← Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 30 April 26, 2026 19:30
Lech Poznan
#1 · 56 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Legia Warszawa
#9 · 43 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Lech Poznan
A. Gholizadeh (ast. P. Walemark) 3'
M. Ishak (ast. M. Gurgul) 31'
M. Gurgul 38'
M. Ishak (ast. J. Pereira) 42'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 61% win probability (draw 20%, Legia Warszawa 18%). The final result was Lech Poznan 4–0 Legia Warszawa. In 1 previous meetings, Lech Poznan have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Legia Warszawa.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
0
2.94
Actual xG
0.27
0
Saves
3
67%
Possession
33%
5
Corners
2
10
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Gholizadeh · ast. P. Walemark
3'
21'
R. Augustyniak
22'
A. Jedrzejczyk / R. Adamski ↕
⚽M. Ishak · ast. M. Gurgul
31'
⚽M. Gurgul
38'
⚽M. Ishak · ast. J. Pereira
42'
46'
B. Kapustka / K. Urbanski ↕
61'
B. Kapustka
↕ A. Kozubal / F. Jagiello
65'
↕ P. Walemark / D. Hakans
65'
↕ A. Gholizadeh / L. Palma
65'
65'
S. Kovacik / D. Szymanski ↕
65'
W. Urbanski / P. Kun ↕
72'
A. Reca / R. Pankov ↕
↕ T. Ouma / R. Murawski
78'
↕ J. Pereira / H. Janyszka
86'
Pre-match prediction
61.18%
Lech ←
20.43%
X
18.39%
Legia
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lech Poznan) 61.18% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lech
2.39
2.94
+0.55
Legia
1.18
0.27
-0.92
Lech Poznan dominated by xG (2.94 vs 0.27). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 32 56
2 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 32 52
3 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 32 50
4 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 32 49
5 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 32 48
6 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 32 48
7 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 32 45
8 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 32 44
9 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 32 43
10 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 32 42
11 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 32 41
12 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 32 41
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 32 40
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 32 39
15 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 32 39
16 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 32 38
17 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 32 36
18 Nieciecza Nieciecza 32 28
Lineups
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1
41
G 6.70
15
M. Gurgul 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 8.20
27
D 8.30
20
R. Gumny D 7.20
2
J. Pereira 1 👟 86' D 8.60
43
A. Kozubal 65' M 7.00
6
T. Ouma 78' M 7.50
14
L. Bengtsson M 6.70
10
Patrik Wålemark 1 👟 65' M 6.90
8
A. Gholizadeh 1 ⚽ 65' M 9.20
9 M. Ishak M. Ishak 2 ⚽ F 8.30
Bench
16
A. Milic D
11
D. Hakans 25' M 6.20
77
L. Palma 25' M 7.00
88 T. Ismaheel T. Ismaheel M
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 5-3-2
89
G 6.90
23 Patryk Kun Patryk Kun 65' D 6.00
12 Radovan Pankov Radovan Pankov 72' D 6.50
8 Rafał Augustyniak Rafał Augustyniak 21' D 4.20
91
D 6.20
7
Paweł Wszołek D 5.90
44 Damian Szymański Damian Szymański 65' M 6.20
22 Juergen Elitim Juergen Elitim M 6.60
82 Kacper Urbański Kacper Urbański 45' M 6.30
9 Rafał Adamski Rafał Adamski 22' F 6.20
29 Mileta Rajović Mileta Rajović F 6.20
Bench
13
A. Reca 18' D 6.60
67 Bartosz Kapustka Bartosz Kapustka 45' M 6.60
18 Jean-Pierre Nsame Jean-Pierre Nsame F
53 Wojciech Urbański Wojciech Urbański 25' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
A. Gholizadeh
M · Lech
9.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 49 pass
J. Pereira
D · Lech
8.60
1 👟
· 82 pass
D · Lech
8.30
· 93 pass
M. Ishak
M. Ishak
F · Lech
8.30
2 ⚽
6 shots · 22 pass
M. Gurgul
D · Lech
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 63 pass
T. Ouma
M · Lech
7.50
· 44 pass
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 12 10% — — —
M. Gurgul D 90 8.20 1 1 2 63 54% 1 — —
D 90 8.30 — — — 93 87% — — —
R. Gumny D 90 7.20 — — — 78 76% 1 — —
J. Pereira D 86 8.60 — 1 — 82 73% 1 — —
A. Kozubal M 65 7.00 — — 1 35 30% 1 — —
T. Ouma M 78 7.50 — — — 44 39% 3 — —
L. Bengtsson M 90 6.70 — — 3 39 34% 1 — —
Patrik Wålemark M 65 6.90 — 1 1 17 11% 2 — —
A. Gholizadeh M 65 9.20 1 — 1 49 48% — — —
M. Ishak F 90 8.30 2 — 6 22 16% — — —
D. Hakans M 25 6.20 — — — 5 2% — — —
L. Palma M 25 7.00 — — 1 12 11% — — —
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 28 24% — — —
Patryk Kun D 65 6.00 — — — 17 12% 1 — —
Radovan Pankov D 72 6.50 — — — 29 26% 3 — —
Rafał Augustyniak D 21 4.20 — — — 9 8% 1 — 1
D 90 6.20 — — — 35 25% 1 — —
Paweł Wszołek D 90 5.90 — — 1 26 21% 1 — —
Damian Szymański M 65 6.20 — — — 26 19% 1 — —
Juergen Elitim M 90 6.60 — — — 35 32% 4 — —
Kacper Urbański M 45 6.30 — — — 5 2% 2 — —
Rafał Adamski F 22 6.20 — — — 5 2% — — —
Mileta Rajović F 90 6.20 — — 2 20 10% 1 — —
A. Reca D 18 6.60 — — — 4 4% — — —
Bartosz Kapustka M 45 6.60 — — — 10 9% 1 1 —
Wojciech Urbański M 25 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa?
The final score was Lech Poznan 4–0 Legia Warszawa.
What did the model predict before Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Lech Poznan win, 20% to a draw, and 18% to an Legia Warszawa win.