Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 17
April 20, 2026 01:20
C. Bacca
(ast. E. Herrera)
39'
J. Canchimbo
(ast. C. Bacca)
42'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 53% win probability (draw 28%, Llaneros 18%). The final result was Junior 2–0 Llaneros.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
1.02
Actual xG
1.02
3
Saves
1
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
12
22
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
L. Muriel
28'
36'
K. Rincon
⚽C. Bacca
· ast. E. Herrera
39'
⚽J. Canchimbo
· ast. C. Bacca
42'
Y. Suarez
44'
46'
J. Medranda
/
K. Rincon
46'
J. Loaiza
/
M. Ortega
Y. Suarez
/ D. Rivera
46'
55'
Jhon Vasquez
K. Perez
/ C. Barrios
61'
65'
L. Marimon
/
C. Cortes
C. Bacca
/ T. Gutierrez
66'
L. Muriel
/ G. Paiva
74'
J. Canchimbo
/ B. Castrillon
74'
78'
J. Castro
/
L. Miranda
82'
V. Vidal
/
A. Moralez
J. Rios
90'+1
T. Gutierrez
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
53.0%
Junior ←
28.93%
X
18.07%
Llaneros
we assigned to the actual result (Junior)
53.0%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
1.02
-0.52
0.78
1.02
+0.24
xG dominance was balanced (1.02 – 1.02).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Mauro Silveira
G
Mauro Silveira
G
26
Yeison Suárez
45'
D
Yeison Suárez
45'
D
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
98
Jermein Peña
D
3
1 👟
D
22
Jesús Rivas
M
Jesús Rivas
M
14
Juan David Ríos
M
Juan David Ríos
M
18
K. Perez
61'
M
10
Luis Muriel
74'
M
Luis Muriel
74'
M
21
Joel Canchimbo
1 ⚽
74'
M
Joel Canchimbo
1 ⚽
74'
M
70
Carlos Bacca
1 ⚽
1 👟
66'
F
Carlos Bacca
1 ⚽
1 👟
66'
F
Bench
88
Bryan Castrillón
21'
F
Bryan Castrillón
21'
F
77
Cristian Barrios
34'
F
Cristian Barrios
34'
F
5
Daniel Rivera
50'
M
Daniel Rivera
50'
M
9
Guillermo Paiva
21'
F
Guillermo Paiva
21'
F
30
Jefersson Martínez
G
Jefersson Martínez
G
29
Teófilo Gutiérrez
29'
F
Teófilo Gutiérrez
29'
F
1
M. Ortega
45'
G
2
Howell Mena
D
21
Francisco Meza
D
23
Alejandro Moralez
82'
D
7
L. Miranda
78'
D
6
Marlon Sierra
M
35
K. Caicedo
M
77
Kevin Rincón
45'
M
10
Neider Ospina
M
95
J. Vásquez
M
J. Vásquez
M
9
Carlos Cortés
65'
F
Bench
94
J. Medranda
50'
D
12
Juan Loaiza
50'
G
11
L. Marimon
30'
F
Best on the pitch
Carlos Bacca
F · Junior
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 7 pass
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D · Junior
7.90
· 32 pass
Joel Canchimbo
M · Junior
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 13 pass
Neider Ospina
M · Llaneros
7.70
3 shots
· 23 pass
Jermein Peña
D · Junior
7.60
1 shots
· 39 pass
D · Junior
7.50
1 👟
· 25 pass
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauro Silveira | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Yeison Suárez | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jean Carlos Pestaña | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Jermein Peña | D | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — | |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan David Ríos | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 3 | 1 | — |
| K. Perez | M | 61 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Muriel | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | M | 74 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Carlos Bacca | F | 66 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan Castrillón | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Barrios | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Rivera | M | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Paiva | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Teófilo Gutiérrez | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
Llaneros — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ortega | G | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Howell Mena | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Francisco Meza | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Moralez | D | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Miranda | D | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Marlon Sierra | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Caicedo | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Rincón | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Neider Ospina | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Vásquez | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Carlos Cortés | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Medranda | D | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Juan Loaiza | G | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Marimon | F | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Llaneros?
The final score was Junior 2–0 Llaneros.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Llaneros?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Junior win, 28% to a draw, and 18% to an Llaneros win.