✓Model correct — prediction HNK Hajduk Split
C. Agada
84'
23'
(ast. R. Brajkovic)
M. Livaja
51'
(ast. M. Sego)
A. Pajaziti
58'
(ast. R. Pukstas)
M. Livaja
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 62% win probability (draw 18%, Istra 1961 19%). The final result was Istra 1961 1–3 HNK Hajduk Split. In 3 previous meetings, Istra 1961 have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for HNK Hajduk Split.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
8
0.24
Actual xG
2.06
5
Saves
1
32%
Possession
68%
2
Corners
8
22
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
A. Kadusic
9'
23'
ast. R. Brajkovic ·
M. Livaja⚽
34'
M. Livaja
E. Frederiksen
49'
51'
ast. M. Sego ·
A. Pajaziti⚽
58'
ast. R. Pukstas ·
M. Livaja⚽
L. Stulac
/ S. Loncar
58'
A. Mauric
/ A. Obando
67'
76'
N. Skoko
/
R. Pukstas
76'
A. Kalik
/
M. Sego
S. Miettinen
/ F. Taraba
76'
V. Rozic
/ S. Gorican
76'
S. Prevljak
/ C. Agada
76'
81'
A. Sanyang
/
R. Brajkovic
81'
H. Guillamon
/
F. Krovinovic
⚽C. Agada
84'
86'
A. Sanyang
90'+2
A. Guram
/
M. Livaja
Pre-match prediction
19.3%
Istra
18.44%
X
62.26%
HNK ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Hajduk Split)
62.26%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.76
0.24
-0.52
2.50
2.06
-0.44
HNK Hajduk Split dominated by xG (2.06 vs 0.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
26
M. Heister
D
M. Heister
D
16
Samuli Miettinen
76'
D
Samuli Miettinen
76'
D
3
D
97
Advan Kadušić
D
Advan Kadušić
D
23
Leo Štulac
58'
M
5
M
7
Vinko Rozić
76'
M
Vinko Rozić
76'
M
8
Antonio Maurić
67'
M
Antonio Maurić
67'
M
17
E. Frederiksen
M
E. Frederiksen
M
9
S. Prevljak
76'
F
S. Prevljak
76'
F
Bench
29
Allen Obando
23'
F
Allen Obando
23'
F
77
Charles Adah Agada
1 ⚽
14'
F
Charles Adah Agada
1 ⚽
14'
F
20
Dukan Ahmeti
M
Dukan Ahmeti
M
25
Gustavo Albarracín
M
Gustavo Albarracín
M
18
Israel Ayuma
M
Israel Ayuma
M
44
Rene Hrvatin
D
Rene Hrvatin
D
10
S. Lončar
32'
M
S. Lončar
32'
M
33
G
17
Dario Melnjak
D
31
Z. Šarlija
D
Z. Šarlija
D
15
D
8
Niko Sigur
D
Niko Sigur
D
23
Filip Krovinović
81'
M
Filip Krovinović
81'
M
4
Adrion Pajaziti
1 ⚽
M
11
Michele Šego
1 👟
M
21
Rokas Pukštas
1 👟
76'
M
28
Roko Brajković
1 👟
81'
M
10
Marko Livaja
2 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
24
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba
9'
F
37
Noa Skoko
14'
M
14
Ron Raçi
D
32
Šimun Hrgović
D
Best on the pitch
Marko Livaja
F · HNK
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 31 pass
Adrion Pajaziti
M · HNK
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 88 pass
G · Istra
7.50
· 20 pass
Niko Sigur
D · HNK
7.50
· 80 pass
Rokas Pukštas
M · HNK
7.30
1 👟
5 shots
· 25 pass
D · HNK
7.30
· 69 pass
Istra 1961 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| M. Heister | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Samuli Miettinen | D | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 2 | — | — | |
| Advan Kadušić | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Leo Štulac | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 4 | — | — | |
| Vinko Rozić | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Antonio Maurić | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Frederiksen | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Prevljak | F | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Allen Obando | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Charles Adah Agada | F | 14 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — |
| S. Lončar | M | 32 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Dario Melnjak | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Šarlija | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 79 | 75% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 69 | 61% | 1 | — | — | |
| Niko Sigur | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 80 | 72% | 3 | — | — |
| Filip Krovinović | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Adrion Pajaziti | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 88 | 83% | 2 | — | — |
| Michele Šego | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Rokas Pukštas | M | 76 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 5 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Roko Brajković | M | 81 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 43 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Marko Livaja | F | 89 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 3 | 31 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Noa Skoko | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The final score was Istra 1961 1–3 HNK Hajduk Split.
What did the model predict before Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model assigned 19% probability to a Istra 1961 win, 18% to a draw, and 62% to an HNK Hajduk Split win.