✓Model correct — prediction Lausanne
O. Janneh
(ast. S. Fofana)
45'
S. Fofana
(ast. B. Lekoueiry)
67'
(pen.)
39'
L. Zuffi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lausanne a 55% win probability (draw 25%, FC Winterthur 19%). The final result was Lausanne 2–1 FC Winterthur. In 3 previous meetings, Lausanne have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for FC Winterthur.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
5
1.48
Actual xG
1.77
5
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
8
16
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
39'
(pen.)
L. Zuffi⚽
⚽O. Janneh
· ast. S. Fofana
45'
G. Sigua
/ B. Lekoueiry
46'
Sekou Fofana
55'
62'
B. Dansoko
/
N. Burkart
62'
R. Schneider
/
A. Jankewitz
⚽S. Fofana
· ast. B. Lekoueiry
67'
S. Traore
/ N. Butler-Oyedeji
75'
80'
R. Buess
/
S. Sidler
80'
E. Maluvunu
/
P. Kasami
S. Fofana
/ B. Soppy
81'
85'
F. Momoh
/
T. Golliard
Pre-match prediction
55.23%
Lausanne ←
25.37%
X
19.4%
FC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lausanne)
55.23%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.80
1.48
-0.32
1.16
1.77
+0.61
xG dominance was balanced (1.48 – 1.77).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
G
93
Sekou Fofana
1 ⚽
1 👟
81'
D
Sekou Fofana
1 ⚽
1 👟
81'
D
18
Morgan Poaty
D
Morgan Poaty
D
14
Kevin Mouanga
D
Kevin Mouanga
D
6
Theo Bergvall
D
Theo Bergvall
D
16
N. Beloko
M
8
Jamie Roche
M
Jamie Roche
M
38
G. Sigua
45'
M
78
Omar Janneh
1 ⚽
F
Omar Janneh
1 ⚽
F
9
T. Bair
F
T. Bair
F
17
Seydou Traore
75'
F
Seydou Traore
75'
F
Bench
7
Alban Ajdini
F
Alban Ajdini
F
27
B. Lekoueiry
1 👟
45'
M
B. Lekoueiry
1 👟
45'
M
91
Florent Mollet
M
Florent Mollet
M
70
G. Diakité
M
G. Diakité
M
11
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji
15'
F
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji
15'
F
1
Stefanos Kapino
G
Stefanos Kapino
G
21
Loïc Lüthi
D
Loïc Lüthi
D
5
D
33
D
99
Nishan Burkart
62'
M
Nishan Burkart
62'
M
7
Luca Zuffi
1 ⚽
M
Luca Zuffi
1 ⚽
M
23
Pajtim Kasami
80'
M
Pajtim Kasami
80'
M
24
Silvan Sidler
80'
M
Silvan Sidler
80'
M
45
Alexandre Jankewitz
62'
F
Alexandre Jankewitz
62'
F
17
A. Hunziker
F
A. Hunziker
F
8
T. Golliard
85'
F
T. Golliard
85'
F
Bench
11
B. Dansoko
28'
F
3
Rhodri Smith
D
Rhodri Smith
D
9
Roman Buess
10'
F
Roman Buess
10'
F
44
S. Cueni
M
S. Cueni
M
Best on the pitch
Sekou Fofana
D · Lausanne
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 45 pass
Omar Janneh
F · Lausanne
8.30
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 33 pass
Luca Zuffi
M · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 53 pass
B. Lekoueiry
M · Lausanne
7.60
1 👟
3 shots
· 23 pass
T. Golliard
F · FC
7.60
· 18 pass
D · FC
7.30
2 shots
· 47 pass
Lausanne — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — | |
| Sekou Fofana | D | 81 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| Morgan Poaty | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Mouanga | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Theo Bergvall | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Beloko | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Jamie Roche | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Sigua | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Janneh | F | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 5 | 33 | 23% | — | — | — |
| T. Bair | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Seydou Traore | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Lekoueiry | M | 45 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 3 | 23 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Nathan Butler-Oyedeji | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
FC Winterthur — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Kapino | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Loïc Lüthi | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 34% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 39% | 2 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | — | — | — | |
| Nishan Burkart | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Luca Zuffi | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 53 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Pajtim Kasami | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Silvan Sidler | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexandre Jankewitz | F | 62 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Hunziker | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Golliard | F | 85 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Dansoko | F | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Roman Buess | F | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lausanne vs FC Winterthur?
The final score was Lausanne 2–1 FC Winterthur.
What did the model predict before Lausanne vs FC Winterthur?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Lausanne win, 25% to a draw, and 19% to an FC Winterthur win.