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J1 League · Regular Season - 15 May 06, 2026 09:00 Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima
Kashima
#7 · 12 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Mito Hollyhock
#11 · 9 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Kashima
S. Morooka (ast. Kim Tae-Hyeon) 58'
Leo Ceara (ast. K. Anzai) 71'
Leo Ceara (ast. Y. Suzuki) 79'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kashima a 58% win probability (draw 22%, Mito Hollyhock 18%). The final result was Kashima 3–0 Mito Hollyhock. In 2 previous meetings, Kashima have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Mito Hollyhock.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
4
70%
Possession
30%
6
Corners
2
13
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
↕ K. Tagawa / S. Morooka
13'
Kim Tae-Hyeon
19'
30'
T. Ushizawa
34'
T. Iida / T. Semba ↕
46'
H. Yamamoto / M. Arai ↕
⚽S. Morooka · ast. Kim Tae-Hyeon
58'
62'
K. Sasaki / T. Mase ↕
↕ A. Cavric / R. Araki
68'
↕ H. Hayashu / Y. Suzuki
69'
⚽Leo Ceara · ast. K. Anzai
71'
73'
K. Ando / A. Watanabe ↕
73'
Patryck / R. Nemoto ↕
⚽Leo Ceara · ast. Y. Suzuki
79'
↕ R. Koike / K. Nono
82'
↕ K. Anzai / R. Ogawa
83'
Pre-match prediction
58.89%
Kashima ←
22.4%
X
18.71%
Mito
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Kashima) 58.89% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Kashima
1.89
—
—
Mito
0.88
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 7 17
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 7 16
3 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 7 15
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7 14
5 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 7 14
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 7 12
7 Kashima Kashima 7 12
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 7 11
9 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 6 10
10 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 7 10
11 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 7 9
12 Urawa Urawa 6 9
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 7 7
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 7 7
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 7 6
16 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 7 6
17 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 7 5
18 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 7 4
19 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 6 3
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 6 3
Lineups
Kashima Kashima 4-4-2
1
G 7.20
2 Koki Anzai Koki Anzai 1 👟 83' D 7.60
3 Kim Tae-Hyeon Kim Tae-Hyeon 1 👟 D 7.60
55
D 7.90
25 R. Koike R. Koike 82' D 7.00
24 H. Hayashu H. Hayashu 69' M 7.00
6 K. Misao K. Misao M 7.20
14 Yuta Higuchi Yuta Higuchi M 7.20
77 A. Čavrić A. Čavrić 68' M 6.90
9 Léo Ceará Léo Ceará 2 ⚽ F 8.90
11 K. Tagawa K. Tagawa 13' F 6.50
Bench
22 K. Nono K. Nono 8' D 6.90
23 K. Tsukui K. Tsukui D
71 R. Araki R. Araki 22' M 6.90
7 R. Ogawa R. Ogawa 14' D 6.90
19 S. Morooka S. Morooka 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.70
27 Y. Matsumura Y. Matsumura M
40 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki 1 👟 21' F 6.90
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
34
G 7.00
7 S. Omori S. Omori D 6.00
4 Takeshi Ushizawa Takeshi Ushizawa 30' D 5.20
17 K. Itakura K. Itakura D 5.90
25 T. Mase T. Mase 62' D 6.50
14 Mizuki Arai Mizuki Arai 45' M 6.30
3 K. Osaki K. Osaki M 6.20
19 T. Semba T. Semba 34' M 6.70
70 Matheus Leiria Matheus Leiria M 6.20
10 A. Watanabe A. Watanabe 73' F 6.60
9 R. Nemoto R. Nemoto 73' F 6.50
Bench
39 H. Yamamoto H. Yamamoto 45' M 6.30
33 Koki Ando Koki Ando 17' M 6.50
82 Kotatsu Kawakami Kotatsu Kawakami M
89
K. Sasaki 28' D 6.30
20 Patryck Ferreira Patryck Ferreira 17' F 6.30
29 Tada Keisuke Tada Keisuke F
6 T. Iida T. Iida 56' D 6.00
11 Y. Torikai Y. Torikai M
Best on the pitch
Léo Ceará
Léo Ceará
F · Kashima
8.90
2 ⚽
5 shots · 19 pass
D · Kashima
7.90
· 83 pass
S. Morooka
S. Morooka
F · Kashima
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 33 pass
Koki Anzai
Koki Anzai
D · Kashima
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 58 pass
Kim Tae-Hyeon
Kim Tae-Hyeon
D · Kashima
7.60
1 👟
· 75 pass
G · Kashima
7.20
· 36 pass
Kashima Kashima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 36 28% — — —
Koki Anzai D 83 7.60 — 1 1 58 53% 1 — —
Kim Tae-Hyeon D 90 7.60 — 1 — 75 67% 1 1 —
D 90 7.90 — — — 83 77% 1 — —
R. Koike D 82 7.00 — — — 54 50% — — —
H. Hayashu M 69 7.00 — — 1 21 11% 2 — —
K. Misao M 90 7.20 — — — 77 68% 2 — —
Yuta Higuchi M 90 7.20 — — 2 63 59% 3 — —
A. Čavrić M 68 6.90 — — 1 16 10% 1 — —
Léo Ceará F 90 8.90 2 — 5 19 15% — — —
K. Tagawa F 13 6.50 — — — — — — — —
K. Nono D 8 6.90 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
R. Araki M 22 6.90 — — — 15 12% — — —
R. Ogawa D 14 6.90 — — — 9 9% — — —
S. Morooka F 77 7.70 1 — 3 33 26% — — —
Y. Suzuki F 21 6.90 — 1 — 14 14% 1 — —
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 43 28% — — —
S. Omori D 90 6.00 — — — 36 28% 1 — —
Takeshi Ushizawa D 30 5.20 — — — 14 11% — — 1
K. Itakura D 90 5.90 — — 1 37 27% — — —
T. Mase D 62 6.50 — — 1 14 10% 2 — —
Mizuki Arai M 45 6.30 — — 1 4 2% — — —
K. Osaki M 90 6.20 — — — 29 22% 1 — —
T. Semba M 34 6.70 — — — 8 5% 3 — —
Matheus Leiria M 90 6.20 — — — 8 7% 3 — —
A. Watanabe F 73 6.60 — — — 12 9% 2 — —
R. Nemoto F 73 6.50 — — 1 4 1% — — —
H. Yamamoto M 45 6.30 — — — 11 7% 1 — —
Koki Ando M 17 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
K. Sasaki D 28 6.30 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
Patryck Ferreira F 17 6.30 — — — 2 — — — —
T. Iida D 56 6.00 — — — 17 9% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
The final score was Kashima 3–0 Mito Hollyhock.
What did the model predict before Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Kashima win, 22% to a draw, and 18% to an Mito Hollyhock win.