Skip to main content
← Super League
Model correct — prediction Lausanne
O. Janneh (ast. S. Fofana) 45'
S. Fofana (ast. B. Lekoueiry) 67'
(pen.) 39' L. Zuffi
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lausanne a 55% win probability (draw 25%, FC Winterthur 19%). The final result was Lausanne 2–1 FC Winterthur. In 3 previous meetings, Lausanne have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for FC Winterthur.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
5
1.48
Actual xG
1.77
5
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
8
16
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
39'
(pen.) L. Zuffi
O. Janneh · ast. S. Fofana
45'
G. Sigua / B. Lekoueiry
46'
Sekou Fofana
55'
62'
B. Dansoko / N. Burkart
62'
R. Schneider / A. Jankewitz
S. Fofana · ast. B. Lekoueiry
67'
S. Traore / N. Butler-Oyedeji
75'
80'
R. Buess / S. Sidler
80'
E. Maluvunu / P. Kasami
S. Fofana / B. Soppy
81'
85'
F. Momoh / T. Golliard
Pre-match prediction
55.23%
Lausanne ←
25.37%
X
19.4%
FC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lausanne) 55.23% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lausanne
1.80
1.48
-0.32
FC
1.16
1.77
+0.61
xG dominance was balanced (1.48 – 1.77). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Lugano FC Lugano 7 19
2 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 8 16
3 FC Sion FC Sion 7 15
4 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 8 13
5 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 7 10
6 FC Zurich FC Zurich 8 10
7 FC Luzern FC Luzern 8 9
8 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 7 8
9 Servette FC Servette FC 7 7
10 FC Thun FC Thun 7 7
11 FC Vaduz FC Vaduz 8 6
12 Lausanne Lausanne 8 6
Lineups
Lausanne Lausanne 4-3-3
25
G 7.30
93 Sekou Fofana Sekou Fofana 1 ⚽ 1 👟 81' D 8.30
18 M. Poaty M. Poaty D 6.30
14 Kevin Mouanga Kevin Mouanga D 7.30
6 T. Bergvall T. Bergvall D 7.20
16 N. Beloko N. Beloko M 6.60
8 J. Roche J. Roche M 7.00
38
G. Sigua 45' M 6.70
78 Omar Janneh Omar Janneh 1 ⚽ F 8.30
9 T. Bair T. Bair F 6.30
17 S. Traore S. Traore 75' F 6.30
Bench
7 A. Ajdini A. Ajdini F
27 Beyatt Lekoueiry Beyatt Lekoueiry 1 👟 45' M 7.60
91 F. Mollet F. Mollet M
70
Gaoussou Diakite M
11 N. Butler-Oyedeji N. Butler-Oyedeji 15' F 6.60
FC Winterthur FC Winterthur 3-4-1-2
1
Stefanos Kapino G 6.30
21 L. Lüthi L. Lüthi D 5.90
5
D 7.30
33
D 6.20
99 Nishan Burkart Nishan Burkart 62' M 6.70
7 Luca Zuffi Luca Zuffi 1 ⚽ M 8.20
23 Pajtim Kasami Pajtim Kasami 80' M 7.20
24 Silvan Sidler Silvan Sidler 80' M 6.30
45 Alexandre Jankewitz Alexandre Jankewitz 62' F 7.00
17 A. Hunziker A. Hunziker F 6.90
8 T. Golliard T. Golliard 85' F 7.60
Bench
11
B. Dansoko 28' F 6.70
3 Rhodri Smith Rhodri Smith D
9 Roman Buess Roman Buess 10' F 6.20
44 S. Cueni S. Cueni M
Best on the pitch
Sekou Fofana
Sekou Fofana
D · Lausanne
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 45 pass
Omar Janneh
Omar Janneh
F · Lausanne
8.30
1 ⚽
5 shots · 33 pass
Luca Zuffi
Luca Zuffi
M · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 53 pass
Beyatt Lekoueiry
Beyatt Lekoueiry
M · Lausanne
7.60
1 👟
3 shots · 23 pass
T. Golliard
T. Golliard
F · FC
7.60
· 18 pass
D · FC
7.30
2 shots · 47 pass
Lausanne Lausanne — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 13 7% 1
Sekou Fofana D 81 8.30 1 1 4 45 37% 1
M. Poaty D 90 6.30 42 37% 2
Kevin Mouanga D 90 7.30 39 35% 1
T. Bergvall D 90 7.20 59 52% 1
N. Beloko M 90 6.60 1 52 49% 2
J. Roche M 90 7.00 60 50% 2
G. Sigua M 45 6.70 19 19% 1
Omar Janneh F 90 8.30 1 5 33 23%
T. Bair F 90 6.30 2 26 18%
S. Traore F 75 6.30 2 30 24% 3
Beyatt Lekoueiry M 45 7.60 1 3 23 19% 3
N. Butler-Oyedeji F 15 6.60 1 10 7%
FC Winterthur FC Winterthur — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Stefanos Kapino G 90 6.30 31 19%
L. Lüthi D 90 5.90 1 48 34%
D 90 7.30 2 47 39% 2
D 90 6.20 40 35%
Nishan Burkart M 62 6.70 21 16% 2
Luca Zuffi M 90 8.20 1 1 53 42%
Pajtim Kasami M 80 7.20 1 31 27% 3
Silvan Sidler M 80 6.30 1 35 22% 2
Alexandre Jankewitz F 62 7.00 18 10% 1
A. Hunziker F 90 6.90 2 28 17% 2
T. Golliard F 85 7.60 18 17% 1
B. Dansoko F 28 6.70 10 6% 2
Roman Buess F 10 6.20 2 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lausanne vs FC Winterthur?
The final score was Lausanne 2–1 FC Winterthur.
What did the model predict before Lausanne vs FC Winterthur?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Lausanne win, 25% to a draw, and 19% to an FC Winterthur win.