Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 32
May 09, 2026 17:30
K. Szmyt
(ast. J. Imaz)
11'
A. Pululu
(ast. A. Pozo)
32'
B. Vital
90'+1
44'
F. Cuic
83'
(ast. L. Koutris)
M. Agger
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jagiellonia a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Pogon Szczecin 24%). The final result was Jagiellonia 3–2 Pogon Szczecin. In 1 previous meetings, Jagiellonia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Pogon Szczecin.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
6
14
Shots on target
3
2.09
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
11
57%
Possession
43%
7
Corners
0
13
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽K. Szmyt
· ast. J. Imaz
11'
⚽A. Pululu
· ast. A. Pozo
32'
44'
F. Cuic⚽
46'
N. Lawa
/
J. Czaplinski
65'
K. Grosicki
/
K. Acosta
65'
D. Keramitsis
/
L. Wahlqvist
65'
L. Koutris
/
Leo Borges
K. Szmyt
/ K. Jozwiak
77'
J. Imaz
/ M. Nahuel
77'
79'
H. Ali
/
D. Loncar
A. Pululu
/ S. Bazdar
82'
S. Lozano
/ L. Flach
82'
83'
ast. L. Koutris ·
M. Agger⚽
⚽B. Vital
90'+1
K. Jozwiak
90'+2
A. Pozo
/ A. Konstantopoulos
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
49.36%
Jagiellonia ←
25.82%
X
24.82%
Pogon
we assigned to the actual result (Jagiellonia)
49.36%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
2.09
+0.69
0.92
0.96
+0.04
Jagiellonia dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.96).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
50
G
23
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
D
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
D
4
Yuki Kobayashi
D
Yuki Kobayashi
D
13
Bernardo Vital
1 ⚽
D
Bernardo Vital
1 ⚽
D
15
D
21
Sergio Lozano
82'
M
Sergio Lozano
82'
M
6
T. Romanczuk
M
T. Romanczuk
M
77
K. Szmyt
1 ⚽
77'
M
K. Szmyt
1 ⚽
77'
M
11
Jesús Imaz
1 👟
77'
M
Jesús Imaz
1 👟
77'
M
7
Pozo
1 👟
M
Pozo
1 👟
M
10
Afimico Pululu
1 ⚽
82'
F
Afimico Pululu
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
27
B. Wdowik
D
B. Wdowik
D
85
Eryk Kozlowski
M
Eryk Kozlowski
M
72
K. Jóźwiak
16'
M
K. Jóźwiak
16'
M
19
Matías Nahuel
16'
M
Matías Nahuel
16'
M
14
S. Baždar
11'
F
S. Baždar
11'
F
80
Zachary Zalewski
M
Zachary Zalewski
M
77
G
4
Léo Borges
65'
D
Léo Borges
65'
D
41
D
22
Danijel Lončar
79'
D
Danijel Lončar
79'
D
28
Linus Wahlqvist
65'
D
Linus Wahlqvist
65'
D
30
J. Czaplinski
45'
M
J. Czaplinski
45'
M
3
K. Acosta
65'
M
K. Acosta
65'
M
8
F. Ulvestad
M
F. Ulvestad
M
25
M. Agger
1 ⚽
M
M. Agger
1 ⚽
M
18
P. Mukairu
F
P. Mukairu
F
10
Filip Čuić
1 ⚽
F
Filip Čuić
1 ⚽
F
Bench
23
B. Mendy
D
B. Mendy
D
13
D. Keramitsis
28'
D
D. Keramitsis
28'
D
15
Hussein Ali
14'
D
Hussein Ali
14'
D
6
J. Biegański
M
J. Biegański
M
24
Karol Angielski
F
11
K. Grosicki
28'
M
K. Grosicki
28'
M
32
Leonardo Koutris
1 👟
28'
D
Leonardo Koutris
1 👟
28'
D
47
N. Lawa
48'
M
N. Lawa
48'
M
90
S. Greenwood
F
S. Greenwood
F
Best on the pitch
Pozo
M · Jagiellonia
8.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 24 pass
K. Szmyt
M · Jagiellonia
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
Sergio Lozano
M · Jagiellonia
7.50
4 shots
· 36 pass
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
D · Jagiellonia
7.30
· 44 pass
Bernardo Vital
D · Jagiellonia
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 72 pass
Filip Čuić
F · Pogon
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Jagiellonia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Yuki Kobayashi | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Vital | D | 93 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 72 | 64% | — | — | — |
| D | 93 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| Sergio Lozano | M | 82 | 7.50 | — | — | 4 | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Romanczuk | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Szmyt | M | 77 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Imaz | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Pozo | M | 93 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Afimico Pululu | F | 82 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| K. Jóźwiak | M | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Matías Nahuel | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Baždar | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Pogon Szczecin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Léo Borges | D | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 21% | 6 | — | — |
| D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| Danijel Lončar | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Linus Wahlqvist | D | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Czaplinski | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Acosta | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Ulvestad | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Agger | M | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| P. Mukairu | F | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Filip Čuić | F | 93 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 6% | — | — | — |
| D. Keramitsis | D | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Hussein Ali | D | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| K. Grosicki | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Koutris | D | 28 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| N. Lawa | M | 48 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
The final score was Jagiellonia 3–2 Pogon Szczecin.
What did the model predict before Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Jagiellonia win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an Pogon Szczecin win.