Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 28
April 10, 2026 22:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Jagiellonia, result Pareggio
M. Remacle
22'
(pen.)
29'
A. Pululu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jagiellonia a 61% win probability (draw 9%, Korona Kielce 29%). The final result was Korona Kielce 1–1 Jagiellonia. In 1 previous meetings, Korona Kielce have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Jagiellonia.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
4
1.94
Actual xG
1.09
3
Saves
3
34%
Possession
66%
5
Corners
3
11
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Remacle
22'
29'
(pen.)
A. Pululu⚽
J. Zielinski
30'
31'
T. Romanczuk
32'
74'
S. Bazdar
/
A. Pululu
74'
D. Drachal
/
K. Szmyt
M. Remacle
/ S. Gustafson
76'
79'
N. Wojtuszek
/
A. Pozo
79'
Z. Zalewski
/
J. Imaz
S. Davidovic
/ Antonin
82'
D. Blanik
/ M. Cebula
82'
85'
S. Lozano
/
B. Mazurek
M. Stepinski
/ V. Nikolov
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
29.08%
Korona
9.76%
X ←
61.16%
Jagiellonia
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
9.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.63
1.94
+0.31
4.49
1.09
-3.4
Korona Kielce dominated by xG (1.94 vs 1.09).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
6
M. Pieczek
D
5
Pau Resta
D
23
S. Rubezic
D
3
K. Matuszewski
M
8
M. Remacle
1 ⚽
77'
M
88
T. Svetlin
M
71
W. Dlugosz
M
7
D. Blanik
82'
F
14
M. Stepinski
F
9
S. Davidovic
82'
F
Bench
24
B. Smolarczyk
D
37
H. Zwozny
D
77
M. Cebula
9'
M
86
S. Gustafson
14'
M
50
G
23
Guilherme Montóia
D
Guilherme Montóia
D
70
D
13
Bernardo Vital
D
Bernardo Vital
D
7
Pozo
79'
D
Pozo
79'
D
86
Bartosz Mazurek
85'
M
Bartosz Mazurek
85'
M
6
Taras Romanczuk
M
Taras Romanczuk
M
11
Jesús Imaz
79'
M
Jesús Imaz
79'
M
77
Kajetan Szmyt
74'
M
Kajetan Szmyt
74'
M
19
Matías Nahuel
M
Matías Nahuel
M
10
Afimico Pululu
1 ⚽
74'
F
Afimico Pululu
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
27
Bartłomiej Wdowik
D
Bartłomiej Wdowik
D
85
Eryk Kozłowski
M
Eryk Kozłowski
M
14
Samed Baždar
17'
F
Samed Baždar
17'
F
21
Sergio Lozano
6'
M
Sergio Lozano
6'
M
4
Yuki Kobayashi
D
Yuki Kobayashi
D
80
Z. Zalewski
12'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Jagiellonia
7.90
· 45 pass
M. Pieczek
D · Korona
7.50
1 shots
· 31 pass
Bartosz Mazurek
M · Jagiellonia
7.20
· 30 pass
S. Davidovic
F · Korona
7.20
3 shots
· 15 pass
T. Svetlin
M · Korona
7.00
· 33 pass
Taras Romanczuk
M · Jagiellonia
6.90
2 shots
· 59 pass
Korona Kielce — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| M. Pieczek | D | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Resta | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Rubezic | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Matuszewski | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Remacle | M | 77 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| T. Svetlin | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| W. Dlugosz | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Blanik | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Stepinski | F | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Davidovic | F | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cebula | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Gustafson | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Jagiellonia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Montóia | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 58 | 52% | 1 | — | — | |
| Bernardo Vital | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 102 | 83% | 1 | — | — |
| Pozo | D | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Bartosz Mazurek | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Taras Romanczuk | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 51% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jesús Imaz | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Kajetan Szmyt | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Matías Nahuel | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Afimico Pululu | F | 74 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Samed Baždar | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Lozano | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Z. Zalewski | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia?
The final score was Korona Kielce 1–1 Jagiellonia.
What did the model predict before Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Korona Kielce win, 9% to a draw, and 61% to an Jagiellonia win.