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J1 League · Regular Season - 15 May 06, 2026 09:00
Kashima
#1 · 39 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Mito Hollyhock
#7 · 18 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Kashima
S. Morooka (ast. Kim Tae-Hyeon) 58'
Leo Ceara (ast. K. Anzai) 71'
Leo Ceara (ast. Y. Suzuki) 79'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kashima a 58% win probability (draw 22%, Mito Hollyhock 18%). The final result was Kashima 3–0 Mito Hollyhock. In 1 previous meetings, Kashima have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mito Hollyhock.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
4
70%
Possession
30%
6
Corners
2
13
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
↕ K. Tagawa / S. Morooka
13'
Kim Tae-Hyeon
19'
30'
T. Ushizawa
34'
T. Iida / T. Semba ↕
46'
H. Yamamoto / M. Arai ↕
⚽S. Morooka · ast. Kim Tae-Hyeon
58'
62'
K. Sasaki / T. Mase ↕
↕ A. Cavric / R. Araki
68'
↕ H. Hayashu / Y. Suzuki
69'
⚽Leo Ceara · ast. K. Anzai
71'
73'
K. Ando / A. Watanabe ↕
73'
Patryck / R. Nemoto ↕
⚽Leo Ceara · ast. Y. Suzuki
79'
↕ R. Koike / K. Nono
82'
↕ K. Anzai / R. Ogawa
83'
Pre-match prediction
58.89%
Kashima ←
22.4%
X
18.71%
Mito
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Kashima) 58.89% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Kashima
1.89
—
—
Mito
0.88
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 16 31
1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 16 31
1 Kashima Kashima 16 39
1 Kashima Kashima 16 39
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 15 28
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 16 31
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 16 35
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 16 35
3 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 16 33
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 17 25
3 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 14 28
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 17 25
4 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 16 25
4 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 16 25
4 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 16 25
4 Urawa Urawa 16 24
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 24
5 Urawa Urawa 16 24
5 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 15 24
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 24
6 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 16 24
6 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 16 24
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 16 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 16 23
7 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 16 18
7 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 16 23
7 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 16 18
7 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 16 23
8 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 17 21
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 16 17
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 16 17
8 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 17 21
9 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 16 14
9 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 16 20
9 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 15 20
9 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 16 14
10 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 16 12
10 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 16 19
10 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 15 12
10 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 16 19
Lineups
Kashima Kashima 4-4-2
1
G 7.20
2 Koki Anzai Koki Anzai 1 👟 83' D 7.60
3 Tae-hyeon Kim Tae-hyeon Kim 1 👟 D 7.60
55
D 7.90
25 Ryuta Koike Ryuta Koike 82' D 7.00
24 Haruki Hayashi Haruki Hayashi 69' M 7.00
6 Kento Misao Kento Misao M 7.20
14 Yuta Higuchi Yuta Higuchi M 7.20
77 Aleksandar Čavrić Aleksandar Čavrić 68' M 6.90
9 Léo Ceará Léo Ceará 2 ⚽ F 8.90
11
K. Tagawa 13' F 6.50
Bench
23 Keisuke Tsukui Keisuke Tsukui D
22 Kimito Nono Kimito Nono 8' D 6.90
71 Ryotaro Araki Ryotaro Araki 22' M 6.90
7 Ryoya Ogawa Ryoya Ogawa 14' D 6.90
19 Shu Morooka Shu Morooka 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.70
40 Yuma Suzuki Yuma Suzuki 1 👟 21' F 6.90
27 Yuta Matsumura Yuta Matsumura M
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
34
G 7.00
7
S. Omori D 6.00
4
T. Ushizawa 30' D 5.20
17
K. Itakura D 5.90
25
T. Mase 62' D 6.50
14
M. Arai 45' M 6.30
3
K. Osaki M 6.20
19
T. Semba 34' M 6.70
70
Matheus Leiria M 6.20
10
A. Watanabe 73' F 6.60
9
R. Nemoto 73' F 6.50
Bench
39
H. Yamamoto 45' M 6.30
33
K. Ando 17' M 6.50
82
K. Kawakami M
89
K. Sasaki 28' D 6.30
29
K. Tada F
20
Patryck 17' F 6.30
6
T. Iida 56' D 6.00
11
Y. Torikai M
Best on the pitch
Léo Ceará
Léo Ceará
F · Kashima
8.90
2 ⚽
5 shots · 19 pass
D · Kashima
7.90
· 83 pass
Shu Morooka
Shu Morooka
F · Kashima
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 33 pass
Koki Anzai
Koki Anzai
D · Kashima
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 58 pass
Tae-hyeon Kim
Tae-hyeon Kim
D · Kashima
7.60
1 👟
· 75 pass
G · Kashima
7.20
· 36 pass
Kashima Kashima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 36 28% — — —
Koki Anzai D 83 7.60 — 1 1 58 53% 1 — —
Tae-hyeon Kim D 90 7.60 — 1 — 75 67% 1 1 —
D 90 7.90 — — — 83 77% 1 — —
Ryuta Koike D 82 7.00 — — — 54 50% — — —
Haruki Hayashi M 69 7.00 — — 1 21 11% 2 — —
Kento Misao M 90 7.20 — — — 77 68% 2 — —
Yuta Higuchi M 90 7.20 — — 2 63 59% 3 — —
Aleksandar Čavrić M 68 6.90 — — 1 16 10% 1 — —
Léo Ceará F 90 8.90 2 — 5 19 15% — — —
K. Tagawa F 13 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Kimito Nono D 8 6.90 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
Ryotaro Araki M 22 6.90 — — — 15 12% — — —
Ryoya Ogawa D 14 6.90 — — — 9 9% — — —
Shu Morooka F 77 7.70 1 — 3 33 26% — — —
Yuma Suzuki F 21 6.90 — 1 — 14 14% 1 — —
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 43 28% — — —
S. Omori D 90 6.00 — — — 36 28% 1 — —
T. Ushizawa D 30 5.20 — — — 14 11% — — 1
K. Itakura D 90 5.90 — — 1 37 27% — — —
T. Mase D 62 6.50 — — 1 14 10% 2 — —
M. Arai M 45 6.30 — — 1 4 2% — — —
K. Osaki M 90 6.20 — — — 29 22% 1 — —
T. Semba M 34 6.70 — — — 8 5% 3 — —
Matheus Leiria M 90 6.20 — — — 8 7% 3 — —
A. Watanabe F 73 6.60 — — — 12 9% 2 — —
R. Nemoto F 73 6.50 — — 1 4 1% — — —
H. Yamamoto M 45 6.30 — — — 11 7% 1 — —
K. Ando M 17 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
K. Sasaki D 28 6.30 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
Patryck F 17 6.30 — — — 2 — — — —
T. Iida D 56 6.00 — — — 17 9% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
The final score was Kashima 3–0 Mito Hollyhock.
What did the model predict before Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Kashima win, 22% to a draw, and 18% to an Mito Hollyhock win.