✗Model wrong — prediction Jagiellonia, result Draw
M. Remacle
22'
(pen.)
29'
A. Pululu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jagiellonia a 61% win probability (draw 9%, Korona Kielce 29%). The final result was Korona Kielce 1–1 Jagiellonia. In 2 previous meetings, Korona Kielce have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Jagiellonia.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
4
1.94
Actual xG
1.09
3
Saves
3
34%
Possession
66%
5
Corners
3
11
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Remacle
22'
29'
(pen.)
A. Pululu⚽
J. Zielinski
30'
31'
T. Romanczuk
32'
74'
S. Bazdar
/
A. Pululu
74'
D. Drachal
/
K. Szmyt
M. Remacle
/ S. Gustafson
76'
79'
N. Wojtuszek
/
A. Pozo
79'
Z. Zalewski
/
J. Imaz
S. Davidovic
/ Antonin
82'
D. Blanik
/ M. Cebula
82'
85'
S. Lozano
/
B. Mazurek
M. Stepinski
/ V. Nikolov
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
29.08%
Korona
9.76%
X ←
61.16%
Jagiellonia
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
9.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.63
1.94
+0.31
4.49
1.09
-3.4
Korona Kielce dominated by xG (1.94 vs 1.09).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
6
Marcel Pięczek
D
Marcel Pięczek
D
5
Pau Resta
D
23
Slobodan Rubežić
D
Slobodan Rubežić
D
3
Konrad Matuszewski
M
Konrad Matuszewski
M
8
Martin Remacle
1 ⚽
77'
M
Martin Remacle
1 ⚽
77'
M
88
T. Svetlin
M
T. Svetlin
M
71
Wiktor Długosz
M
Wiktor Długosz
M
7
D. Błanik
82'
F
D. Błanik
82'
F
14
Mariusz Stępiński
F
Mariusz Stępiński
F
9
Stjepan Davidović
82'
F
Stjepan Davidović
82'
F
Bench
24
Bartłomiej Smolarczyk
D
Bartłomiej Smolarczyk
D
37
Hubert Zwozny
D
Hubert Zwozny
D
77
Marcin Cebula
9'
M
Marcin Cebula
9'
M
86
Simon Gustafson
14'
M
Simon Gustafson
14'
M
50
G
23
Guilherme Montóia
D
Guilherme Montóia
D
70
D
13
Bernardo Vital
D
Bernardo Vital
D
7
Pozo
79'
D
Pozo
79'
D
86
Bartosz Mazurek
85'
M
Bartosz Mazurek
85'
M
6
Taras Romanczuk
M
Taras Romanczuk
M
11
Jesús Imaz
79'
M
Jesús Imaz
79'
M
77
Kajetan Szmyt
74'
M
Kajetan Szmyt
74'
M
19
Matías Nahuel
M
Matías Nahuel
M
10
Afimico Pululu
1 ⚽
74'
F
Afimico Pululu
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
27
Bartłomiej Wdowik
D
Bartłomiej Wdowik
D
85
Eryk Kozłowski
M
Eryk Kozłowski
M
14
Samed Baždar
17'
F
Samed Baždar
17'
F
21
Sergio Lozano
6'
M
Sergio Lozano
6'
M
4
Yuki Kobayashi
D
Yuki Kobayashi
D
80
Zachary Zalewski
12'
M
Zachary Zalewski
12'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Jagiellonia
7.90
· 45 pass
Marcel Pięczek
D · Korona
7.50
1 shots
· 31 pass
Bartosz Mazurek
M · Jagiellonia
7.20
· 30 pass
Stjepan Davidović
F · Korona
7.20
3 shots
· 15 pass
T. Svetlin
M · Korona
7.00
· 33 pass
Taras Romanczuk
M · Jagiellonia
6.90
2 shots
· 59 pass
Korona Kielce — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| Marcel Pięczek | D | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Resta | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Slobodan Rubežić | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Konrad Matuszewski | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Martin Remacle | M | 77 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| T. Svetlin | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Wiktor Długosz | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Błanik | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Mariusz Stępiński | F | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Stjepan Davidović | F | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcin Cebula | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Simon Gustafson | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Jagiellonia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Montóia | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 58 | 52% | 1 | — | — | |
| Bernardo Vital | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 102 | 83% | 1 | — | — |
| Pozo | D | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Bartosz Mazurek | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Taras Romanczuk | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 51% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jesús Imaz | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Kajetan Szmyt | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Matías Nahuel | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Afimico Pululu | F | 74 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Samed Baždar | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Lozano | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Zachary Zalewski | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia?
The final score was Korona Kielce 1–1 Jagiellonia.
What did the model predict before Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Korona Kielce win, 9% to a draw, and 61% to an Jagiellonia win.