Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 15
April 03, 2026 01:20
Y. Moreno
50'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Jaguares 24%). The final result was Jaguares 1–0 Millonarios.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
7
1.85
Actual xG
0.89
7
Saves
3
37%
Possession
63%
2
Corners
5
17
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
38'
Edgar Elizalde
Fabián Mosquera
40'
J. Mejia
/ D. Rodriguez Urango
46'
⚽Y. Moreno
(pen.)
50'
59'
J. Angulo
/
M. Samuel
Jopito
/ W. De La Rosa
69'
73'
S. Viveros
/
D. Silva
73'
B. D. Castro Espinosa
/
R. Contreras
Y. Moreno
/ D. Lopez
75'
79'
D. Quintero
/
M. Garcia
79'
B. Campaz
/
A. Llinas
C. Ordonez
/ J. Lovera
90'+1
F. Mosquera
/ D. Martinez
90'+1
90'+2
Diego Novoa
Diego Martínez
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
24.99%
Jaguares ←
26.29%
X
48.73%
Millonarios
we assigned to the actual result (Jaguares)
24.99%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.05
1.85
+0.8
1.92
0.89
-1.03
Jaguares dominated by xG (1.85 vs 0.89).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
F. Mosquera
89'
G
25
D
29
C. Henao
D
5
R. R. Colpa Bolano
D
22
C. Ordonez
89'
D
23
Fabián Mosquera
M
13
J. Hinestroza
M
J. Hinestroza
M
19
Yairo Moreno
1 ⚽
75'
M
10
Cristian Alvarez
69'
M
16
J. Mejia
45'
M
11
A. Rentería
F
A. Rentería
F
Bench
14
Bladimir Angulo
M
26
Darwin Lopez
15'
F
1
Diego Martínez
13'
G
8
D. Rodriguez Urango
45'
F
6
J. Lovera
13'
M
24
S. Cubides
F
7
W. De La Rosa
21'
F
12
Diego Novoa
G
22
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D
17
J. Arias
D
4
Edgar Elizalde
D
26
A. Llinas
79'
D
3
M. Samuel
59'
D
14
David Macalister Silva
73'
M
28
M
19
M. Garcia
79'
M
23
L. Castro
F
L. Castro
F
27
R. Contreras
73'
F
R. Contreras
73'
F
Bench
29
A. F. Moreno Paz
D
11
B. Castro
17'
F
B. Castro
17'
F
20
D. Banguero
D
7
D. Quintero
11'
M
1
G. De Amores
G
30
S. Viveros
Best on the pitch
F. Mosquera
G · Jaguares
8.50
· 18 pass
J. Arias
D · Millonarios
8.20
· 70 pass
M · Millonarios
7.50
· 67 pass
R. R. Colpa Bolano
D · Jaguares
7.50
· 22 pass
Yairo Moreno
M · Jaguares
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
Cristian Alvarez
M · Jaguares
7.30
· 34 pass
Jaguares — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Mosquera | G | 89 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 4 | — | — | |
| C. Henao | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. R. Colpa Bolano | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Ordonez | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabián Mosquera | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Hinestroza | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Yairo Moreno | M | 75 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Cristian Alvarez | M | 69 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Mejia | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Rentería | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Darwin Lopez | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Diego Martínez | G | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Rodriguez Urango | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Lovera | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| W. De La Rosa | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Millonarios — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Novoa | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastián Valencia Isaza | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | — | — | — |
| J. Arias | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 70 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| Edgar Elizalde | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Llinas | D | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Samuel | D | 59 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| David Macalister Silva | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 67 | 61% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Garcia | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| L. Castro | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Contreras | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| B. Castro | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Quintero | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jaguares vs Millonarios?
The final score was Jaguares 1–0 Millonarios.
What did the model predict before Jaguares vs Millonarios?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Jaguares win, 26% to a draw, and 48% to an Millonarios win.