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Super League · Relegation Group - 7 May 09, 2026 16:00
Larisa
#6 · 27 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Asteras Tripolis
#4 · 32 pts
G. Pasas (ast. A. Sagal) 38'
19' (ast. C. Almyras) F. Macheda

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Larisa a 31% win probability (draw 37%, Asteras Tripolis 31%). The final result was Larisa 1–1 Asteras Tripolis. In 3 previous meetings, Larisa have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Asteras Tripolis.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
0.80
Actual xG
0.83
2
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
4
13
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
G. Naor
2'
19'
ast. C. Almyras · F. Macheda⚽
23'
K. Triantafyllopoulos
34'
N. Alho
⚽G. Pasas · ast. A. Sagal
38'
↕ T. Iliadis / J. Atanasov
46'
A. Papageorgiou
57'
L. Rosic
59'
62'
J. Bartolo
T. Venetikidis
63'
↕ A. Papageorgiou / D. Olafsson
64'
70'
Munoz Mumo / K. Ketu ↕
↕ F. Perez / P. Sisto
74'
78'
O. M. Chidera / F. Macheda ↕
↕ G. Pasas / L. Garate
83'
↕ A. Sagal / G. Kakuta
84'
88'
T. Tzandaris / E. Gonzalez ↕
88'
N. Kaltsas / J. Bartolo ↕
90'+1
O. Alagbe
90'+3
O. M. Chidera
Pre-match prediction
31.5%
Larisa
37.13%
X ←
31.37%
Asteras
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 37.13% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Larisa
0.93
0.80
-0.13
Asteras
0.99
0.83
-0.16
xG dominance was balanced (0.80 – 0.83). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atromitos Atromitos 34 43
1 Levadiakos Levadiakos 31 31
1 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 31 71
2 Kifisia Kifisia 34 37
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 31 65
2 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 31 28
3 Panetolikos Panetolikos 34 35
3 OFI OFI 31 20
3 PAOK PAOK 31 63
4 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 34 32
4 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 31 51
4 Volos NFC Volos NFC 31 17
5 Panserraikos Panserraikos 34 28
6 Larisa Larisa 34 27
Lineups
Larisa Larisa 5-4-1
21 Theodoros Venetikidis Theodoros Venetikidis G 6.20
22 Athanasios Papageorgiou Athanasios Papageorgiou 64' D 6.70
4 Theocharis Iliadis Theocharis Iliadis 45' D 6.50
28 Dylan Batubinsika Dylan Batubinsika D 6.90
33 Lazar Rosić Lazar Rosić D 6.90
14 Erick Ferigra Erick Ferigra D 6.30
29 Lubomir Tupta Lubomir Tupta M 7.90
15 Goni Naor Goni Naor M 7.30
8 F. Pérez F. Pérez 74' M 6.90
25 Á. Sagal Á. Sagal 1 👟 84' M 7.20
19 Giannis Pasas Giannis Pasas 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.90
Bench
20 Davíð Kristján Ólafsson Davíð Kristján Ólafsson 26' D 6.90
5 Gaël Kakuta Gaël Kakuta 14' M 6.30
31 J. Atanasov J. Atanasov 45' M 7.20
23 Leandro Garate Leandro Garate 15' F 6.70
77
P. Sisto 16' F 6.50
18 Zisis Chatzistravos Zisis Chatzistravos M
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-4-3
1
G 6.90
69
D 6.20
13 Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos D 6.90
3 Nikola Šipčić Nikola Šipčić D 6.30
64 Panagiotis Deligiannidis Panagiotis Deligiannidis M 6.90
68 Christos Almyras Christos Almyras 1 👟 M 7.30
10 Eder González Eder González 88' M 6.30
17 Nikolai Alho Nikolai Alho M 6.60
40
70' F 6.70
41 F. Macheda F. Macheda 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.60
7 J. Bartolo J. Bartolo 88' F 6.20
Bench
27 Alexandros Tereziou Alexandros Tereziou D
26 Chidera Micheal Okoh Chidera Micheal Okoh 12' F 6.50
22 Miguel Muñoz Mora Miguel Muñoz Mora 20' M 6.70
20 Nikolaos Kaltsas Nikolaos Kaltsas 10' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
Lubomir Tupta
Lubomir Tupta
M · Larisa
7.90
· 25 pass
Giannis Pasas
Giannis Pasas
F · Larisa
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
F. Macheda
F. Macheda
F · Asteras
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
Christos Almyras
Christos Almyras
M · Asteras
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 26 pass
Goni Naor
Goni Naor
M · Larisa
7.30
· 74 pass
Á. Sagal
Á. Sagal
M · Larisa
7.20
1 👟
3 shots · 33 pass
Larisa Larisa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Theodoros Venetikidis G 90 6.20 — — — 24 14% — 1 —
Athanasios Papageorgiou D 64 6.70 — — — 27 21% 2 — —
Theocharis Iliadis D 45 6.50 — — 1 26 24% — — —
Dylan Batubinsika D 90 6.90 — — — 42 37% 1 — —
Lazar Rosić D 90 6.90 — — — 44 34% — 1 —
Erick Ferigra D 90 6.30 — — 1 38 28% — — —
Lubomir Tupta M 90 7.90 — — — 25 22% — — —
Goni Naor M 90 7.30 — — — 74 68% 5 1 —
F. Pérez M 74 6.90 — — 1 33 27% 2 — —
Á. Sagal M 84 7.20 — 1 3 33 25% — — —
Giannis Pasas F 83 7.90 1 — 2 14 11% 1 — —
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson D 26 6.90 — — — 20 17% — — —
Gaël Kakuta M 14 6.30 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
J. Atanasov M 45 7.20 — — — 38 36% 1 — —
Leandro Garate F 15 6.70 — — — 4 1% — — —
P. Sisto F 16 6.50 — — — 12 11% — — —
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 28 8% — — —
D 90 6.20 — — 1 23 16% 2 1 —
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos D 90 6.90 — — — 21 15% 1 1 —
Nikola Šipčić D 90 6.30 — — — 38 24% 1 — —
Panagiotis Deligiannidis M 90 6.90 — — — 26 20% — — —
Christos Almyras M 90 7.30 — 1 2 26 21% 3 — —
Eder González M 88 6.30 — — — 23 21% 1 — —
Nikolai Alho M 90 6.60 — — 1 26 19% — 1 —
F 70 6.70 — — — 16 11% — — —
F. Macheda F 78 7.60 1 — 1 7 7% — — —
J. Bartolo F 88 6.20 — — 2 21 16% 1 1 —
Chidera Micheal Okoh F 12 6.50 — — — 8 4% — 1 —
Miguel Muñoz Mora M 20 6.70 — — — 11 10% 1 — —
Nikolaos Kaltsas F 10 6.60 — — — 6 6% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis?
The final score was Larisa 1–1 Asteras Tripolis.
What did the model predict before Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Larisa win, 37% to a draw, and 31% to an Asteras Tripolis win.