Premiership · Championship Group - 38 April 25, 2026 18:30 Inver Park, Larne

Larne

#3 · 23 pts

8 – 0

Final score

Dungannon Swifts

#9 · 14 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Larne

A. Ryan 12'

M. Lusty 20'

M. Lusty 29'

M. Lusty 47'

A. Ryan 53' (pen.)

S. Graham 61'

A. Ryan 72'

P. O'Neill 79'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Larne a 78% win probability (draw 13%, Dungannon Swifts 7%). The final result was Larne 8–0 Dungannon Swifts. In 3 previous meetings, Larne have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Dungannon Swifts.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽A. Ryan

12'

⚽M. Lusty

20'

⚽M. Lusty

29'

42'

⚽M. Lusty

47'

⚽A. Ryan (pen.)

53'

56'

J. Johnston / C. McGinty ↕

56'

C. Smith / L. Alves ↕

56'

G. Bigirimana / K. Dillon ↕

↕ M. Lusty / P. O'Neill

57'

↕ J. McEneff / R. Doherty

57'

↕ C. Gallagher / M. Randall

57'

⚽S. Graham

61'

62'

↕ L. Millar / C. McKendry

64'

↕ S. Graham / J. Simpson

64'

71'

D. McCarron / C. Marron ↕

71'

P. Doyle / T. Kelly ↕

⚽A. Ryan

72'

⚽P. O'Neill

79'

Pre-match prediction

78.66%

Larne ←

13.75%

X

7.58%

Dungannon

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Larne) 78.66% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Larne

2.44

—

—

Dungannon

0.45

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Coleraine FC	13	34
2	Linfield	13	32
3	Larne	11	23
4	Glentoran	12	20
5	Carrick Rangers	13	18
6	Ballymena United	11	15
7	Cliftonville FC	13	15
8	Crusaders FC	13	15
9	Dungannon Swifts	12	14
10	Limavady United	13	14
11	Portadown	13	8
12	Bangor	13	6