← A Lyga

Kauno Žalgiris - Šiauliai

A Lyga May 16, 2026 13:15
#1 · 25 pts
vs
#9 · 8 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
72.83%
Win
Kauno Žalgiris
16.17%
Draw
11.0%
Win
Šiauliai
3.27
Expected xG
0.91
Model prediction
Kauno Žalgiris
72.83%
Probability
63.6%
1X2 accuracy · 11 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kauno Žalgiris a 72% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Šiauliai. Expected goals are 3.3 for Kauno Žalgiris and 0.9 for Šiauliai (total 4.2), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–0 at 9.0% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Kauno Žalgiris have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Šiauliai.

Score Matrix
↕ Kauno Žalgiris Šiauliai →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2%
3 9.0% 8.1% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
4 7.3% 6.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
5 4.8% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Recent form
D Panevėžys 1–1
D Džiugas Telšiai 2–2
D Banga 2–2
W FK Trakai 4–0
L TransINVEST Vilnius 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 43%
D Hegelmann Litauen 1–1
L FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–1
W Suduva Marijampole 2–1
L TransINVEST Vilnius 0–4
W Panevėžys 3–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 20%
Playing profile
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris
Attack
56
Defence
74
Form
62
Šiauliai Šiauliai
Attack
26
Defence
61
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Kauno Žalgiris
0
Draw
0
Šiauliai
W 15 Mar 2026 A Lyga 5–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 10 25
2 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 10 17
3 Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai 10 17
4 Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 10 16
5 FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius 10 15
6 Banga Banga 10 14
7 Panevėžys Panevėžys 10 11
8 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 10 9
9 Šiauliai Šiauliai 10 8
10 FK Trakai FK Trakai 10 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Šiauliai?
The model gives Kauno Žalgiris a 72% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 11% for an Šiauliai win.
How many goals are expected in Kauno Žalgiris vs Šiauliai?
Expected goals: Kauno Žalgiris 3.3, Šiauliai 0.9 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Kauno Žalgiris vs Šiauliai?
3–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.0%.