← Super League
#3 · 42 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#6 · 23 pts
Model correct — prediction Lausanne
O. Janneh (ast. S. Fofana) 45'
S. Fofana (ast. B. Lekoueiry) 67'
(pen.) 39' L. Zuffi

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lausanne a 55% win probability (draw 25%, FC Winterthur 19%). The final result was Lausanne 2–1 FC Winterthur. In 3 previous meetings, Lausanne have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for FC Winterthur.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
5
1.48
Actual xG
1.77
5
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
8
16
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
39'
(pen.) L. Zuffi
O. Janneh · ast. S. Fofana
45'
G. Sigua / B. Lekoueiry
46'
Sekou Fofana
55'
62'
B. Dansoko / N. Burkart
62'
R. Schneider / A. Jankewitz
S. Fofana · ast. B. Lekoueiry
67'
S. Traore / N. Butler-Oyedeji
75'
80'
R. Buess / S. Sidler
80'
E. Maluvunu / P. Kasami
S. Fofana / B. Soppy
81'
85'
F. Momoh / T. Golliard
Pre-match prediction
55.23%
Lausanne ←
25.37%
X
19.4%
FC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lausanne) 55.23% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lausanne
1.80
1.48
-0.32
FC
1.16
1.77
+0.61
xG dominance was balanced (1.48 – 1.77). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Thun FC Thun 37 74
1 FC Luzern FC Luzern 37 50
2 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 37 69
2 Servette FC Servette FC 37 50
3 Lausanne Lausanne 37 42
3 FC Lugano FC Lugano 37 64
4 FC Zurich FC Zurich 37 38
4 FC Sion FC Sion 37 62
5 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 37 30
5 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 37 56
6 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 37 54
6 FC Winterthur FC Winterthur 37 23
Lineups
Lausanne Lausanne 4-3-3
25
G 7.30
93 Sekou Fofana Sekou Fofana 1 ⚽ 1 👟 81' D 8.30
18 Morgan Poaty Morgan Poaty D 6.30
14
K. Mouanga D 7.30
6 Theo Bergvall Theo Bergvall D 7.20
16
N. Beloko M 6.60
8 Jamie Roche Jamie Roche M 7.00
38
G. Sigua 45' M 6.70
78 Omar Janneh Omar Janneh 1 ⚽ F 8.30
9 Theo Bair Theo Bair F 6.30
17
Seydou Traore 75' F 6.30
Bench
7 Alban Ajdini Alban Ajdini F
27 B. Lekoueiry B. Lekoueiry 1 👟 45' M 7.60
91 Florent Mollet Florent Mollet M
70 G. Diakité G. Diakité M
11 Nathan Butler-Oyedeji Nathan Butler-Oyedeji 15' F 6.60
FC Winterthur FC Winterthur 3-4-1-2
1 Stefanos Kapino Stefanos Kapino G 6.30
21 Loïc Lüthi Loïc Lüthi D 5.90
5
D 7.30
33
D 6.20
99 Nishan Burkart Nishan Burkart 62' M 6.70
7
L. Zuffi 1 ⚽ M 8.20
23 Pajtim Kasami Pajtim Kasami 80' M 7.20
24 Silvan Sidler Silvan Sidler 80' M 6.30
45 Alexandre Jankewitz Alexandre Jankewitz 62' F 7.00
17 A. Hunziker A. Hunziker F 6.90
8 T. Golliard T. Golliard 85' F 7.60
Bench
11
B. Dansoko 28' F 6.70
3 Rhodri Smith Rhodri Smith D
9 Roman Buess Roman Buess 10' F 6.20
44 Stéphane Cueni Stéphane Cueni M
Best on the pitch
Sekou Fofana
Sekou Fofana
D · Lausanne
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 45 pass
Omar Janneh
Omar Janneh
F · Lausanne
8.30
1 ⚽
5 shots · 33 pass
L. Zuffi
M · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 53 pass
B. Lekoueiry
B. Lekoueiry
M · Lausanne
7.60
1 👟
3 shots · 23 pass
T. Golliard
T. Golliard
F · FC
7.60
· 18 pass
D · FC
7.30
2 shots · 47 pass
Lausanne Lausanne — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 13 7% 1
Sekou Fofana D 81 8.30 1 1 4 45 37% 1
Morgan Poaty D 90 6.30 42 37% 2
K. Mouanga D 90 7.30 39 35% 1
Theo Bergvall D 90 7.20 59 52% 1
N. Beloko M 90 6.60 1 52 49% 2
Jamie Roche M 90 7.00 60 50% 2
G. Sigua M 45 6.70 19 19% 1
Omar Janneh F 90 8.30 1 5 33 23%
Theo Bair F 90 6.30 2 26 18%
Seydou Traore F 75 6.30 2 30 24% 3
B. Lekoueiry M 45 7.60 1 3 23 19% 3
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji F 15 6.60 1 10 7%
FC Winterthur FC Winterthur — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Stefanos Kapino G 90 6.30 31 19%
Loïc Lüthi D 90 5.90 1 48 34%
D 90 7.30 2 47 39% 2
D 90 6.20 40 35%
Nishan Burkart M 62 6.70 21 16% 2
L. Zuffi M 90 8.20 1 1 53 42%
Pajtim Kasami M 80 7.20 1 31 27% 3
Silvan Sidler M 80 6.30 1 35 22% 2
Alexandre Jankewitz F 62 7.00 18 10% 1
A. Hunziker F 90 6.90 2 28 17% 2
T. Golliard F 85 7.60 18 17% 1
B. Dansoko F 28 6.70 10 6% 2
Roman Buess F 10 6.20 2 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lausanne vs FC Winterthur?
The final score was Lausanne 2–1 FC Winterthur.
What did the model predict before Lausanne vs FC Winterthur?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Lausanne win, 25% to a draw, and 19% to an FC Winterthur win.