Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 30
April 24, 2026 20:30
A. Pululu
90'+3
(og)
64'
B. Mazurek
(pen.)
90'+8
R. Janicki
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jagiellonia a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Gornik Zabrze 30%). The final result was Jagiellonia 1–2 Gornik Zabrze. In 1 previous meetings, Jagiellonia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gornik Zabrze.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
3
1.02
Actual xG
0.84
3
Saves
7
61%
Possession
39%
7
Corners
2
18
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
30'
Y. Ikia Dimi
B. Mazurek
33'
A. Pululu
40'
44'
L. Sadilek
55'
S. Liseth
/
Y. Ikia Dimi
K. Szmyt
57'
M. Nahuel
/ S. Bazdar
62'
64'
(og)
B. Mazurek⚽
76'
P. Bochniewicz
/
L. Sadilek
B. Mazurek
/ S. Lozano
77'
G. Montoia
/ B. Wdowik
80'
Y. Kobayashi
/ Z. Zalewski
80'
84'
P. Olkowski
/
R. Massimo
84'
K. Lukoszek
/
M. Khlan
86'
Josema
⚽A. Pululu
90'+3
B. Wdowik
90'+6
90'+8
(pen.)
R. Janicki⚽
Pre-match prediction
40.41%
Jagiellonia
29.19%
X
30.4%
Gornik ←
we assigned to the actual result (Gornik Zabrze)
30.4%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
1.02
-0.28
1.15
0.84
-0.31
xG dominance was balanced (1.02 – 0.84).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
50
G
23
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
80'
D
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
80'
D
4
Y. Kobayashi
80'
D
Y. Kobayashi
80'
D
13
Bernardo Vital
D
Bernardo Vital
D
15
D
86
Bartosz Mazurek
1 ⚽
77'
M
Bartosz Mazurek
1 ⚽
77'
M
6
T. Romanczuk
M
T. Romanczuk
M
19
Matías Nahuel
62'
M
Matías Nahuel
62'
M
11
Jesús Imaz
M
Jesús Imaz
M
77
K. Szmyt
M
K. Szmyt
M
10
Afimico Pululu
1 ⚽
F
Afimico Pululu
1 ⚽
F
Bench
27
Bartłomiej Wdowik
16'
D
Bartłomiej Wdowik
16'
D
85
Eryk Kozlowski
M
Eryk Kozlowski
M
72
K. Jóźwiak
M
K. Jóźwiak
M
14
Samed Baždar
34'
F
Samed Baždar
34'
F
21
Sergio Lozano
19'
M
Sergio Lozano
19'
M
80
Z. Zalewski
16'
M
1
G
67
D
20
Josema Sánchez
D
Josema Sánchez
D
26
Rafał Janicki
1 ⚽
D
Rafał Janicki
1 ⚽
D
61
D
14
Jarosław Kubicki
M
Jarosław Kubicki
M
8
P. Hellebrand
M
P. Hellebrand
M
33
Maksym Khlan
84'
M
Maksym Khlan
84'
M
13
Lukáš Sadílek
76'
M
Lukáš Sadílek
76'
M
15
R. Massimo
84'
M
R. Massimo
84'
M
7
Y. Ikia Dimi
55'
F
Y. Ikia Dimi
55'
F
Bench
18
Lukáš Ambros
M
36
Michał Rakoczy
M
Michał Rakoczy
M
4
Paweł Bochniewicz
20'
D
Paweł Bochniewicz
20'
D
16
Paweł Olkowski
12'
D
Paweł Olkowski
12'
D
23
Sondre Liseth
41'
M
Sondre Liseth
41'
M
Best on the pitch
Afimico Pululu
F · Jagiellonia
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 23 pass
D · Jagiellonia
7.70
· 51 pass
T. Romanczuk
M · Jagiellonia
7.30
· 60 pass
Rafał Janicki
D · Gornik
7.30
1 ⚽
· 39 pass
Josema Sánchez
D · Gornik
7.30
· 39 pass
Lukáš Sadílek
M · Gornik
7.20
· 18 pass
Jagiellonia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Y. Kobayashi | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 62% | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Vital | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 78 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 9 | — | — | |
| Bartosz Mazurek | M | 77 | 5.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 50 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Romanczuk | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Nahuel | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Imaz | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 22% | — | — | — |
| K. Szmyt | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Afimico Pululu | F | 96 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bartłomiej Wdowik | D | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Samed Baždar | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Lozano | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Z. Zalewski | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Gornik Zabrze — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 27% | 2 | — | — | |
| Josema Sánchez | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rafał Janicki | D | 96 | 7.30 | 1 | — | — | 39 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 5 | — | — | |
| Jarosław Kubicki | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| P. Hellebrand | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Maksym Khlan | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Lukáš Sadílek | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Massimo | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Ikia Dimi | F | 55 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Paweł Bochniewicz | D | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Paweł Olkowski | D | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Sondre Liseth | M | 41 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
The final score was Jagiellonia 1–2 Gornik Zabrze.
What did the model predict before Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Jagiellonia win, 29% to a draw, and 30% to an Gornik Zabrze win.