Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 15
April 03, 2026 01:20
Y. Moreno
50'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Jaguares 24%). The final result was Jaguares 1–0 Millonarios.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
7
1.85
Actual xG
0.89
7
Saves
3
37%
Possession
63%
2
Corners
5
17
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
38'
Edgar Elizalde
Fabián Mosquera
40'
J. Mejia
/ D. Rodriguez Urango
46'
⚽Y. Moreno
(pen.)
50'
59'
J. Angulo
/
M. Samuel
Jopito
/ W. De La Rosa
69'
73'
S. Viveros
/
D. Silva
73'
B. D. Castro Espinosa
/
R. Contreras
Y. Moreno
/ D. Lopez
75'
79'
D. Quintero
/
M. Garcia
79'
B. Campaz
/
A. Llinas
C. Ordonez
/ J. Lovera
90'+1
F. Mosquera
/ D. Martinez
90'+1
90'+2
Diego Novoa
Diego Martínez
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
24.99%
Jaguares ←
26.29%
X
48.73%
Millonarios
we assigned to the actual result (Jaguares)
24.99%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.05
1.85
+0.8
1.92
0.89
-1.03
Jaguares dominated by xG (1.85 vs 0.89).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Franklin Mosquera
89'
G
Franklin Mosquera
89'
G
25
D
29
Carlos Henao
D
Carlos Henao
D
5
Royscer Colpa
D
Royscer Colpa
D
22
C. Ordonez
89'
D
23
Fabián Mosquera
M
13
J. Hinestroza
M
J. Hinestroza
M
19
Yairo Moreno
1 ⚽
75'
M
10
Cristian Alvarez
69'
M
Cristian Alvarez
69'
M
16
Johar Mejía
45'
M
Johar Mejía
45'
M
11
A. Rentería
F
A. Rentería
F
Bench
14
Bladimir Angulo
M
26
Darwin Lopez
15'
F
Darwin Lopez
15'
F
1
Diego Martínez
13'
G
Diego Martínez
13'
G
8
D. Rodriguez Urango
45'
F
6
Jonathan Lovera
13'
M
24
Santiago Cubides
F
Santiago Cubides
F
7
Wilfrido De la Rosa
21'
F
Wilfrido De la Rosa
21'
F
12
Diego Novoa
G
Diego Novoa
G
22
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D
17
Jorge Arias
D
Jorge Arias
D
4
Edgar Elizalde
D
26
Andrés Llinás
79'
D
Andrés Llinás
79'
D
3
Samuel Martín
59'
D
Samuel Martín
59'
D
14
David Macalister Silva
73'
M
David Macalister Silva
73'
M
28
M
19
M. García
79'
M
M. García
79'
M
23
L. Castro
F
L. Castro
F
27
R. Contreras
73'
F
R. Contreras
73'
F
Bench
29
Alex Moreno
D
Alex Moreno
D
11
Beckham Castro
17'
F
Beckham Castro
17'
F
20
Danovis Banguero
D
Danovis Banguero
D
7
Darwin Quintero
11'
M
Darwin Quintero
11'
M
1
Guillermo De Amores
G
Guillermo De Amores
G
30
S. Viveros
Best on the pitch
Franklin Mosquera
G · Jaguares
8.50
· 18 pass
Jorge Arias
D · Millonarios
8.20
· 70 pass
M · Millonarios
7.50
· 67 pass
Royscer Colpa
D · Jaguares
7.50
· 22 pass
Yairo Moreno
M · Jaguares
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
Cristian Alvarez
M · Jaguares
7.30
· 34 pass
Jaguares — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin Mosquera | G | 89 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 4 | — | — | |
| Carlos Henao | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Royscer Colpa | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Ordonez | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabián Mosquera | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Hinestroza | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Yairo Moreno | M | 75 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Cristian Alvarez | M | 69 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Johar Mejía | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Rentería | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Darwin Lopez | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Diego Martínez | G | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Rodriguez Urango | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Lovera | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Wilfrido De la Rosa | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Millonarios — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Novoa | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastián Valencia Isaza | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Arias | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 70 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| Edgar Elizalde | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Andrés Llinás | D | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Samuel Martín | D | 59 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| David Macalister Silva | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 67 | 61% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. García | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| L. Castro | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Contreras | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Beckham Castro | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Darwin Quintero | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Jaguares vs Millonarios?
The final score was Jaguares 1–0 Millonarios.
What did the model predict before Jaguares vs Millonarios?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Jaguares win, 26% to a draw, and 48% to an Millonarios win.