Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 32
May 09, 2026 17:30
K. Szmyt
(ast. J. Imaz)
11'
A. Pululu
(ast. A. Pozo)
32'
B. Vital
90'+1
44'
F. Cuic
83'
(ast. L. Koutris)
M. Agger
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jagiellonia a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Pogon Szczecin 24%). The final result was Jagiellonia 3–2 Pogon Szczecin. In 1 previous meetings, Jagiellonia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Pogon Szczecin.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
6
14
Shots on target
3
2.09
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
11
57%
Possession
43%
7
Corners
0
13
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽K. Szmyt
· ast. J. Imaz
11'
⚽A. Pululu
· ast. A. Pozo
32'
44'
F. Cuic⚽
46'
N. Lawa
/
J. Czaplinski
65'
K. Grosicki
/
K. Acosta
65'
D. Keramitsis
/
L. Wahlqvist
65'
L. Koutris
/
Leo Borges
K. Szmyt
/ K. Jozwiak
77'
J. Imaz
/ M. Nahuel
77'
79'
H. Ali
/
D. Loncar
A. Pululu
/ S. Bazdar
82'
S. Lozano
/ L. Flach
82'
83'
ast. L. Koutris ·
M. Agger⚽
⚽B. Vital
90'+1
K. Jozwiak
90'+2
A. Pozo
/ A. Konstantopoulos
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
49.36%
Jagiellonia ←
25.82%
X
24.82%
Pogon
we assigned to the actual result (Jagiellonia)
49.36%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
2.09
+0.69
0.92
0.96
+0.04
Jagiellonia dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.96).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
50
G
23
Guilherme Montóia
D
Guilherme Montóia
D
4
Yuki Kobayashi
D
Yuki Kobayashi
D
13
Bernardo Vital
1 ⚽
D
Bernardo Vital
1 ⚽
D
15
D
21
Sergio Lozano
82'
M
Sergio Lozano
82'
M
6
T. Romanczuk
M
T. Romanczuk
M
77
Kajetan Szmyt
1 ⚽
77'
M
Kajetan Szmyt
1 ⚽
77'
M
11
Jesús Imaz
1 👟
77'
M
Jesús Imaz
1 👟
77'
M
7
Pozo
1 👟
M
Pozo
1 👟
M
10
Afimico Pululu
1 ⚽
82'
F
Afimico Pululu
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
27
Bartłomiej Wdowik
D
Bartłomiej Wdowik
D
85
Eryk Kozłowski
M
Eryk Kozłowski
M
72
Kamil Jóźwiak
16'
M
Kamil Jóźwiak
16'
M
19
Matías Nahuel
16'
M
Matías Nahuel
16'
M
14
Samed Baždar
11'
F
Samed Baždar
11'
F
80
Z. Zalewski
M
77
G
4
Léo Borges
65'
D
Léo Borges
65'
D
41
D
22
Danijel Lončar
79'
D
Danijel Lončar
79'
D
28
Linus Wahlqvist
65'
D
Linus Wahlqvist
65'
D
30
Jacek Czaplinski
45'
M
Jacek Czaplinski
45'
M
3
Kellyn Acosta
65'
M
Kellyn Acosta
65'
M
8
Fredrik Ulvestad
M
Fredrik Ulvestad
M
25
Mads Agger
1 ⚽
M
Mads Agger
1 ⚽
M
18
P. Mukairu
F
P. Mukairu
F
10
Filip Čuić
1 ⚽
F
Filip Čuić
1 ⚽
F
Bench
23
Benjamin Mendy
D
Benjamin Mendy
D
13
Dimitrios Keramitsis
28'
D
Dimitrios Keramitsis
28'
D
15
Hussein Ali
14'
D
Hussein Ali
14'
D
6
Jan Biegański
M
Jan Biegański
M
24
Karol Angielski
F
Karol Angielski
F
11
K. Grosicki
28'
M
K. Grosicki
28'
M
32
Leonardo Koutris
1 👟
28'
D
Leonardo Koutris
1 👟
28'
D
47
Natan Ława
48'
M
Natan Ława
48'
M
90
Sam Greenwood
F
Sam Greenwood
F
Best on the pitch
Pozo
M · Jagiellonia
8.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 24 pass
Kajetan Szmyt
M · Jagiellonia
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
Sergio Lozano
M · Jagiellonia
7.50
4 shots
· 36 pass
Guilherme Montóia
D · Jagiellonia
7.30
· 44 pass
Bernardo Vital
D · Jagiellonia
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 72 pass
Filip Čuić
F · Pogon
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Jagiellonia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Montóia | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Yuki Kobayashi | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Vital | D | 93 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 72 | 64% | — | — | — |
| D | 93 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| Sergio Lozano | M | 82 | 7.50 | — | — | 4 | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Romanczuk | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| Kajetan Szmyt | M | 77 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Imaz | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Pozo | M | 93 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Afimico Pululu | F | 82 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Kamil Jóźwiak | M | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Matías Nahuel | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Samed Baždar | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Pogon Szczecin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Léo Borges | D | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 21% | 6 | — | — |
| D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| Danijel Lončar | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Linus Wahlqvist | D | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Jacek Czaplinski | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Kellyn Acosta | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Fredrik Ulvestad | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Mads Agger | M | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| P. Mukairu | F | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Filip Čuić | F | 93 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Dimitrios Keramitsis | D | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Hussein Ali | D | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| K. Grosicki | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Koutris | D | 28 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Natan Ława | M | 48 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
The final score was Jagiellonia 3–2 Pogon Szczecin.
What did the model predict before Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Jagiellonia win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an Pogon Szczecin win.