Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 30
April 26, 2026 17:30
✓Model correct — prediction Lech Poznan
A. Gholizadeh
(ast. P. Walemark)
3'
M. Ishak
(ast. M. Gurgul)
31'
M. Gurgul
38'
M. Ishak
(ast. J. Pereira)
42'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 61% win probability (draw 20%, Legia Warszawa 18%). The final result was Lech Poznan 4–0 Legia Warszawa. In 1 previous meetings, Lech Poznan have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Legia Warszawa.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
0
2.94
Actual xG
0.27
0
Saves
3
67%
Possession
33%
5
Corners
2
10
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Gholizadeh
· ast. P. Walemark
3'
21'
R. Augustyniak
22'
A. Jedrzejczyk
/
R. Adamski
⚽M. Ishak
· ast. M. Gurgul
31'
⚽M. Gurgul
38'
⚽M. Ishak
· ast. J. Pereira
42'
46'
B. Kapustka
/
K. Urbanski
61'
B. Kapustka
A. Kozubal
/ F. Jagiello
65'
P. Walemark
/ D. Hakans
65'
A. Gholizadeh
/ L. Palma
65'
65'
S. Kovacik
/
D. Szymanski
65'
W. Urbanski
/
P. Kun
72'
A. Reca
/
R. Pankov
T. Ouma
/ R. Murawski
78'
J. Pereira
/ H. Janyszka
86'
Pre-match prediction
61.18%
Lech ←
20.43%
X
18.39%
Legia
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lech Poznan)
61.18%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.39
2.94
+0.55
1.18
0.27
-0.92
Lech Poznan dominated by xG (2.94 vs 0.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
G
15
Michal Gurgul
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Michal Gurgul
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
27
D
20
Robert Gumny
D
Robert Gumny
D
2
Joel Pereira
1 👟
86'
D
Joel Pereira
1 👟
86'
D
43
Antoni Kozubal
65'
M
Antoni Kozubal
65'
M
6
Timothy Ouma
78'
M
Timothy Ouma
78'
M
14
Leo Bengtsson
M
Leo Bengtsson
M
10
Patrik Wålemark
1 👟
65'
M
Patrik Wålemark
1 👟
65'
M
8
A. Gholizadeh
1 ⚽
65'
M
9
M. Ishak
2 ⚽
F
M. Ishak
2 ⚽
F
Bench
16
Antonio Milić
D
Antonio Milić
D
11
Daniel Håkans
25'
M
Daniel Håkans
25'
M
77
L. Palma
25'
M
L. Palma
25'
M
88
Taofeek Ismaheel
M
Taofeek Ismaheel
M
89
G
23
Patryk Kun
65'
D
Patryk Kun
65'
D
12
Radovan Pankov
72'
D
Radovan Pankov
72'
D
8
Rafał Augustyniak
21'
D
Rafał Augustyniak
21'
D
91
D
7
P. Wszołek
D
P. Wszołek
D
44
Damian Szymański
65'
M
Damian Szymański
65'
M
22
Juergen Elitim
M
Juergen Elitim
M
82
Kacper Urbański
45'
M
Kacper Urbański
45'
M
9
Rafał Adamski
22'
F
Rafał Adamski
22'
F
29
Mileta Rajović
F
Mileta Rajović
F
Bench
13
Arkadiusz Reca
18'
D
Arkadiusz Reca
18'
D
67
Bartosz Kapustka
45'
M
Bartosz Kapustka
45'
M
18
Jean-Pierre Nsame
F
Jean-Pierre Nsame
F
53
W. Urbański
25'
M
W. Urbański
25'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Gholizadeh
M · Lech
9.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 49 pass
Joel Pereira
D · Lech
8.60
1 👟
· 82 pass
D · Lech
8.30
· 93 pass
M. Ishak
F · Lech
8.30
2 ⚽
6 shots
· 22 pass
Michal Gurgul
D · Lech
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 63 pass
Timothy Ouma
M · Lech
7.50
· 44 pass
Lech Poznan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| Michal Gurgul | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 63 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 93 | 87% | — | — | — | |
| Robert Gumny | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 78 | 76% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel Pereira | D | 86 | 8.60 | — | 1 | — | 82 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| Antoni Kozubal | M | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Timothy Ouma | M | 78 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Leo Bengtsson | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Patrik Wålemark | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gholizadeh | M | 65 | 9.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 49 | 48% | — | — | — |
| M. Ishak | F | 90 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 6 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Håkans | M | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Palma | M | 25 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
Legia Warszawa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Patryk Kun | D | 65 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Radovan Pankov | D | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Rafał Augustyniak | D | 21 | 4.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | 1 |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 1 | — | — | |
| P. Wszołek | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Damian Szymański | M | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Juergen Elitim | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 4 | — | — |
| Kacper Urbański | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafał Adamski | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mileta Rajović | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Arkadiusz Reca | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Bartosz Kapustka | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Urbański | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa?
The final score was Lech Poznan 4–0 Legia Warszawa.
What did the model predict before Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Lech Poznan win, 20% to a draw, and 18% to an Legia Warszawa win.