Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 17
April 20, 2026 01:20
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
C. Bacca
(ast. E. Herrera)
39'
J. Canchimbo
(ast. C. Bacca)
42'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 53% win probability (draw 28%, Llaneros 18%). The final result was Junior 2–0 Llaneros.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
1.02
Actual xG
1.02
3
Saves
1
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
12
22
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
L. Muriel
28'
36'
K. Rincon
⚽C. Bacca
· ast. E. Herrera
39'
⚽J. Canchimbo
· ast. C. Bacca
42'
Y. Suarez
44'
46'
J. Medranda
/
K. Rincon
46'
J. Loaiza
/
M. Ortega
Y. Suarez
/ D. Rivera
46'
55'
Jhon Vasquez
K. Perez
/ C. Barrios
61'
65'
L. Marimon
/
C. Cortes
C. Bacca
/ T. Gutierrez
66'
L. Muriel
/ G. Paiva
74'
J. Canchimbo
/ B. Castrillon
74'
78'
J. Castro
/
L. Miranda
82'
V. Vidal
/
A. Moralez
J. Rios
90'+1
T. Gutierrez
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
53.0%
Junior ←
28.93%
X
18.07%
Llaneros
we assigned to the actual result (Junior)
53.0%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
1.02
-0.52
0.78
1.02
+0.24
xG dominance was balanced (1.02 – 1.02).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
M. Silveira
G
M. Silveira
G
26
Y. Súarez
45'
D
Y. Súarez
45'
D
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
98
Jermein Peña
D
Jermein Peña
D
3
1 👟
D
22
Jesús Rivas
M
Jesús Rivas
M
14
J. Ríos
M
J. Ríos
M
18
K. Pérez
61'
M
K. Pérez
61'
M
10
L. Muriel
74'
M
L. Muriel
74'
M
21
Joel Canchimbo
1 ⚽
74'
M
Joel Canchimbo
1 ⚽
74'
M
70
C. Bacca
1 ⚽
1 👟
66'
F
C. Bacca
1 ⚽
1 👟
66'
F
Bench
88
B. Castrillón
21'
F
B. Castrillón
21'
F
77
C. Barrios
34'
F
C. Barrios
34'
F
5
D. Rivera
50'
M
D. Rivera
50'
M
9
G. Paiva
21'
F
G. Paiva
21'
F
30
J. Martínez
G
J. Martínez
G
29
T. Gutiérrez
29'
F
T. Gutiérrez
29'
F
1
M. Ortega
45'
G
M. Ortega
45'
G
2
H. Mena
D
H. Mena
D
21
F. Meza
D
F. Meza
D
23
Alejandro Moralez
82'
D
Alejandro Moralez
82'
D
7
L. Miranda
78'
D
L. Miranda
78'
D
6
Marlon Sierra
M
Marlon Sierra
M
35
K. Caicedo
M
77
Kevin Rincón
45'
M
10
N. Ospina
M
N. Ospina
M
95
J. Vásquez
M
J. Vásquez
M
9
Carlos Cortés
65'
F
Carlos Cortés
65'
F
Bench
94
J. Medranda
50'
D
J. Medranda
50'
D
12
Juan Loaiza
50'
G
Juan Loaiza
50'
G
11
L. Marimon
30'
F
Best on the pitch
C. Bacca
F · Junior
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 7 pass
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D · Junior
7.90
· 32 pass
Joel Canchimbo
M · Junior
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 13 pass
N. Ospina
M · Llaneros
7.70
3 shots
· 23 pass
Jermein Peña
D · Junior
7.60
1 shots
· 39 pass
D · Junior
7.50
1 👟
· 25 pass
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Silveira | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Y. Súarez | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jean Carlos Pestaña | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Jermein Peña | D | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — | |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ríos | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 3 | 1 | — |
| K. Pérez | M | 61 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Muriel | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | M | 74 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Bacca | F | 66 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Castrillón | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| C. Barrios | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Rivera | M | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Gutiérrez | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
Llaneros — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ortega | G | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| H. Mena | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Meza | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Moralez | D | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Miranda | D | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Marlon Sierra | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Caicedo | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Rincón | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Ospina | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Vásquez | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Carlos Cortés | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Medranda | D | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Juan Loaiza | G | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Marimon | F | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Llaneros?
The final score was Junior 2–0 Llaneros.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Llaneros?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Junior win, 28% to a draw, and 18% to an Llaneros win.