Bundesliga
· Championship Group - 30
May 04, 2026 20:30
✓Model correct — prediction Lask Linz
S. Horvath
(ast. S. Kalajdzic)
52'
S. Adeniran
63'
(pen.)
M. Usor
(ast. M. Bogarde)
75'
12'
(ast. E. Kara)
J. Antiste
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lask Linz a 72% win probability (draw 14%, Rapid Vienna 13%). The final result was Lask Linz 3–1 Rapid Vienna. In 3 previous meetings, Lask Linz have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rapid Vienna.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
1
2.15
Actual xG
0.48
0
Saves
1
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
0
12
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
12'
ast. E. Kara ·
J. Antiste⚽
⚽S. Horvath
· ast. S. Kalajdzic
52'
⚽S. Adeniran
(pen.)
63'
63'
Y. Demir
/
J. Antiste
K. Danek
/ M. Usor
70'
71'
N. Wurmbrand
/
P. Dahl
71'
A. Weimann
/
E. Kara
⚽M. Usor
· ast. M. Bogarde
75'
81'
T. Gulliksen
/
J. M. Scholler
81'
T. Borkeeiet
/
A. Ahoussou
S. Kalajdzic
/ X. Mbuyamba
82'
K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen
/ F. Flecker
83'
S. Horvath
/ C. Lang
90'+1
S. Adeniran
/ I. Coulibaly
90'+1
90'+7
M. Seidl
90'+9
T. Borkeeiet
S. Kalajdzic
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
72.46%
Lask ←
14.48%
X
13.06%
Rapid
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lask Linz)
72.46%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.30
2.15
-1.15
1.28
0.48
-0.8
Lask Linz dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
2
George Bello
D
George Bello
D
16
A. Andrade
D
A. Andrade
D
43
Alemão
D
Alemão
D
48
Modou Kéba Cissé
D
Modou Kéba Cissé
D
20
K. Jørgensen
83'
D
K. Jørgensen
83'
D
30
Sascha Horvath
1 ⚽
89'
M
Sascha Horvath
1 ⚽
89'
M
6
Melayro Bogarde
1 👟
M
Melayro Bogarde
1 👟
M
9
Krystof Daněk
70'
M
Krystof Daněk
70'
M
7
S. Adeniran
1 ⚽
89'
F
S. Adeniran
1 ⚽
89'
F
10
Saša Kalajdžić
1 👟
82'
F
Saša Kalajdžić
1 👟
82'
F
Bench
27
Christoph Lang
9'
F
Christoph Lang
9'
F
4
I. Coulibaly
9'
M
I. Coulibaly
9'
M
11
Maximilian Entrup
F
Maximilian Entrup
F
8
M. Usor
1 ⚽
20'
F
M. Usor
1 ⚽
20'
F
3
Xavier Mbuyamba
8'
D
Xavier Mbuyamba
8'
D
1
G
20
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou
81'
D
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou
81'
D
6
D
4
Jakob Schöller
81'
D
Jakob Schöller
81'
D
38
Jannes Horn
M
Jannes Horn
M
18
M. Seidl
M
M. Seidl
M
29
R. Amané
M
R. Amané
M
77
B. Bolla
M
B. Bolla
M
10
Petter Nosakhare Dahl
71'
F
Petter Nosakhare Dahl
71'
F
90
Janis Antiste
1 ⚽
63'
F
Janis Antiste
1 ⚽
63'
F
9
E. Kara
1 👟
71'
F
E. Kara
1 👟
71'
F
Bench
26
Andreas Weimann
19'
F
Andreas Weimann
19'
F
7
Marco Tilio
F
15
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
19'
F
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
19'
F
16
Tobias Borkeeiet
9'
M
Tobias Borkeeiet
9'
M
17
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen
9'
M
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen
9'
M
Best on the pitch
Sascha Horvath
M · Lask
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
Melayro Bogarde
M · Lask
7.90
1 👟
· 45 pass
Krystof Daněk
M · Lask
7.60
· 21 pass
M. Usor
F · Lask
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Janis Antiste
F · Rapid
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
E. Kara
F · Rapid
7.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 10 pass
Lask Linz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| George Bello | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Andrade | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Alemão | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Modou Kéba Cissé | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Jørgensen | D | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Sascha Horvath | M | 89 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Melayro Bogarde | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 45 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Krystof Daněk | M | 70 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Adeniran | F | 89 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Saša Kalajdžić | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Christoph Lang | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| I. Coulibaly | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Usor | F | 20 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Xavier Mbuyamba | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Rapid Vienna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| Kouadio Ange Ahoussou | D | 81 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 64% | 1 | — | — | |
| Jakob Schöller | D | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Jannes Horn | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 50% | — | — | — |
| M. Seidl | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 47% | 3 | — | 1 |
| R. Amané | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 57 | 49% | 5 | — | — |
| B. Bolla | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Petter Nosakhare Dahl | F | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Janis Antiste | F | 63 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| E. Kara | F | 71 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Andreas Weimann | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Nikolaus Wurmbrand | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Tobias Borkeeiet | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna?
The final score was Lask Linz 3–1 Rapid Vienna.
What did the model predict before Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Lask Linz win, 14% to a draw, and 13% to an Rapid Vienna win.