✗Model wrong — prediction Jagiellonia, result Draw
M. Remacle
22'
(pen.)
29'
A. Pululu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jagiellonia a 61% win probability (draw 9%, Korona Kielce 29%). The final result was Korona Kielce 1–1 Jagiellonia. In 2 previous meetings, Korona Kielce have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Jagiellonia.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
4
1.94
Actual xG
1.09
3
Saves
3
34%
Possession
66%
5
Corners
3
11
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Remacle
22'
29'
(pen.)
A. Pululu⚽
J. Zielinski
30'
31'
T. Romanczuk
32'
74'
S. Bazdar
/
A. Pululu
74'
D. Drachal
/
K. Szmyt
M. Remacle
/ S. Gustafson
76'
79'
N. Wojtuszek
/
A. Pozo
79'
Z. Zalewski
/
J. Imaz
S. Davidovic
/ Antonin
82'
D. Blanik
/ M. Cebula
82'
85'
S. Lozano
/
B. Mazurek
M. Stepinski
/ V. Nikolov
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
29.08%
Korona
9.76%
X ←
61.16%
Jagiellonia
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
9.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.63
1.94
+0.31
4.49
1.09
-3.4
Korona Kielce dominated by xG (1.94 vs 1.09).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
6
M. Pięczek
D
M. Pięczek
D
5
Pau Resta
D
Pau Resta
D
23
S. Rubežić
D
S. Rubežić
D
3
K. Matuszewski
M
K. Matuszewski
M
8
M. Remacle
1 ⚽
77'
M
M. Remacle
1 ⚽
77'
M
88
T. Svetlin
M
T. Svetlin
M
71
W. Długosz
M
W. Długosz
M
7
D. Błanik
82'
F
D. Błanik
82'
F
14
M. Stępiński
F
M. Stępiński
F
9
S. DavidoviÄ
82'
F
S. DavidoviÄ
82'
F
Bench
24
B. Smolarczyk
D
B. Smolarczyk
D
37
Hubert Zwoźny
D
Hubert Zwoźny
D
77
Marcin Cebula
9'
M
Marcin Cebula
9'
M
86
Simon Gustafson
14'
M
Simon Gustafson
14'
M
50
G
23
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
D
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
D
70
D
13
Bernardo Vital
D
Bernardo Vital
D
7
Pozo
79'
D
Pozo
79'
D
86
B. Mazurek
85'
M
B. Mazurek
85'
M
6
Taras Romanczuk
M
Taras Romanczuk
M
11
Jesús Imaz
79'
M
Jesús Imaz
79'
M
77
K. Szmyt
74'
M
K. Szmyt
74'
M
19
Matías Nahuel
M
10
Afimico Pululu
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
27
B. Wdowik
D
B. Wdowik
D
85
Eryk Kozlowski
M
Eryk Kozlowski
M
14
S. Baždar
17'
F
S. Baždar
17'
F
21
Sergio Lozano
6'
M
Sergio Lozano
6'
M
4
Yuki Kobayashi
D
Yuki Kobayashi
D
80
Zachary Zalewski
12'
M
Zachary Zalewski
12'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Jagiellonia
7.90
· 45 pass
M. Pięczek
D · Korona
7.50
1 shots
· 31 pass
B. Mazurek
M · Jagiellonia
7.20
· 30 pass
S. DavidoviÄ
F · Korona
7.20
3 shots
· 15 pass
T. Svetlin
M · Korona
7.00
· 33 pass
Taras Romanczuk
M · Jagiellonia
6.90
2 shots
· 59 pass
Korona Kielce — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| M. Pięczek | D | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Resta | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Rubežić | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Matuszewski | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Remacle | M | 77 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| T. Svetlin | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| W. Długosz | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Błanik | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Stępiński | F | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| S. DavidoviÄ | F | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcin Cebula | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Simon Gustafson | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Jagiellonia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 58 | 52% | 1 | — | — | |
| Bernardo Vital | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 102 | 83% | 1 | — | — |
| Pozo | D | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Mazurek | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Taras Romanczuk | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 51% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jesús Imaz | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| K. Szmyt | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Matías Nahuel | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Afimico Pululu | F | 74 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Baždar | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Lozano | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Zachary Zalewski | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia?
The final score was Korona Kielce 1–1 Jagiellonia.
What did the model predict before Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Korona Kielce win, 9% to a draw, and 61% to an Jagiellonia win.