Premiership · Championship Group - 38 April 25, 2026 18:30

Larne

#1 · 83 pts

8 – 0

Final score

Dungannon Swifts

#6 · 46 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Larne

A. Ryan 12'

M. Lusty 20'

M. Lusty 29'

M. Lusty 47'

A. Ryan 53' (pen.)

S. Graham 61'

A. Ryan 72'

P. O'Neill 79'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Larne a 78% win probability (draw 13%, Dungannon Swifts 7%). The final result was Larne 8–0 Dungannon Swifts. In 3 previous meetings, Larne have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Dungannon Swifts.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽A. Ryan

12'

⚽M. Lusty

20'

⚽M. Lusty

29'

42'

⚽M. Lusty

47'

⚽A. Ryan (pen.)

53'

56'

J. Johnston / C. McGinty ↕

56'

C. Smith / L. Alves ↕

56'

G. Bigirimana / K. Dillon ↕

↕ M. Lusty / P. O'Neill

57'

↕ J. McEneff / R. Doherty

57'

↕ C. Gallagher / M. Randall

57'

⚽S. Graham

61'

62'

↕ L. Millar / C. McKendry

64'

↕ S. Graham / J. Simpson

64'

71'

D. McCarron / C. Marron ↕

71'

P. Doyle / T. Kelly ↕

⚽A. Ryan

72'

⚽P. O'Neill

79'

Pre-match prediction

78.66%

Larne ←

13.75%

X

7.58%

Dungannon

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Larne) 78.66% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Larne

2.44

—

—

Dungannon

0.45

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Larne	38	83
1	Larne	33	73
1	Carrick Rangers	38	53
2	Coleraine FC	38	80
2	Glentoran	33	69
2	Portadown	38	44
3	Ballymena United	38	39
3	Coleraine FC	33	65
3	Glentoran	38	77
4	Linfield	38	66
4	Bangor	38	39
4	Linfield	33	62
5	Cliftonville FC	33	47
5	Crusaders FC	38	36
5	Cliftonville FC	38	53
6	Dungannon Swifts	33	46
6	Glenavon FC	38	28
6	Dungannon Swifts	38	46
7	Carrick Rangers	33	43
8	Bangor	33	36
9	Portadown	33	36
10	Ballymena United	33	34
11	Crusaders FC	33	26
12	Glenavon FC	33	25