✓Model correct — prediction HNK Hajduk Split
C. Agada
84'
23'
(ast. R. Brajkovic)
M. Livaja
51'
(ast. M. Sego)
A. Pajaziti
58'
(ast. R. Pukstas)
M. Livaja
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 62% win probability (draw 18%, Istra 1961 19%). The final result was Istra 1961 1–3 HNK Hajduk Split. In 5 previous meetings, Istra 1961 have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 2 wins for HNK Hajduk Split.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
8
0.24
Actual xG
2.06
5
Saves
1
32%
Possession
68%
2
Corners
8
22
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
A. Kadusic
9'
23'
ast. R. Brajkovic ·
M. Livaja⚽
34'
M. Livaja
E. Frederiksen
49'
51'
ast. M. Sego ·
A. Pajaziti⚽
58'
ast. R. Pukstas ·
M. Livaja⚽
L. Stulac
/ S. Loncar
58'
A. Mauric
/ A. Obando
67'
76'
N. Skoko
/
R. Pukstas
76'
A. Kalik
/
M. Sego
S. Miettinen
/ F. Taraba
76'
V. Rozic
/ S. Gorican
76'
S. Prevljak
/ C. Agada
76'
81'
A. Sanyang
/
R. Brajkovic
81'
H. Guillamon
/
F. Krovinovic
⚽C. Agada
84'
86'
A. Sanyang
90'+2
A. Guram
/
M. Livaja
Pre-match prediction
19.3%
Istra
18.44%
X
62.26%
HNK ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Hajduk Split)
62.26%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.76
0.24
-0.52
2.50
2.06
-0.44
HNK Hajduk Split dominated by xG (2.06 vs 0.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
26
M. Heister
D
M. Heister
D
16
S. Miettinen
76'
D
S. Miettinen
76'
D
3
D
97
A. Kadušić
D
A. Kadušić
D
23
Leo Štulac
58'
M
5
M
7
V. Rozić
76'
M
V. Rozić
76'
M
8
A. Maurić
67'
M
A. Maurić
67'
M
17
E. Frederiksen
M
E. Frederiksen
M
9
S. Prevljak
76'
F
S. Prevljak
76'
F
Bench
29
A. Obando
23'
F
A. Obando
23'
F
77
Charles Adah Agada
1 ⚽
14'
F
Charles Adah Agada
1 ⚽
14'
F
20
D. Ahmeti
M
D. Ahmeti
M
25
G. AlbarracÃn
M
G. AlbarracÃn
M
18
I. Ayuma
M
I. Ayuma
M
44
R. Hrvatin
D
R. Hrvatin
D
10
S. Lončar
32'
M
S. Lončar
32'
M
33
G
17
D. Melnjak
D
D. Melnjak
D
31
Z. Šarlija
D
Z. Šarlija
D
15
D
8
N. Sigur
D
N. Sigur
D
23
F. Krovinović
81'
M
F. Krovinović
81'
M
4
A. Pajaziti
1 ⚽
M
A. Pajaziti
1 ⚽
M
11
M. Šego
1 👟
M
M. Šego
1 👟
M
21
R. Pukštas
1 👟
76'
M
R. Pukštas
1 👟
76'
M
28
Roko Brajković
1 👟
81'
M
10
M. Livaja
2 ⚽
89'
F
M. Livaja
2 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
24
A. Sanyang
9'
F
A. Sanyang
9'
F
37
N. Skoko
14'
M
N. Skoko
14'
M
14
R. Raci
D
R. Raci
D
32
Š. Hrgović
D
Š. Hrgović
D
Best on the pitch
M. Livaja
F · HNK
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 31 pass
A. Pajaziti
M · HNK
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 88 pass
G · Istra
7.50
· 20 pass
N. Sigur
D · HNK
7.50
· 80 pass
R. Pukštas
M · HNK
7.30
1 👟
5 shots
· 25 pass
D · HNK
7.30
· 69 pass
Istra 1961 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| M. Heister | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Miettinen | D | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 2 | — | — | |
| A. Kadušić | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Leo Štulac | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 4 | — | — | |
| V. Rozić | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Maurić | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Frederiksen | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Prevljak | F | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Obando | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Charles Adah Agada | F | 14 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — |
| S. Lončar | M | 32 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| D. Melnjak | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Šarlija | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 79 | 75% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 69 | 61% | 1 | — | — | |
| N. Sigur | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 80 | 72% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Krovinović | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 66% | — | — | — |
| A. Pajaziti | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 88 | 83% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Šego | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. Pukštas | M | 76 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 5 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Roko Brajković | M | 81 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 43 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Livaja | F | 89 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 3 | 31 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Sanyang | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Skoko | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The final score was Istra 1961 1–3 HNK Hajduk Split.
What did the model predict before Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model assigned 19% probability to a Istra 1961 win, 18% to a draw, and 62% to an HNK Hajduk Split win.