← Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 30 April 24, 2026 22:30
Jagiellonia
#2 · 52 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Gornik Zabrze
#3 · 50 pts
A. Pululu 90'+3
(og) 64' B. Mazurek
(pen.) 90'+8 R. Janicki

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jagiellonia a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Gornik Zabrze 30%). The final result was Jagiellonia 1–2 Gornik Zabrze. In 1 previous meetings, Jagiellonia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gornik Zabrze.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
3
1.02
Actual xG
0.84
3
Saves
7
61%
Possession
39%
7
Corners
2
18
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
30'
Y. Ikia Dimi
B. Mazurek
33'
A. Pululu
40'
44'
L. Sadilek
55'
S. Liseth / Y. Ikia Dimi ↕
K. Szmyt
57'
↕ M. Nahuel / S. Bazdar
62'
64'
(og) B. Mazurek⚽
76'
P. Bochniewicz / L. Sadilek ↕
↕ B. Mazurek / S. Lozano
77'
↕ G. Montoia / B. Wdowik
80'
↕ Y. Kobayashi / Z. Zalewski
80'
84'
P. Olkowski / R. Massimo ↕
84'
K. Lukoszek / M. Khlan ↕
86'
Josema
⚽A. Pululu
90'+3
B. Wdowik
90'+6
90'+8
(pen.) R. Janicki⚽
Pre-match prediction
40.41%
Jagiellonia
29.19%
X
30.4%
Gornik ←
we assigned to the actual result (Gornik Zabrze) 30.4% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Jagiellonia
1.30
1.02
-0.28
Gornik
1.15
0.84
-0.31
xG dominance was balanced (1.02 – 0.84). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 32 56
2 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 32 52
3 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 32 50
4 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 32 49
5 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 32 48
6 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 32 48
7 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 32 45
8 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 32 44
9 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 32 43
10 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 32 42
11 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 32 41
12 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 32 41
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 32 40
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 32 39
15 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 32 39
16 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 32 38
17 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 32 36
18 Nieciecza Nieciecza 32 28
Lineups
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 4-2-3-1
50
G 6.70
23 Guilherme Montóia Guilherme Montóia 80' D 6.90
4 Yuki Kobayashi Yuki Kobayashi 80' D 6.90
13 Bernardo Vital Bernardo Vital D 6.90
15
D 7.70
86 Bartosz Mazurek Bartosz Mazurek 1 ⚽ 77' M 5.60
6 Taras Romanczuk Taras Romanczuk M 7.30
19 Matías Nahuel Matías Nahuel 62' M 6.50
11 Jesús Imaz Jesús Imaz M 6.70
77 Kajetan Szmyt Kajetan Szmyt M 6.70
10 Afimico Pululu Afimico Pululu 1 ⚽ F 8.00
Bench
27 Bartłomiej Wdowik Bartłomiej Wdowik 16' D 6.30
85 Eryk Kozłowski Eryk Kozłowski M
72
K. Jozwiak M
14 Samed Baždar Samed Baždar 34' F 6.30
21 Sergio Lozano Sergio Lozano 19' M 6.70
80
Z. Zalewski 16' M 6.50
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.70
67
D 6.30
20 Josema Josema D 7.30
26 Rafał Janicki Rafał Janicki 1 ⚽ D 7.30
61
D 6.60
14 Jarosław Kubicki Jarosław Kubicki M 6.30
8 Patrik Hellebrand Patrik Hellebrand M 6.20
33 Maksym Khlan Maksym Khlan 84' M 6.30
13 Lukáš Sadílek Lukáš Sadílek 76' M 7.20
15 Massimo Massimo 84' M 6.60
7 Yvan Ikia Dimi Yvan Ikia Dimi 55' F 5.90
Bench
18 Lukáš Ambros Lukáš Ambros M
36 Michał Rakoczy Michał Rakoczy M
4 Paweł Bochniewicz Paweł Bochniewicz 20' D 6.30
16 Paweł Olkowski Paweł Olkowski 12' D 6.20
23 Sondre Liseth Sondre Liseth 41' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Afimico Pululu
Afimico Pululu
F · Jagiellonia
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 23 pass
D · Jagiellonia
7.70
· 51 pass
Taras Romanczuk
Taras Romanczuk
M · Jagiellonia
7.30
· 60 pass
Rafał Janicki
Rafał Janicki
D · Gornik
7.30
1 ⚽
· 39 pass
Josema
Josema
D · Gornik
7.30
· 39 pass
Lukáš Sadílek
Lukáš Sadílek
M · Gornik
7.20
· 18 pass
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.70 — — — 22 19% — — —
Guilherme Montóia D 80 6.90 — — 1 43 33% 3 — —
Yuki Kobayashi D 80 6.90 — — — 69 62% — — —
Bernardo Vital D 96 6.90 — — — 78 71% 1 — —
D 96 7.70 — — — 51 46% 9 — —
Bartosz Mazurek M 77 5.60 1 — 2 50 43% 1 1 —
Taras Romanczuk M 96 7.30 — — — 60 49% 1 — —
Matías Nahuel M 62 6.50 — — 1 22 18% 1 — —
Jesús Imaz M 96 6.70 — — 1 32 22% — — —
Kajetan Szmyt M 96 6.70 — — 2 16 11% 1 1 —
Afimico Pululu F 96 8.00 1 — 3 23 20% 1 1 —
Bartłomiej Wdowik D 16 6.30 — — — 13 11% — — —
Samed Baždar F 34 6.30 — — — 11 8% — — —
Sergio Lozano M 19 6.70 — — 1 14 12% — — —
Z. Zalewski M 16 6.50 — — — 4 4% — — —
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.70 — — — 30 11% — — —
D 96 6.30 — — 1 38 27% 2 — —
Josema D 96 7.30 — — — 39 35% 2 1 —
Rafał Janicki D 96 7.30 1 — — 39 33% 3 — —
D 96 6.60 — — — 31 24% 5 — —
Jarosław Kubicki M 96 6.30 — — 1 28 26% — — —
Patrik Hellebrand M 96 6.20 — — — 55 46% — — —
Maksym Khlan M 84 6.30 — — 2 19 15% 4 — —
Lukáš Sadílek M 76 7.20 — — — 18 17% 1 1 —
Massimo M 84 6.60 — — 1 8 7% 2 — —
Yvan Ikia Dimi F 55 5.90 — — — 8 5% — 1 —
Paweł Bochniewicz D 20 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
Paweł Olkowski D 12 6.20 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
Sondre Liseth M 41 6.30 — — — 7 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
The final score was Jagiellonia 1–2 Gornik Zabrze.
What did the model predict before Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Jagiellonia win, 29% to a draw, and 30% to an Gornik Zabrze win.