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J1 League · Regular Season - 15 May 06, 2026 09:00 Mercari Stadium, Kashima
Kashima
#8 · 20 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Mito Hollyhock
#17 · 9 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Kashima
S. Morooka (ast. Kim Tae-Hyeon) 58'
Leo Ceara (ast. K. Anzai) 71'
Leo Ceara (ast. Y. Suzuki) 79'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kashima a 58% win probability (draw 22%, Mito Hollyhock 18%). The final result was Kashima 3–0 Mito Hollyhock. In 2 previous meetings, Kashima have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Mito Hollyhock.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
4
70%
Possession
30%
6
Corners
2
13
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
↕ K. Tagawa / S. Morooka
13'
Kim Tae-Hyeon
19'
30'
T. Ushizawa
34'
T. Iida / T. Semba ↕
46'
H. Yamamoto / M. Arai ↕
⚽S. Morooka · ast. Kim Tae-Hyeon
58'
62'
K. Sasaki / T. Mase ↕
↕ A. Cavric / R. Araki
68'
↕ H. Hayashu / Y. Suzuki
69'
⚽Leo Ceara · ast. K. Anzai
71'
73'
K. Ando / A. Watanabe ↕
73'
Patryck / R. Nemoto ↕
⚽Leo Ceara · ast. Y. Suzuki
79'
↕ R. Koike / K. Nono
82'
↕ K. Anzai / R. Ogawa
83'
Pre-match prediction
58.89%
Kashima ←
22.4%
X
18.71%
Mito
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Kashima) 58.89% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Kashima
1.89
—
—
Mito
0.88
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Kashima Kashima 4-4-2
1
G 7.20
2 Koki Anzai Koki Anzai 1 👟 83' D 7.60
3 Kim Tae-Hyeon Kim Tae-Hyeon 1 👟 D 7.60
55
D 7.90
25 R. Koike R. Koike 82' D 7.00
24 H. Hayashu H. Hayashu 69' M 7.00
6 K. Misao K. Misao M 7.20
14 Y. Higuchi Y. Higuchi M 7.20
77 A. Čavrić A. Čavrić 68' M 6.90
9 Léo Ceará Léo Ceará 2 ⚽ F 8.90
11 K. Tagawa K. Tagawa 13' F 6.50
Bench
22 K. Nono K. Nono 8' D 6.90
23 K. Tsukui K. Tsukui D
7 R. Ogawa R. Ogawa 14' D 6.90
71 Ryotaro Araki Ryotaro Araki 22' M 6.90
19 S. Morooka S. Morooka 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.70
27 Y. Matsumura Y. Matsumura M
40 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki 1 👟 21' F 6.90
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
34
G 7.00
7 S. Omori S. Omori D 6.00
4 Takeshi Ushizawa Takeshi Ushizawa 30' D 5.20
17 K. Itakura K. Itakura D 5.90
25 T. Mase T. Mase 62' D 6.50
14 Mizuki Arai Mizuki Arai 45' M 6.30
3 K. Osaki K. Osaki M 6.20
19 T. Semba T. Semba 34' M 6.70
70 Matheus Leiria Matheus Leiria M 6.20
10 A. Watanabe A. Watanabe 73' F 6.60
9 R. Nemoto R. Nemoto 73' F 6.50
Bench
39 H. Yamamoto H. Yamamoto 45' M 6.30
33 Koki Ando Koki Ando 17' M 6.50
82 Kotatsu Kawakami Kotatsu Kawakami M
89
K. Sasaki 28' D 6.30
29 K. Tada K. Tada F
20 Patryck Ferreira Patryck Ferreira 17' F 6.30
6 T. Iida T. Iida 56' D 6.00
11 Y. Torikai Y. Torikai M
Best on the pitch
Léo Ceará
Léo Ceará
F · Kashima
8.90
2 ⚽
5 shots · 19 pass
D · Kashima
7.90
· 83 pass
S. Morooka
S. Morooka
F · Kashima
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 33 pass
Koki Anzai
Koki Anzai
D · Kashima
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 58 pass
Kim Tae-Hyeon
Kim Tae-Hyeon
D · Kashima
7.60
1 👟
· 75 pass
G · Kashima
7.20
· 36 pass
Kashima Kashima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 36 28% — — —
Koki Anzai D 83 7.60 — 1 1 58 53% 1 — —
Kim Tae-Hyeon D 90 7.60 — 1 — 75 67% 1 1 —
D 90 7.90 — — — 83 77% 1 — —
R. Koike D 82 7.00 — — — 54 50% — — —
H. Hayashu M 69 7.00 — — 1 21 11% 2 — —
K. Misao M 90 7.20 — — — 77 68% 2 — —
Y. Higuchi M 90 7.20 — — 2 63 59% 3 — —
A. Čavrić M 68 6.90 — — 1 16 10% 1 — —
Léo Ceará F 90 8.90 2 — 5 19 15% — — —
K. Tagawa F 13 6.50 — — — — — — — —
K. Nono D 8 6.90 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
R. Ogawa D 14 6.90 — — — 9 9% — — —
Ryotaro Araki M 22 6.90 — — — 15 12% — — —
S. Morooka F 77 7.70 1 — 3 33 26% — — —
Y. Suzuki F 21 6.90 — 1 — 14 14% 1 — —
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 43 28% — — —
S. Omori D 90 6.00 — — — 36 28% 1 — —
Takeshi Ushizawa D 30 5.20 — — — 14 11% — — 1
K. Itakura D 90 5.90 — — 1 37 27% — — —
T. Mase D 62 6.50 — — 1 14 10% 2 — —
Mizuki Arai M 45 6.30 — — 1 4 2% — — —
K. Osaki M 90 6.20 — — — 29 22% 1 — —
T. Semba M 34 6.70 — — — 8 5% 3 — —
Matheus Leiria M 90 6.20 — — — 8 7% 3 — —
A. Watanabe F 73 6.60 — — — 12 9% 2 — —
R. Nemoto F 73 6.50 — — 1 4 1% — — —
H. Yamamoto M 45 6.30 — — — 11 7% 1 — —
Koki Ando M 17 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
K. Sasaki D 28 6.30 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
Patryck Ferreira F 17 6.30 — — — 2 — — — —
T. Iida D 56 6.00 — — — 17 9% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
The final score was Kashima 3–0 Mito Hollyhock.
What did the model predict before Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Kashima win, 22% to a draw, and 18% to an Mito Hollyhock win.