Skip to main content
← Serie A
#3 · 9 pts
2 – 0
Final score
#17 · 1 pts
Model correct — prediction Inter
M. Thuram (ast. P. Zielinski) 45'+1
H. Mkhitaryan (ast. L. Martinez) 80'
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 67% win probability (draw 22%, Parma 9%). The final result was Inter 2–0 Parma. In 1 previous meetings, Inter have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Parma.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
0
2.09
Actual xG
0.27
0
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
8
Corners
3
9
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
M. Thuram · ast. P. Zielinski
45'+1
F. Esposito / A. Bonny
46'
P. Zielinski
64'
P. Zielinski / H. Mkhitaryan
67'
M. Thuram / L. Martinez
67'
A. Bastoni / Carlos Augusto
67'
67'
C. Ordonez / M. Keita
67'
N. Elphege / M. Pellegrino
75'
O. Sorensen / A. Bernabe
75'
P. Almqvist / G. Strefezza
H. Mkhitaryan · ast. L. Martinez
80'
85'
F. Carboni / E. Valeri
N. Barella / D. Frattesi
89'
Pre-match prediction
67.73%
Inter ←
22.77%
X
9.51%
Parma
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Inter) 67.73% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Inter
1.80
2.09
+0.29
Parma
0.60
0.27
-0.33
Inter dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.27). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 4 10
2 AS Roma AS Roma 3 9
3 Inter Inter 3 9
4 Cagliari Cagliari 4 9
5 AC Milan AC Milan 4 8
6 Como Como 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Frosinone Frosinone 4 7
9 Atalanta Atalanta 4 6
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3 4
11 Udinese Udinese 3 4
12 Napoli Napoli 3 3
13 Torino Torino 3 3
14 Lecce Lecce 3 3
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 4 3
16 Bologna Bologna 3 1
17 Parma Parma 3 1
18 Monza Monza 3 1
19 Genoa Genoa 4 1
20 Venezia Venezia 4 0
Lineups
Inter Inter 3-5-2
1
G 6.60
95 A. Bastoni A. Bastoni 67' D 7.60
25 M. Akanji M. Akanji D 7.50
31 Y. Bisseck Y. Bisseck D 7.70
32 F. Dimarco F. Dimarco M 7.50
8 P. Sučić P. Sučić M 7.20
7 P. Zieliński P. Zieliński 1 👟 67' M 7.50
23 N. Barella N. Barella 89' M 7.90
2 D. Dumfries D. Dumfries M 6.70
94 F. Esposito F. Esposito 45' F 6.30
9 M. Thuram M. Thuram 1 ⚽ 67' F 6.90
Bench
14 A. Bonny A. Bonny 45' F 6.70
17 A. Diouf A. Diouf M
30 Carlos Augusto Carlos Augusto 23' D 7.00
16 Davide Frattesi Davide Frattesi 1' M
15
Francesco Acerbi D
20 H. Çalhanoğlu H. Çalhanoğlu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan H. Mkhitaryan 1 ⚽ 23' M 7.20
10 Lautaro Martínez Lautaro Martínez 1 👟 23' F 7.70
11 Luis Henrique Luis Henrique F
36
Matteo Darmian D
43 M. Cocchi M. Cocchi D
Parma Parma 3-5-2
31 Z. Suzuki Z. Suzuki G 6.90
3 A. N'Diaye A. N'Diaye D 6.20
37
D 6.20
39 A. Circati A. Circati D 6.60
14 E. Valeri E. Valeri 85' M 6.70
16 M. Keita M. Keita 67' M 6.60
41 Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia M 6.60
10 Adrián Bernabé Adrián Bernabé 75' M 7.30
15 E. Del Prato E. Del Prato M 6.30
9 Mateo Pellegrino Mateo Pellegrino 67' F 6.00
7 Gabriel Strefezza Gabriel Strefezza 75' F 6.90
Bench
29 F. Carboni F. Carboni 8' D 6.70
23 N. Elphege N. Elphege 23' F 6.20
27 S. Britschgi S. Britschgi D
Best on the pitch
N. Barella
N. Barella
M · Inter
7.90
1 shots · 82 pass
Y. Bisseck
Y. Bisseck
D · Inter
7.70
· 61 pass
Lautaro Martínez
Lautaro Martínez
F · Inter
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 6 pass
A. Bastoni
A. Bastoni
D · Inter
7.60
· 66 pass
M. Akanji
M. Akanji
D · Inter
7.50
· 83 pass
F. Dimarco
F. Dimarco
M · Inter
7.50
· 55 pass
Inter Inter — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 23 20%
A. Bastoni D 67 7.60 66 64% 1
M. Akanji D 90 7.50 83 76% 1
Y. Bisseck D 90 7.70 61 59%
F. Dimarco M 90 7.50 55 48%
P. Sučić M 90 7.20 64 57% 2
P. Zieliński M 67 7.50 1 53 52% 1 1
N. Barella M 89 7.90 1 82 69% 2
D. Dumfries M 90 6.70 3 33 31% 1
F. Esposito F 45 6.30 3 3%
M. Thuram F 67 6.90 1 3 7 6%
A. Bonny F 45 6.70 9 9%
Carlos Augusto D 23 7.00 22 21%
Davide Frattesi M 1 1
H. Mkhitaryan M 23 7.20 1 1 11 10% 1
Lautaro Martínez F 23 7.70 1 1 6 5%
Parma Parma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Z. Suzuki G 90 6.90 36 28%
A. N'Diaye D 90 6.20 1 42 39% 1
D 90 6.20 48 46%
A. Circati D 90 6.60 50 44% 4
E. Valeri M 85 6.70 12 10% 2
M. Keita M 67 6.60 37 34%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia M 90 6.60 48 43% 1
Adrián Bernabé M 75 7.30 47 42% 2
E. Del Prato M 90 6.30 25 21%
Mateo Pellegrino F 67 6.00 1 8 6%
Gabriel Strefezza F 75 6.90 36 34% 1
F. Carboni D 8 6.70 4 4%
N. Elphege F 23 6.20 1 4 2%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter vs Parma?
The final score was Inter 2–0 Parma.
What did the model predict before Inter vs Parma?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Inter win, 22% to a draw, and 9% to an Parma win.