2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 27
March 20, 2026 19:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Karlsruher SC a 43% win probability (draw 24%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 32%). The final result was Karlsruher SC 3–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. In 1 previous meetings, Karlsruher SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
2
2.41
Actual xG
1.45
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
43.53%
Karlsruher ←
24.31%
X
32.16%
SpVgg
we assigned to the actual result (Karlsruher SC)
43.53%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
2.41
+0.93
1.64
1.45
-0.2
Karlsruher SC dominated by xG (2.41 vs 1.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The final score was Karlsruher SC 3–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
What did the model predict before Karlsruher SC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Karlsruher SC win, 24% to a draw, and 32% to an SpVgg Greuther Fürth win.