Kauno Žalgiris - Šiauliai
A Lyga
May 16, 2026 13:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
72.83%
Win
Kauno Žalgiris
16.17%
Draw
11.0%
Win
Šiauliai
3.27
0.91
Expected xG
Model prediction
Kauno Žalgiris
72.83%
Probability
63.6%
1X2 accuracy · 11 predictions (3 months)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kauno Žalgiris a 72% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Šiauliai. Expected goals are 3.3 for Kauno Žalgiris and 0.9 for Šiauliai (total 4.2), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–0 at 9.0% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Kauno Žalgiris have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Šiauliai.
Score Matrix
↕ Kauno Žalgiris
Šiauliai →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 1 | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 9.0% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | — |
| 4 | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Kauno Žalgiris
Attack
56
Defence
74
Form
62
Šiauliai
Attack
26
Defence
61
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
W
15 Mar 2026
5–0
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kauno Žalgiris
|
10 | 25 |
| 2 |
TransINVEST Vilnius
|
10 | 17 |
| 3 |
Džiugas Telšiai
|
10 | 17 |
| 4 |
Suduva Marijampole
|
10 | 16 |
| 5 |
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
|
10 | 15 |
| 6 |
Banga
|
10 | 14 |
| 7 |
Panevėžys
|
10 | 11 |
| 8 |
Hegelmann Litauen
|
10 | 9 |
| 9 |
Šiauliai
|
10 | 8 |
| 10 |
FK Trakai
|
10 | 3 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Šiauliai?
The model gives Kauno Žalgiris a 72% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 11% for an Šiauliai win.
How many goals are expected in Kauno Žalgiris vs Šiauliai?
Expected goals: Kauno Žalgiris 3.3, Šiauliai 0.9 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Kauno Žalgiris vs Šiauliai?
3–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.0%.