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Bundesliga · Championship Group - 30 May 04, 2026 20:30 Raiffeisen Arena, Linz
Lask Linz
#3 · 19 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Rapid Vienna
#1 · 27 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Lask Linz
S. Horvath (ast. S. Kalajdzic) 52'
S. Adeniran 63' (pen.)
M. Usor (ast. M. Bogarde) 75'
12' (ast. E. Kara) J. Antiste
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lask Linz a 72% win probability (draw 14%, Rapid Vienna 13%). The final result was Lask Linz 3–1 Rapid Vienna. In 4 previous meetings, Lask Linz have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Rapid Vienna.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
1
2.15
Actual xG
0.48
0
Saves
1
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
0
12
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
12'
ast. E. Kara · J. Antiste⚽
⚽S. Horvath · ast. S. Kalajdzic
52'
⚽S. Adeniran (pen.)
63'
63'
Y. Demir / J. Antiste ↕
↕ K. Danek / M. Usor
70'
71'
N. Wurmbrand / P. Dahl ↕
71'
A. Weimann / E. Kara ↕
⚽M. Usor · ast. M. Bogarde
75'
81'
T. Gulliksen / J. M. Scholler ↕
81'
T. Borkeeiet / A. Ahoussou ↕
↕ S. Kalajdzic / X. Mbuyamba
82'
↕ K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen / F. Flecker
83'
↕ S. Horvath / C. Lang
90'+1
↕ S. Adeniran / I. Coulibaly
90'+1
90'+7
M. Seidl
90'+9
T. Borkeeiet
S. Kalajdzic
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
72.46%
Lask ←
14.48%
X
13.06%
Rapid
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lask Linz) 72.46% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lask
3.30
2.15
-1.15
Rapid
1.28
0.48
-0.8
Lask Linz dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.48). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 10 27
2 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 10 24
3 Lask Linz Lask Linz 10 19
4 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 10 18
5 Ried Ried 10 15
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 10 14
7 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 10 12
8 Grazer AK Grazer AK 10 10
9 SCR Altach SCR Altach 10 9
10 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 10 8
11 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 10 7
12 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 10 5
Lineups
Lask Linz Lask Linz 5-3-2
1
G 6.60
2 G. Bello G. Bello D 6.30
16 A. Andrade A. Andrade D 6.90
43 Alemão Alemão D 6.90
48 M. Cissé M. Cissé D 6.90
20 K. Jørgensen K. Jørgensen 83' D 6.30
30 S. Horvath S. Horvath 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.30
6 M. Bogarde M. Bogarde 1 👟 M 7.90
9 K. Daněk K. Daněk 70' M 7.60
7 S. Adeniran S. Adeniran 1 ⚽ 89' F 6.60
10 S. Kalajdzic S. Kalajdzic 1 👟 82' F 6.90
Bench
27 C. Lang C. Lang 9' F 6.30
4 Ismaila Coulibaly Ismaila Coulibaly 9' M 6.70
11 M. Entrup M. Entrup F
8 M. Usor M. Usor 1 ⚽ 20' F 7.50
3 X. Mbuyamba X. Mbuyamba 8' D 6.70
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.30
20 K. Ahoussou K. Ahoussou 81' D 5.90
6
D 5.90
4 Jakob Schöller Jakob Schöller 81' D 6.70
38 J. Horn J. Horn M 7.00
18 M. Seidl M. Seidl M 6.90
29 R. Amané R. Amané M 6.60
77 B. Bolla B. Bolla M 6.70
10 P. Dahl P. Dahl 71' F 6.70
90 J. Antiste J. Antiste 1 ⚽ 63' F 7.50
9 E. Kara E. Kara 1 👟 71' F 7.20
Bench
26 A. Weimann A. Weimann 19' F 6.30
7 M. Tilio M. Tilio F
15 Nikolaus Wurmbrand Nikolaus Wurmbrand 19' F 6.50
16 T. Børkeeiet T. Børkeeiet 9' M 6.90
17 Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen 9' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
S. Horvath
S. Horvath
M · Lask
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 39 pass
M. Bogarde
M. Bogarde
M · Lask
7.90
1 👟
· 45 pass
K. Daněk
K. Daněk
M · Lask
7.60
· 21 pass
M. Usor
M. Usor
F · Lask
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
J. Antiste
J. Antiste
F · Rapid
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 24 pass
E. Kara
E. Kara
F · Rapid
7.20
1 👟
2 shots · 10 pass
Lask Linz Lask Linz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 23 18% — — —
G. Bello D 90 6.30 — — — 18 17% 1 — —
A. Andrade D 90 6.90 — — — 48 39% 2 — —
Alemão D 90 6.90 — — 1 55 48% 1 — —
M. Cissé D 90 6.90 — — 1 48 40% 4 — —
K. Jørgensen D 83 6.30 — — 1 21 20% — — —
S. Horvath M 89 8.30 1 — 1 39 35% — — —
M. Bogarde M 90 7.90 — 1 — 45 37% 2 — —
K. Daněk M 70 7.60 — — — 21 19% 1 — —
S. Adeniran F 89 6.60 1 — 3 11 5% 1 — —
S. Kalajdzic F 82 6.90 — 1 2 15 9% — 1 —
C. Lang F 9 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
Ismaila Coulibaly M 9 6.70 — — — — — — — —
M. Usor F 20 7.50 1 — 1 11 10% — — —
X. Mbuyamba D 8 6.70 — — — 1 — — — —
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 40 33% — — —
K. Ahoussou D 81 5.90 — — — 50 44% 1 — —
D 90 5.90 — — — 68 64% 1 — —
Jakob Schöller D 81 6.70 — — — 49 43% 2 — —
J. Horn M 90 7.00 — — — 55 50% — — —
M. Seidl M 90 6.90 — — — 60 47% 3 — 1
R. Amané M 90 6.60 — — — 57 49% 5 — —
B. Bolla M 90 6.70 — — — 38 31% 1 — —
P. Dahl F 71 6.70 — — — 17 14% — — —
J. Antiste F 63 7.50 1 — 2 24 18% — — —
E. Kara F 71 7.20 — 1 2 10 9% 2 — —
A. Weimann F 19 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Nikolaus Wurmbrand F 19 6.50 — — — 4 4% — — —
T. Børkeeiet M 9 6.90 — — — 13 12% 2 1 —
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen M 9 6.70 — — — 4 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna?
The final score was Lask Linz 3–1 Rapid Vienna.
What did the model predict before Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Lask Linz win, 14% to a draw, and 13% to an Rapid Vienna win.