✓Model correct — prediction Inter
M. Thuram
(ast. P. Zielinski)
45'+1
H. Mkhitaryan
(ast. L. Martinez)
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 67% win probability (draw 22%, Parma 9%). The final result was Inter 2–0 Parma. In 2 previous meetings, Inter have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Parma.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
0
2.09
Actual xG
0.27
0
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
8
Corners
3
9
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽M. Thuram
· ast. P. Zielinski
45'+1
F. Esposito
/ A. Bonny
46'
P. Zielinski
64'
P. Zielinski
/ H. Mkhitaryan
67'
M. Thuram
/ L. Martinez
67'
A. Bastoni
/ Carlos Augusto
67'
67'
C. Ordonez
/
M. Keita
67'
N. Elphege
/
M. Pellegrino
75'
O. Sorensen
/
A. Bernabe
75'
P. Almqvist
/
G. Strefezza
⚽H. Mkhitaryan
· ast. L. Martinez
80'
85'
F. Carboni
/
E. Valeri
N. Barella
/ D. Frattesi
89'
Pre-match prediction
67.73%
Inter ←
22.77%
X
9.51%
Parma
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Inter)
67.73%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.80
2.09
+0.29
0.60
0.27
-0.33
Inter dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
95
A. Bastoni
67'
D
A. Bastoni
67'
D
25
M. Akanji
D
M. Akanji
D
31
Y. Bisseck
D
Y. Bisseck
D
32
F. Dimarco
M
F. Dimarco
M
8
P. Sučić
M
P. Sučić
M
7
P. Zieliński
1 👟
67'
M
P. Zieliński
1 👟
67'
M
23
N. Barella
89'
M
N. Barella
89'
M
2
D. Dumfries
M
D. Dumfries
M
94
F. Esposito
45'
F
F. Esposito
45'
F
9
M. Thuram
1 ⚽
67'
F
M. Thuram
1 ⚽
67'
F
Bench
14
A. Bonny
45'
F
A. Bonny
45'
F
17
A. Diouf
M
A. Diouf
M
30
Carlos Augusto
23'
D
Carlos Augusto
23'
D
16
D. Frattesi
1'
M
D. Frattesi
1'
M
15
Francesco Acerbi
D
20
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
H. Çalhanoğlu
M
22
H. Mkhitaryan
1 ⚽
23'
M
H. Mkhitaryan
1 ⚽
23'
M
10
Lautaro Martínez
1 👟
23'
F
Lautaro Martínez
1 👟
23'
F
11
Luis Henrique
F
Luis Henrique
F
43
M. Cocchi
D
M. Cocchi
D
36
M. Darmian
D
M. Darmian
D
31
Z. Suzuki
G
Z. Suzuki
G
3
A. N'Diaye
D
A. N'Diaye
D
37
D
39
A. Circati
D
A. Circati
D
14
E. Valeri
85'
M
E. Valeri
85'
M
16
M. Keita
67'
M
M. Keita
67'
M
41
H. Nicolussi
M
H. Nicolussi
M
10
Adrián Bernabé
75'
M
Adrián Bernabé
75'
M
15
E. Del Prato
M
E. Del Prato
M
9
Mateo Pellegrino
67'
F
Mateo Pellegrino
67'
F
7
Gabriel Strefezza
75'
F
Gabriel Strefezza
75'
F
Bench
29
F. Carboni
8'
D
F. Carboni
8'
D
23
N. Elphege
23'
F
N. Elphege
23'
F
27
S. Britschgi
D
S. Britschgi
D
Best on the pitch
N. Barella
M · Inter
7.90
1 shots
· 82 pass
Y. Bisseck
D · Inter
7.70
· 61 pass
Lautaro Martínez
F · Inter
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 6 pass
A. Bastoni
D · Inter
7.60
· 66 pass
M. Akanji
D · Inter
7.50
· 83 pass
F. Dimarco
M · Inter
7.50
· 55 pass
Inter — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| A. Bastoni | D | 67 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 66 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Akanji | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 83 | 76% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Bisseck | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 61 | 59% | — | — | — |
| F. Dimarco | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | — | — | — |
| P. Sučić | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Zieliński | M | 67 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 53 | 52% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Barella | M | 89 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Dumfries | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Esposito | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Thuram | F | 67 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Bonny | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Augusto | D | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| D. Frattesi | M | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Mkhitaryan | M | 23 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 23 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Parma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Suzuki | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| A. N'Diaye | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 46% | — | — | — | |
| A. Circati | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Valeri | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Keita | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| H. Nicolussi | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Adrián Bernabé | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Del Prato | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 67 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Strefezza | F | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Carboni | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. Elphege | F | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Inter vs Parma?
The final score was Inter 2–0 Parma.
What did the model predict before Inter vs Parma?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Inter win, 22% to a draw, and 9% to an Parma win.