Super League
· Relegation Group - 7
May 09, 2026 16:00
G. Pasas
(ast. A. Sagal)
38'
19'
(ast. C. Almyras)
F. Macheda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Larisa a 31% win probability (draw 37%, Asteras Tripolis 31%). The final result was Larisa 1–1 Asteras Tripolis. In 3 previous meetings, Larisa have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Asteras Tripolis.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
0.80
Actual xG
0.83
2
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
4
13
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
G. Naor
2'
19'
ast. C. Almyras ·
F. Macheda⚽
23'
K. Triantafyllopoulos
34'
N. Alho
⚽G. Pasas
· ast. A. Sagal
38'
T. Iliadis
/ J. Atanasov
46'
A. Papageorgiou
57'
L. Rosic
59'
62'
J. Bartolo
T. Venetikidis
63'
A. Papageorgiou
/ D. Olafsson
64'
70'
Munoz Mumo
/
K. Ketu
F. Perez
/ P. Sisto
74'
78'
O. M. Chidera
/
F. Macheda
G. Pasas
/ L. Garate
83'
A. Sagal
/ G. Kakuta
84'
88'
T. Tzandaris
/
E. Gonzalez
88'
N. Kaltsas
/
J. Bartolo
90'+1
O. Alagbe
90'+3
O. M. Chidera
Pre-match prediction
31.5%
Larisa
37.13%
X ←
31.37%
Asteras
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
37.13%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.93
0.80
-0.13
0.99
0.83
-0.16
xG dominance was balanced (0.80 – 0.83).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
21
Theodoros Venetikidis
G
Theodoros Venetikidis
G
22
Athanasios Papageorgiou
64'
D
Athanasios Papageorgiou
64'
D
4
Theocharis Iliadis
45'
D
Theocharis Iliadis
45'
D
28
Dylan Batubinsika
D
Dylan Batubinsika
D
33
Lazar Rosić
D
Lazar Rosić
D
14
Erick Ferigra
D
Erick Ferigra
D
29
Ľ. Tupta
M
Ľ. Tupta
M
15
Goni Naor
M
Goni Naor
M
8
F. Pérez
74'
M
F. Pérez
74'
M
25
Á. Sagal
1 👟
84'
M
Á. Sagal
1 👟
84'
M
19
G. Pasas
1 ⚽
83'
F
G. Pasas
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
20
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson
26'
D
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson
26'
D
5
Gaël Kakuta
14'
M
Gaël Kakuta
14'
M
31
J. Atanasov
45'
M
J. Atanasov
45'
M
23
Leandro Garate
15'
F
Leandro Garate
15'
F
77
P. Sisto
16'
F
P. Sisto
16'
F
18
Zisis Chatzistravos
M
Zisis Chatzistravos
M
1
G
69
D
13
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos
D
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos
D
3
Nikola Šipčić
D
64
Panagiotis Deligiannidis
M
Panagiotis Deligiannidis
M
68
Christos Almyras
1 👟
M
Christos Almyras
1 👟
M
10
Eder González
88'
M
Eder González
88'
M
17
Nikolai Alho
M
Nikolai Alho
M
40
70'
F
41
F. Macheda
1 ⚽
78'
F
F. Macheda
1 ⚽
78'
F
7
J. Bartolo
88'
F
J. Bartolo
88'
F
Bench
27
Alexandros Tereziou
D
Alexandros Tereziou
D
26
Chidera Micheal Okoh
12'
F
Chidera Micheal Okoh
12'
F
22
Miki Muñoz
20'
M
Miki Muñoz
20'
M
20
Nikolaos Kaltsas
10'
F
Nikolaos Kaltsas
10'
F
Best on the pitch
Ľ. Tupta
M · Larisa
7.90
· 25 pass
G. Pasas
F · Larisa
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
F. Macheda
F · Asteras
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Christos Almyras
M · Asteras
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 26 pass
Goni Naor
M · Larisa
7.30
· 74 pass
Á. Sagal
M · Larisa
7.20
1 👟
3 shots
· 33 pass
Larisa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theodoros Venetikidis | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Athanasios Papageorgiou | D | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Theocharis Iliadis | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Batubinsika | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Lazar Rosić | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Erick Ferigra | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Ľ. Tupta | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Goni Naor | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 74 | 68% | 5 | 1 | — |
| F. Pérez | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Á. Sagal | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| G. Pasas | F | 83 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Davíð Kristján Ólafsson | D | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Gaël Kakuta | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Atanasov | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Leandro Garate | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| P. Sisto | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
Asteras Tripolis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — | |
| Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nikola Šipčić | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Panagiotis Deligiannidis | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Christos Almyras | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Eder González | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Nikolai Alho | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| F | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| F. Macheda | F | 78 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Bartolo | F | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Chidera Micheal Okoh | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Miki Muñoz | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Nikolaos Kaltsas | F | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis?
The final score was Larisa 1–1 Asteras Tripolis.
What did the model predict before Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Larisa win, 37% to a draw, and 31% to an Asteras Tripolis win.