Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 30 April 26, 2026 17:30

Lech Poznan

#3 · 19 pts

4 – 0

Final score

Legia Warszawa

#2 · 19 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Lech Poznan

A. Gholizadeh (ast. P. Walemark) 3'

M. Ishak (ast. M. Gurgul) 31'

M. Gurgul 38'

M. Ishak (ast. J. Pereira) 42'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 61% win probability (draw 20%, Legia Warszawa 18%). The final result was Lech Poznan 4–0 Legia Warszawa. In 1 previous meetings, Lech Poznan have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Legia Warszawa.

Match statistics

15

Total shots

3

7

Shots on target

0

2.94

Actual xG

0.27

0

Saves

3

67%

Possession

33%

5

Corners

2

10

Tackles

16

0

🟨 Yellow cards

1

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

⚽A. Gholizadeh · ast. P. Walemark

3'

21'

R. Augustyniak

22'

A. Jedrzejczyk / R. Adamski ↕

⚽M. Ishak · ast. M. Gurgul

31'

⚽M. Gurgul

38'

⚽M. Ishak · ast. J. Pereira

42'

46'

B. Kapustka / K. Urbanski ↕

61'

B. Kapustka

↕ A. Kozubal / F. Jagiello

65'

↕ P. Walemark / D. Hakans

65'

↕ A. Gholizadeh / L. Palma

65'

65'

S. Kovacik / D. Szymanski ↕

65'

W. Urbanski / P. Kun ↕

72'

A. Reca / R. Pankov ↕

↕ T. Ouma / R. Murawski

78'

↕ J. Pereira / H. Janyszka

86'

Pre-match prediction

61.18%

Lech ←

20.43%

X

18.39%

Legia

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lech Poznan) 61.18% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Lech

2.39

2.94

+0.55

Legia

1.18

0.27

-0.92

Lech Poznan dominated by xG (2.94 vs 0.27). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	22
2	Legia Warszawa	9	19
3	Lech Poznan	8	19
4	Wisla Krakow	9	17
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	15
6	Korona Kielce	9	15
7	Zaglebie Lubin	9	15
8	Piast Gliwice	9	13
9	GKS Katowice	8	12
10	Jagiellonia	8	12
11	Wisla Plock	8	11
12	Widzew Łódź	9	9
13	Cracovia Krakow	9	8
14	Radomiak Radom	9	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	6
16	Motor Lublin	9	6
17	Wieczysta Kraków	8	5
18	Raków Częstochowa	9	3

Lineups

Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1

41

G 6.70

15 M. Gurgul 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 8.20

27

D 8.30

20 R. Gumny D 7.20

2 Joel Pereira 1 👟 86' D 8.60

43 Antoni Kozubal 65' M 7.00

6 Timothy Ouma 78' M 7.50

14 L. Bengtsson M 6.70

10 P. Wålemark 1 👟 65' M 6.90

8

A. Gholizadeh 1 ⚽ 65' M 9.20

9 M. Ishak 2 ⚽ F 8.30

Bench

16 A. Milić D

11 D. Håkans 25' M 6.20

77 L. Palma 25' M 7.00

88 Taofeek Ismaheel M

Legia Warszawa 5-3-2

89

G 6.90

23 P. Kun 65' D 6.00

12 Radovan Pankov 72' D 6.50

8 R. Augustyniak 21' D 4.20

91

D 6.20

7 P. Wszołek D 5.90

44 D. Szymański 65' M 6.20

22 Juergen Elitim M 6.60

82 K. Urbański 45' M 6.30

9 R. Adamski 22' F 6.20

29 M. Rajović F 6.20

Bench

13 A. Reca 18' D 6.60

67 B. Kapustka 45' M 6.60

18 J. Nsame F

53 W. Urbański 25' M 6.60

Best on the pitch

A. Gholizadeh

M · Lech

9.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 49 pass

Joel Pereira

D · Lech

8.60

1 👟

· 82 pass

D · Lech

8.30

· 93 pass

M. Ishak

F · Lech

8.30

2 ⚽

6 shots · 22 pass

M. Gurgul

D · Lech

8.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 63 pass

Timothy Ouma

M · Lech

7.50

· 44 pass

Lech Poznan — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	12	10%	—	—	—
M. Gurgul	D	90	8.20	1	1	2	63	54%	1	—	—
	D	90	8.30	—	—	—	93	87%	—	—	—
R. Gumny	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	78	76%	1	—	—
Joel Pereira	D	86	8.60	—	1	—	82	73%	1	—	—
Antoni Kozubal	M	65	7.00	—	—	1	35	30%	1	—	—
Timothy Ouma	M	78	7.50	—	—	—	44	39%	3	—	—
L. Bengtsson	M	90	6.70	—	—	3	39	34%	1	—	—
P. Wålemark	M	65	6.90	—	1	1	17	11%	2	—	—
A. Gholizadeh	M	65	9.20	1	—	1	49	48%	—	—	—
M. Ishak	F	90	8.30	2	—	6	22	16%	—	—	—
D. Håkans	M	25	6.20	—	—	—	5	2%	—	—	—
L. Palma	M	25	7.00	—	—	1	12	11%	—	—	—

Legia Warszawa — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	28	24%	—	—	—
P. Kun	D	65	6.00	—	—	—	17	12%	1	—	—
Radovan Pankov	D	72	6.50	—	—	—	29	26%	3	—	—
R. Augustyniak	D	21	4.20	—	—	—	9	8%	1	—	1
	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	35	25%	1	—	—
P. Wszołek	D	90	5.90	—	—	1	26	21%	1	—	—
D. Szymański	M	65	6.20	—	—	—	26	19%	1	—	—
Juergen Elitim	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	35	32%	4	—	—
K. Urbański	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	5	2%	2	—	—
R. Adamski	F	22	6.20	—	—	—	5	2%	—	—	—
M. Rajović	F	90	6.20	—	—	2	20	10%	1	—	—
A. Reca	D	18	6.60	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
B. Kapustka	M	45	6.60	—	—	—	10	9%	1	1	—
W. Urbański	M	25	6.60	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—