← Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 32 May 09, 2026 17:30
Jagiellonia
#2 · 52 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Pogon Szczecin
#11 · 41 pts
K. Szmyt (ast. J. Imaz) 11'
A. Pululu (ast. A. Pozo) 32'
B. Vital 90'+1
44' F. Cuic
83' (ast. L. Koutris) M. Agger

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jagiellonia a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Pogon Szczecin 24%). The final result was Jagiellonia 3–2 Pogon Szczecin. In 1 previous meetings, Jagiellonia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Pogon Szczecin.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
6
14
Shots on target
3
2.09
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
11
57%
Possession
43%
7
Corners
0
13
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽K. Szmyt · ast. J. Imaz
11'
⚽A. Pululu · ast. A. Pozo
32'
44'
F. Cuic⚽
46'
N. Lawa / J. Czaplinski ↕
65'
K. Grosicki / K. Acosta ↕
65'
D. Keramitsis / L. Wahlqvist ↕
65'
L. Koutris / Leo Borges ↕
↕ K. Szmyt / K. Jozwiak
77'
↕ J. Imaz / M. Nahuel
77'
79'
H. Ali / D. Loncar ↕
↕ A. Pululu / S. Bazdar
82'
↕ S. Lozano / L. Flach
82'
83'
ast. L. Koutris · M. Agger⚽
⚽B. Vital
90'+1
K. Jozwiak
90'+2
↕ A. Pozo / A. Konstantopoulos
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
49.36%
Jagiellonia ←
25.82%
X
24.82%
Pogon
we assigned to the actual result (Jagiellonia) 49.36% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Jagiellonia
1.40
2.09
+0.69
Pogon
0.92
0.96
+0.04
Jagiellonia dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.96). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 32 56
2 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 32 52
3 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 32 50
4 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 32 49
5 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 32 48
6 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 32 48
7 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 32 45
8 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 32 44
9 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 32 43
10 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 32 42
11 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 32 41
12 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 32 41
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 32 40
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 32 39
15 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 32 39
16 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 32 38
17 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 32 36
18 Nieciecza Nieciecza 32 28
Lineups
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 4-2-3-1
50
G 6.00
23 Guilherme Montóia Guilherme Montóia D 7.30
4 Yuki Kobayashi Yuki Kobayashi D 6.60
13 Bernardo Vital Bernardo Vital 1 ⚽ D 7.30
15
D 5.70
21 Sergio Lozano Sergio Lozano 82' M 7.50
6 Taras Romanczuk Taras Romanczuk M 7.00
77 Kajetan Szmyt Kajetan Szmyt 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.90
11 Jesús Imaz Jesús Imaz 1 👟 77' M 6.60
7 Pozo Pozo 1 👟 M 8.30
10 Afimico Pululu Afimico Pululu 1 ⚽ 82' F 6.90
Bench
27 Bartłomiej Wdowik Bartłomiej Wdowik D
85 Eryk Kozłowski Eryk Kozłowski M
72
K. Jozwiak 16' M 6.20
19 Matías Nahuel Matías Nahuel 16' M 6.50
14 Samed Baždar Samed Baždar 11' F 6.30
80
Z. Zalewski M
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2
77
G 7.30
4
Leo Borges 65' D 6.20
41
D 6.20
22
Danijel Lončar 79' D 6.30
28
L. Wahlqvist 65' D 6.30
30
J. Czaplinski 45' M 6.50
3
K. Acosta 65' M 6.60
8
F. Ulvestad M 6.90
25
Mads Agger 1 ⚽ M 7.20
18
Paul Mukairu F 6.70
10
F. Cuic 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
23
B. Mendy D
13
Dimitrios Keramitsis 28' D 6.20
15
H. Ali 14' D 6.20
6
Jan Biegański M
11
Kamil Grosicki 28' M 6.30
24
K. Angielski F
32
Leonardo Koutris 1 👟 28' D 6.60
47
Natan Ława 48' M 6.60
90
S. Greenwood F
Best on the pitch
Pozo
Pozo
M · Jagiellonia
8.30
1 👟
2 shots · 24 pass
Kajetan Szmyt
Kajetan Szmyt
M · Jagiellonia
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 24 pass
Sergio Lozano
Sergio Lozano
M · Jagiellonia
7.50
4 shots · 36 pass
Guilherme Montóia
Guilherme Montóia
D · Jagiellonia
7.30
· 44 pass
Bernardo Vital
Bernardo Vital
D · Jagiellonia
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 72 pass
F. Cuic
F · Pogon
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 93 6.00 — — — 29 17% — — —
Guilherme Montóia D 93 7.30 — — — 44 36% 3 — —
Yuki Kobayashi D 93 6.60 — — — 52 47% — — —
Bernardo Vital D 93 7.30 1 — 1 72 64% — — —
D 93 5.70 — — — 50 41% 3 — —
Sergio Lozano M 82 7.50 — — 4 36 32% 2 — —
Taras Romanczuk M 93 7.00 — — 1 57 52% 3 — —
Kajetan Szmyt M 77 7.90 1 — 2 24 19% — — —
Jesús Imaz M 77 6.60 — 1 2 35 29% 2 — —
Pozo M 93 8.30 — 1 2 24 21% — — —
Afimico Pululu F 82 6.90 1 — 3 22 17% — — —
K. Jozwiak M 16 6.20 — — 1 6 5% — 1 —
Matías Nahuel M 16 6.50 — — — 6 6% — — —
Samed Baždar F 11 6.30 — — 1 5 4% — — —
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 93 7.30 — — — 26 18% — — —
Leo Borges D 65 6.20 — — 1 32 21% 6 — —
D 93 6.20 — — — 50 39% 1 — —
Danijel Lončar D 79 6.30 — — — 41 35% — — —
L. Wahlqvist D 65 6.30 — — — 20 19% — — —
J. Czaplinski M 45 6.50 — — 1 12 12% 1 — —
K. Acosta M 65 6.60 — — — 19 16% 2 — —
F. Ulvestad M 93 6.90 — — — 44 39% 1 — —
Mads Agger M 93 7.20 1 — 1 15 12% — — —
Paul Mukairu F 93 6.70 — — — 26 22% 2 — —
F. Cuic F 93 7.30 1 — 1 14 6% — — —
Dimitrios Keramitsis D 28 6.20 — — — 13 13% — — —
H. Ali D 14 6.20 — — — 1 1% — — —
Kamil Grosicki M 28 6.30 — — 1 6 4% — — —
Leonardo Koutris D 28 6.60 — 1 — 19 15% — — —
Natan Ława M 48 6.60 — — 1 18 18% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
The final score was Jagiellonia 3–2 Pogon Szczecin.
What did the model predict before Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Jagiellonia win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an Pogon Szczecin win.