Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 15
April 03, 2026 01:20
Y. Moreno
50'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Jaguares 24%). The final result was Jaguares 1–0 Millonarios.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
7
1.85
Actual xG
0.89
7
Saves
3
37%
Possession
63%
2
Corners
5
17
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
38'
Edgar Elizalde
Fabián Mosquera
40'
J. Mejia
/ D. Rodriguez Urango
46'
⚽Y. Moreno
(pen.)
50'
59'
J. Angulo
/
M. Samuel
Jopito
/ W. De La Rosa
69'
73'
S. Viveros
/
D. Silva
73'
B. D. Castro Espinosa
/
R. Contreras
Y. Moreno
/ D. Lopez
75'
79'
D. Quintero
/
M. Garcia
79'
B. Campaz
/
A. Llinas
C. Ordonez
/ J. Lovera
90'+1
F. Mosquera
/ D. Martinez
90'+1
90'+2
Diego Novoa
Diego Martínez
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
24.99%
Jaguares ←
26.29%
X
48.73%
Millonarios
we assigned to the actual result (Jaguares)
24.99%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.05
1.85
+0.8
1.92
0.89
-1.03
Jaguares dominated by xG (1.85 vs 0.89).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
F. Mosquera
89'
G
F. Mosquera
89'
G
25
D
29
C. Henao
D
C. Henao
D
5
R. Colpa
D
R. Colpa
D
22
C. Ordonez
89'
D
23
Fabián Mosquera
M
13
J. Hinestroza
M
J. Hinestroza
M
19
Yairo Moreno
1 ⚽
75'
M
10
C. Álvarez
69'
M
C. Álvarez
69'
M
16
J. Mejia
45'
M
J. Mejia
45'
M
11
A. Rentería
F
A. Rentería
F
Bench
14
Bladimir Angulo
M
26
D. López
15'
F
D. López
15'
F
1
D. Martínez
13'
G
D. Martínez
13'
G
8
D. Rodríguez
45'
F
D. Rodríguez
45'
F
6
J. Lovera
13'
M
J. Lovera
13'
M
24
S. Cubides
F
S. Cubides
F
7
W. De La Rosa
21'
F
W. De La Rosa
21'
F
12
D. Novoa
G
D. Novoa
G
22
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D
17
J. Arias
D
J. Arias
D
4
Edgar Elizalde
D
26
A. Llinás
79'
D
A. Llinás
79'
D
3
M. Diaz Samuel
59'
D
M. Diaz Samuel
59'
D
14
D. Silva
73'
M
D. Silva
73'
M
28
M
19
M. García
79'
M
M. García
79'
M
23
L. Castro
F
L. Castro
F
27
R. Contreras
73'
F
R. Contreras
73'
F
Bench
29
Alex Moreno
D
Alex Moreno
D
11
B. Castro
17'
F
B. Castro
17'
F
20
D. Banguero
D
D. Banguero
D
7
D. Quintero
11'
M
D. Quintero
11'
M
1
Guillermo De Amores
G
Guillermo De Amores
G
30
S. Viveros
Best on the pitch
F. Mosquera
G · Jaguares
8.50
· 18 pass
J. Arias
D · Millonarios
8.20
· 70 pass
M · Millonarios
7.50
· 67 pass
R. Colpa
D · Jaguares
7.50
· 22 pass
Yairo Moreno
M · Jaguares
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
C. Álvarez
M · Jaguares
7.30
· 34 pass
Jaguares — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Mosquera | G | 89 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 4 | — | — | |
| C. Henao | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. Colpa | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Ordonez | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabián Mosquera | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Hinestroza | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Yairo Moreno | M | 75 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Álvarez | M | 69 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Mejia | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Rentería | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. López | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Martínez | G | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Rodríguez | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Lovera | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| W. De La Rosa | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Millonarios — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Novoa | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastián Valencia Isaza | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | — | — | — |
| J. Arias | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 70 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| Edgar Elizalde | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Llinás | D | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Diaz Samuel | D | 59 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Silva | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 67 | 61% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. García | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| L. Castro | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Contreras | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| B. Castro | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Quintero | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jaguares vs Millonarios?
The final score was Jaguares 1–0 Millonarios.
What did the model predict before Jaguares vs Millonarios?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Jaguares win, 26% to a draw, and 48% to an Millonarios win.