprato
M
Enrico Delprato
M
9
Mateo Pellegrino
67'
F
Mateo Pellegrino
67'
F
7
Gabriel Strefezza
75'
F
Gabriel Strefezza
75'
F
Bench
29
Franco Carboni
8'
D
Franco Carboni
8'
D
23
Nesta Elphege
23'
F
Nesta Elphege
23'
F
27
Sascha Britschgi
D
Sascha Britschgi
D
Best on the pitch
Nicolò Barella
M · Inter
7.90
1 shots
· 82 pass
Yann Bisseck
D · Inter
7.70
· 61 pass
Lautaro Martínez
F · Inter
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 6 pass
Alessandro Bastoni
D · Inter
7.60
· 66 pass
Manuel Akanji
D · Inter
7.50
· 83 pass
Federico Dimarco
M · Inter
7.50
· 55 pass
Inter — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Alessandro Bastoni | D | 67 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 66 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| Manuel Akanji | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 83 | 76% | 1 | — | — |
| Yann Bisseck | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 61 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Federico Dimarco | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | — | — | — |
| P. Sučić | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| Piotr Zieliński | M | 67 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 53 | 52% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nicolò Barella | M | 89 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Dumfries | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Esposito | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Thuram | F | 67 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Bonny | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Augusto | D | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| D. Frattesi | M | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henrikh Mkhitaryan | M | 23 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 23 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Parma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Suzuki | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Ndiaye | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 46% | — | — | — | |
| Alessandro Circati | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Valeri | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Mandela Keita | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Hans Nicolussi Caviglia | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bernabe | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Enrico Delprato | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 67 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Strefezza | F | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Franco Carboni | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Nesta Elphege | F | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter vs Parma?
The final score was Inter 2–0 Parma.
What did the model predict before Inter vs Parma?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Inter win, 22% to a draw, and 9% to an Parma win.