← HNL
HNL · Regular Season - 28 April 07, 2026 20:00
Istra 1961
#5 · 42 pts
1 – 3
Final score
HNK Hajduk Split
#2 · 64 pts
✓Model correct — prediction HNK Hajduk Split
C. Agada 84'
23' (ast. R. Brajkovic) M. Livaja
51' (ast. M. Sego) A. Pajaziti
58' (ast. R. Pukstas) M. Livaja

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 62% win probability (draw 18%, Istra 1961 19%). The final result was Istra 1961 1–3 HNK Hajduk Split. In 3 previous meetings, Istra 1961 have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for HNK Hajduk Split.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
8
0.24
Actual xG
2.06
5
Saves
1
32%
Possession
68%
2
Corners
8
22
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
A. Kadusic
9'
23'
ast. R. Brajkovic · M. Livaja⚽
34'
M. Livaja
E. Frederiksen
49'
51'
ast. M. Sego · A. Pajaziti⚽
58'
ast. R. Pukstas · M. Livaja⚽
↕ L. Stulac / S. Loncar
58'
↕ A. Mauric / A. Obando
67'
76'
N. Skoko / R. Pukstas ↕
76'
A. Kalik / M. Sego ↕
↕ S. Miettinen / F. Taraba
76'
↕ V. Rozic / S. Gorican
76'
↕ S. Prevljak / C. Agada
76'
81'
A. Sanyang / R. Brajkovic ↕
81'
H. Guillamon / F. Krovinovic ↕
⚽C. Agada
84'
86'
A. Sanyang
90'+2
A. Guram / M. Livaja ↕
Pre-match prediction
19.3%
Istra
18.44%
X
62.26%
HNK ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (HNK Hajduk Split) 62.26% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Istra
0.76
0.24
-0.52
HNK
2.50
2.06
-0.44
HNK Hajduk Split dominated by xG (2.06 vs 0.24). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 34 82
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 34 64
3 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 34 49
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 34 48
5 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 34 42
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 34 42
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 34 41
8 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 34 38
9 NK Osijek NK Osijek 34 32
10 Vukovar Vukovar 34 28
Lineups
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.50
26 M. Heister M. Heister D 6.60
16 Samuli Miettinen Samuli Miettinen 76' D 6.20
3
D 6.90
97 Advan Kadušić Advan Kadušić D 6.20
23 Leo Štulac Leo Štulac 58' M 6.20
5
M 6.60
7 Vinko Rozić Vinko Rozić 76' M 6.30
8 Antonio Maurić Antonio Maurić 67' M 6.30
17 E. Frederiksen E. Frederiksen M 6.30
9 S. Prevljak S. Prevljak 76' F 6.50
Bench
29 Allen Obando Allen Obando 23' F 6.60
77 Charles Adah Agada Charles Adah Agada 1 ⚽ 14' F 7.20
20 Dukan Ahmeti Dukan Ahmeti M
25 Gustavo Albarracín Gustavo Albarracín M
18 Israel Ayuma Israel Ayuma M
44 Rene Hrvatin Rene Hrvatin D
10 S. Lončar S. Lončar 32' M 7.20
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1
33
G 7.20
17
D. Melnjak D 6.20
31 Z. Šarlija Z. Šarlija D 7.20
15
D 7.30
8
N. Sigur D 7.50
23
F. Krovinovic 81' M 7.20
4
A. Pajaziti 1 ⚽ M 8.20
11 M. Šego M. Šego 1 👟 M 6.70
21 R. Pukštas R. Pukštas 1 👟 76' M 7.30
28
R. Brajkovic 1 👟 81' M 7.00
10 M. Livaja M. Livaja 2 ⚽ 89' F 8.50
Bench
24
A. Sanyang 9' F 6.20
37
N. Skoko 14' M 6.90
14
R. Raci D
32
S. Hrgovic D
Best on the pitch
M. Livaja
M. Livaja
F · HNK
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots · 31 pass
A. Pajaziti
M · HNK
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 88 pass
G · Istra
7.50
· 20 pass
N. Sigur
D · HNK
7.50
· 80 pass
R. Pukštas
R. Pukštas
M · HNK
7.30
1 👟
5 shots · 25 pass
D · HNK
7.30
· 69 pass
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 20 6% — — —
M. Heister D 90 6.60 — — — 20 13% 4 — —
Samuli Miettinen D 76 6.20 — — — 18 11% 3 — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 34 30% 2 — —
Advan Kadušić D 90 6.20 — — 1 34 21% 2 1 —
Leo Štulac M 58 6.20 — — — 22 18% 1 — —
M 90 6.60 — — — 40 36% 4 — —
Vinko Rozić M 76 6.30 — — 1 15 11% — — —
Antonio Maurić M 67 6.30 — — — 17 14% 1 — —
E. Frederiksen M 90 6.30 — — 2 23 17% 1 1 —
S. Prevljak F 76 6.50 — — — 11 9% — — —
Allen Obando F 23 6.60 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Charles Adah Agada F 14 7.20 1 — 1 2 — 1 — —
S. Lončar M 32 7.20 — — — 17 15% 2 — —
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 35 26% — — —
D. Melnjak D 90 6.20 — — — 58 46% 1 — —
Z. Šarlija D 90 7.20 — — — 79 75% 2 — —
D 90 7.30 — — — 69 61% 1 — —
N. Sigur D 90 7.50 — — — 80 72% 3 — —
F. Krovinovic M 81 7.20 — — 1 76 66% — — —
A. Pajaziti M 90 8.20 1 — 1 88 83% 2 — —
M. Šego M 90 6.70 — 1 2 27 21% — — —
R. Pukštas M 76 7.30 — 1 5 25 20% 1 — —
R. Brajkovic M 81 7.00 — 1 2 43 39% 2 — —
M. Livaja F 89 8.50 2 — 3 31 25% 1 1 —
A. Sanyang F 9 6.20 — — — 3 3% — 1 —
N. Skoko M 14 6.90 — — — 8 8% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The final score was Istra 1961 1–3 HNK Hajduk Split.
What did the model predict before Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model assigned 19% probability to a Istra 1961 win, 18% to a draw, and 62% to an HNK Hajduk Split win.