← Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 3 April 29, 2026 00:00
Lanus
#2 · 6 pts
1 – 0
Final score
LDU de Quito
#3 · 6 pts
Agustín Cardozo (ast. Marcelino Moreno) 74'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lanus a 46% win probability (draw 34%, LDU de Quito 19%). The final result was Lanus 1–0 LDU de Quito.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
1
0.86
Actual xG
0.26
1
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
4
22
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
12'
Yerlin Quinonez
Tomás Guidara
15'
Ramiro Carrera
45'+4
45'+5
Gian Franco Allala
Carlos Izquierdoz
53'
58'
Jeison Medina
↕ Ramiro Carrera / Yoshan Valois
62'
↕ Lucas Besozzi / Dylan Aquino
62'
↕ Felipe Peña Biafore / Agustín Cardozo
72'
↕ Eduardo Salvio / Matías Sepúlveda
72'
⚽Agustín Cardozo · ast. Marcelino Moreno
74'
77'
Alejandro Tobar / Rodney Redes ↕
77'
Michael Estrada / Deyverson ↕
77'
Ruddy Mina / Jeison Medina ↕
↕ Marcelino Moreno / Franco Watson
85'
Pre-match prediction
46.4%
Lanus ←
34.36%
X
19.23%
LDU
we assigned to the actual result (Lanus) 46.4% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lanus
0.91
0.86
-0.05
LDU
0.47
0.26
-0.21
Lanus dominated by xG (0.86 vs 0.26). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
Lanus Lanus 4-2-3-1
26
G 7.20
6 Sasha Marcich Sasha Marcich D 7.00
13 José Canale José Canale D 7.50
24 Carlos Izquierdoz Carlos Izquierdoz D 7.30
33 Tomás Guidara Tomás Guidara D 7.20
17 Agustín Medina Agustín Medina M 7.50
5 Felipe Peña Biafore Felipe Peña Biafore 72' M 7.00
77 Lucas Besozzi Lucas Besozzi 62' M 7.00
10 Marcelino Moreno Marcelino Moreno 1 👟 85' M 7.90
11 Eduardo Salvio Eduardo Salvio 72' M 6.90
23 R. Carrera R. Carrera 62' F 6.50
Bench
30 Agustín Cardozo Agustín Cardozo 1 ⚽ 18' M 7.20
25 D. Aquino D. Aquino 28' F 6.70
27 Facundo Sánchez Facundo Sánchez D
8 Franco Watson Franco Watson 10' M 6.30
4 Gonzalo Perez Gonzalo Perez D
16 Matías Sepúlveda Matías Sepúlveda 18' M 6.60
35 Ronaldo De Jesus Ronaldo De Jesus D
9 Walter Bou Walter Bou F
19 Yoshan Valois Yoshan Valois 28' F 6.90
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 3-4-3
1 Gonzalo Valle Gonzalo Valle G 7.30
33 Leonel Quiñónez Leonel Quiñónez D 7.30
44 Luis Segovia Luis Segovia D 6.90
30 Gian Franco Allala Gian Franco Allala D 6.70
23 Yerlin Quinonez Yerlin Quinonez M 6.20
8 Jesús Pretell Jesús Pretell M 7.00
15 G. Villamíl G. Villamíl M 6.20
14 José Quintero José Quintero M 6.50
7 Rodney Redes Rodney Redes 77' F 6.60
16 Deyverson Deyverson 77' F 7.00
9 Jeison Medina Jeison Medina 77' F 6.30
Bench
99 Alejandro Tobar Alejandro Tobar 13' M 6.50
10 Alexander Alvarado Alexander Alvarado M
32 Edison Gomez Edison Gomez M
26 Josue Caicedo Josue Caicedo D
5 Kevin Minda Kevin Minda M
11 Michael Estrada Michael Estrada 13' F 6.30
25
Patrick Ortiz M
Best on the pitch
Marcelino Moreno
Marcelino Moreno
M · Lanus
7.90
1 👟
3 shots · 29 pass
José Canale
José Canale
D · Lanus
7.50
· 49 pass
Agustín Medina
Agustín Medina
M · Lanus
7.50
· 71 pass
Carlos Izquierdoz
Carlos Izquierdoz
D · Lanus
7.30
1 shots · 74 pass
Leonel Quiñónez
Leonel Quiñónez
D · LDU
7.30
· 57 pass
Gonzalo Valle
Gonzalo Valle
G · LDU
7.30
· 37 pass
Lanus Lanus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 18 13% — — —
Sasha Marcich D 90 7.00 — — — 34 23% 2 — —
José Canale D 90 7.50 — — — 49 47% 2 — —
Carlos Izquierdoz D 90 7.30 — — 1 74 70% — 1 —
Tomás Guidara D 90 7.20 — — — 47 38% 6 1 —
Agustín Medina M 90 7.50 — — — 71 55% 4 — —
Felipe Peña Biafore M 72 7.00 — — 1 50 43% 2 — —
Lucas Besozzi M 62 7.00 — — — 18 15% — — —
Marcelino Moreno M 85 7.90 — 1 3 29 21% 1 — —
Eduardo Salvio M 72 6.90 — — 2 28 22% — — —
R. Carrera F 62 6.50 — — — 13 9% 1 1 —
Agustín Cardozo M 18 7.20 1 — 1 6 5% — — —
D. Aquino F 28 6.70 — — — 9 8% — — —
Franco Watson M 10 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
Matías Sepúlveda M 18 6.60 — — — 7 4% 3 — —
Yoshan Valois F 28 6.90 — — — 9 5% 1 — —
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gonzalo Valle G 90 7.30 — — — 37 29% — — —
Leonel Quiñónez D 90 7.30 — — — 57 48% 3 — —
Luis Segovia D 90 6.90 — — — 43 38% 2 — —
Gian Franco Allala D 90 6.70 — — — 35 32% — 1 —
Yerlin Quinonez M 90 6.20 — — — 31 25% 4 1 —
Jesús Pretell M 90 7.00 — — 1 43 36% 6 — —
G. Villamíl M 90 6.20 — — 1 30 24% 2 — —
José Quintero M 90 6.50 — — — 28 14% 1 — —
Rodney Redes F 77 6.60 — — — 14 9% 1 — —
Deyverson F 77 7.00 — — 2 22 11% — — —
Jeison Medina F 77 6.30 — — — 22 16% 1 1 —
Alejandro Tobar M 13 6.50 — — — 13 11% — — —
Michael Estrada F 13 6.30 — — 1 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lanus vs LDU de Quito?
The final score was Lanus 1–0 LDU de Quito.
What did the model predict before Lanus vs LDU de Quito?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Lanus win, 34% to a draw, and 19% to an LDU de Quito win.