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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 32 May 09, 2026 17:30
Jagiellonia
#10 · 18 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Pogon Szczecin
#4 · 24 pts
K. Szmyt (ast. J. Imaz) 11'
A. Pululu (ast. A. Pozo) 32'
B. Vital 90'+1
44' F. Cuic
83' (ast. L. Koutris) M. Agger
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jagiellonia a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Pogon Szczecin 24%). The final result was Jagiellonia 3–2 Pogon Szczecin. In 1 previous meetings, Jagiellonia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Pogon Szczecin.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
6
14
Shots on target
3
2.09
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
11
57%
Possession
43%
7
Corners
0
13
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽K. Szmyt · ast. J. Imaz
11'
⚽A. Pululu · ast. A. Pozo
32'
44'
F. Cuic⚽
46'
N. Lawa / J. Czaplinski ↕
65'
K. Grosicki / K. Acosta ↕
65'
D. Keramitsis / L. Wahlqvist ↕
65'
L. Koutris / Leo Borges ↕
↕ K. Szmyt / K. Jozwiak
77'
↕ J. Imaz / M. Nahuel
77'
79'
H. Ali / D. Loncar ↕
↕ A. Pululu / S. Bazdar
82'
↕ S. Lozano / L. Flach
82'
83'
ast. L. Koutris · M. Agger⚽
⚽B. Vital
90'+1
K. Jozwiak
90'+2
↕ A. Pozo / A. Konstantopoulos
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
49.36%
Jagiellonia ←
25.82%
X
24.82%
Pogon
we assigned to the actual result (Jagiellonia) 49.36% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Jagiellonia
1.40
2.09
+0.69
Pogon
0.92
0.96
+0.04
Jagiellonia dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.96). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 12 31
2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 13 28
3 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 13 24
4 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 12 24
5 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 14 24
6 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 13 22
7 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 13 21
8 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 13 21
9 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 14 19
10 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 12 18
11 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 13 18
12 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 13 15
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 14 12
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 13 11
15 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 13 11
16 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 13 9
17 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 13 9
18 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 13 8
Lineups
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 4-2-3-1
50
G 6.00
23 Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia D 7.30
4 Y. Kobayashi Y. Kobayashi D 6.60
13 Bernardo Vital Bernardo Vital 1 ⚽ D 7.30
15
D 5.70
21 Sergio Lozano Sergio Lozano 82' M 7.50
6 T. Romanczuk T. Romanczuk M 7.00
77 K. Szmyt K. Szmyt 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.90
11 Jesús Imaz Jesús Imaz 1 👟 77' M 6.60
7 Pozo Pozo 1 👟 M 8.30
10 Afimico Pululu Afimico Pululu 1 ⚽ 82' F 6.90
Bench
27 B. Wdowik B. Wdowik D
85 Eryk Kozlowski Eryk Kozlowski M
72 K. Jóźwiak K. Jóźwiak 16' M 6.20
19
Matías Nahuel 16' M 6.50
14 Samed Baždar Samed Baždar 11' F 6.30
80 Zachary Zalewski Zachary Zalewski M
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2
77
G 7.30
4 Léo Borges Léo Borges 65' D 6.20
41
D 6.20
22 Danijel Lončar Danijel Lončar 79' D 6.30
28 Linus Wahlqvist Linus Wahlqvist 65' D 6.30
30 J. Czaplinski J. Czaplinski 45' M 6.50
3 K. Acosta K. Acosta 65' M 6.60
8 F. Ulvestad F. Ulvestad M 6.90
25 M. Agger M. Agger 1 ⚽ M 7.20
18 P. Mukairu P. Mukairu F 6.70
10 Filip Čuić Filip Čuić 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
23 B. Mendy B. Mendy D
13 D. Keramitsis D. Keramitsis 28' D 6.20
15 Hussein Ali Hussein Ali 14' D 6.20
6 J. Biegański J. Biegański M
24
Karol Angielski F
11 K. Grosicki K. Grosicki 28' M 6.30
32 L. Koútris L. Koútris 1 👟 28' D 6.60
47 N. Lawa N. Lawa 48' M 6.60
90 S. Greenwood S. Greenwood F
Best on the pitch
Pozo
Pozo
M · Jagiellonia
8.30
1 👟
2 shots · 24 pass
K. Szmyt
K. Szmyt
M · Jagiellonia
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 24 pass
Sergio Lozano
Sergio Lozano
M · Jagiellonia
7.50
4 shots · 36 pass
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
D · Jagiellonia
7.30
· 44 pass
Bernardo Vital
Bernardo Vital
D · Jagiellonia
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 72 pass
Filip Čuić
Filip Čuić
F · Pogon
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 93 6.00 — — — 29 17% — — —
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia D 93 7.30 — — — 44 36% 3 — —
Y. Kobayashi D 93 6.60 — — — 52 47% — — —
Bernardo Vital D 93 7.30 1 — 1 72 64% — — —
D 93 5.70 — — — 50 41% 3 — —
Sergio Lozano M 82 7.50 — — 4 36 32% 2 — —
T. Romanczuk M 93 7.00 — — 1 57 52% 3 — —
K. Szmyt M 77 7.90 1 — 2 24 19% — — —
Jesús Imaz M 77 6.60 — 1 2 35 29% 2 — —
Pozo M 93 8.30 — 1 2 24 21% — — —
Afimico Pululu F 82 6.90 1 — 3 22 17% — — —
K. Jóźwiak M 16 6.20 — — 1 6 5% — 1 —
Matías Nahuel M 16 6.50 — — — 6 6% — — —
Samed Baždar F 11 6.30 — — 1 5 4% — — —
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 93 7.30 — — — 26 18% — — —
Léo Borges D 65 6.20 — — 1 32 21% 6 — —
D 93 6.20 — — — 50 39% 1 — —
Danijel Lončar D 79 6.30 — — — 41 35% — — —
Linus Wahlqvist D 65 6.30 — — — 20 19% — — —
J. Czaplinski M 45 6.50 — — 1 12 12% 1 — —
K. Acosta M 65 6.60 — — — 19 16% 2 — —
F. Ulvestad M 93 6.90 — — — 44 39% 1 — —
M. Agger M 93 7.20 1 — 1 15 12% — — —
P. Mukairu F 93 6.70 — — — 26 22% 2 — —
Filip Čuić F 93 7.30 1 — 1 14 6% — — —
D. Keramitsis D 28 6.20 — — — 13 13% — — —
Hussein Ali D 14 6.20 — — — 1 1% — — —
K. Grosicki M 28 6.30 — — 1 6 4% — — —
L. Koútris D 28 6.60 — 1 — 19 15% — — —
N. Lawa M 48 6.60 — — 1 18 18% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
The final score was Jagiellonia 3–2 Pogon Szczecin.
What did the model predict before Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Jagiellonia win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an Pogon Szczecin win.