2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 20, 2026 18:30 BBBank Wildpark, Karlsruhe

Karlsruher SC

#17 · 8 pts

3 – 1

Final score

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

#12 · 9 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Karlsruher SC a 43% win probability (draw 24%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 32%). The final result was Karlsruher SC 3–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. In 1 previous meetings, Karlsruher SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

2

2.41

Actual xG

1.45

49%

Possession

51%

3

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

43.53%

Karlsruher ←

24.31%

X

32.16%

SpVgg

we assigned to the actual result (Karlsruher SC) 43.53% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Karlsruher

1.48

2.41

+0.93

SpVgg

1.64

1.45

-0.2

Karlsruher SC dominated by xG (2.41 vs 1.45). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	9	25
2	1. FC Nürnberg	9	18
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	9	18
4	VfL Wolfsburg	9	16
5	1. FC Magdeburg	9	16
6	1. FC Heidenheim	9	15
7	FC St. Pauli	9	12
8	VfL Osnabrück	9	11
9	Arminia Bielefeld	9	11
10	Eintracht Braunschweig	9	10
11	Energie Cottbus	9	10
12	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	9	9
13	Holstein Kiel	9	8
14	VfL Bochum	9	8
15	Dynamo Dresden	9	8
16	Hannover 96	9	8
17	Karlsruher SC	9	8
18	SV Darmstadt 98	9	8