Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 29
April 17, 2026 22:30
R. Adamski
(ast. K. Piatkowski)
29'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Legia Warszawa a 44% win probability (draw 31%, Zaglebie Lubin 23%). The final result was Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin. In 1 previous meetings, Legia Warszawa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Zaglebie Lubin.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
1
1.74
Actual xG
0.57
1
Saves
1
62%
Possession
38%
10
Corners
4
8
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽R. Adamski
· ast. K. Piatkowski
29'
58'
Filip Kocaba
62'
D. Dabrowski
/
F. Kocaba
62'
J. Sypek
/
A. Radwanski
62'
M. Grzybek
/
J. Corluka
74'
M. Kosidis
/
L. Szabo
74'
M. Dziewiatowski
/
J. Kolan
K. Urbanski
/ E. Krasniqi
80'
Damian Szymanski
85'
85'
Jasmin Burić
P. Kun
/ A. Reca
89'
D. Szymanski
/ B. Kapustka
90'+6
90'
Mateusz Dziewiatowski
Pre-match prediction
44.92%
Legia ←
31.69%
X
23.39%
Zaglebie
we assigned to the actual result (Legia Warszawa)
44.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
1.74
+0.5
0.78
0.57
-0.21
Legia Warszawa dominated by xG (1.74 vs 0.57).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
89
G
12
Radovan Pankov
D
Radovan Pankov
D
8
Rafał Augustyniak
D
Rafał Augustyniak
D
91
1 👟
D
23
Patryk Kun
89'
M
Patryk Kun
89'
M
44
Damian Szymański
89'
M
Damian Szymański
89'
M
22
Juergen Elitim
M
Juergen Elitim
M
82
Kacper Urbański
80'
M
Kacper Urbański
80'
M
7
Paweł Wszołek
M
9
Rafał Adamski
1 ⚽
F
Rafał Adamski
1 ⚽
F
29
Mileta Rajović
F
Mileta Rajović
F
Bench
13
A. Reca
9'
D
67
Bartosz Kapustka
1'
M
Bartosz Kapustka
1'
M
18
Jean-Pierre Nsame
F
Jean-Pierre Nsame
F
1
Jasmin Burić
G
Jasmin Burić
G
35
Luka Lučić
D
Luka Lučić
D
4
D
25
Michał Nalepa
D
Michał Nalepa
D
31
I. Orlikowski
D
39
Filip Kocaba
62'
M
Filip Kocaba
62'
M
26
Jakub Kolan
74'
M
Jakub Kolan
74'
M
18
Adam Radwański
62'
M
Adam Radwański
62'
M
44
Marcel Regula
M
Marcel Regula
M
16
Josip Ćorluka
62'
M
Josip Ćorluka
62'
M
17
Levente Szabó
74'
F
Levente Szabó
74'
F
Bench
8
Damian Dąbrowski
28'
M
Damian Dąbrowski
28'
M
20
Mateusz Dziewiatowski
16'
M
Mateusz Dziewiatowski
16'
M
13
Mateusz Grzybek
28'
D
Mateusz Grzybek
28'
D
9
Michalis Kosidis
16'
F
Michalis Kosidis
16'
F
7
Sebastian Kowalczyk
M
Sebastian Kowalczyk
M
Best on the pitch
Michał Nalepa
D · Zaglebie
8.30
1 shots
· 24 pass
Juergen Elitim
M · Legia
8.20
· 45 pass
Paweł Wszołek
M · Legia
7.70
· 34 pass
Rafał Augustyniak
D · Legia
7.50
· 59 pass
D · Legia
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 38 pass
Kacper Urbański
M · Legia
7.30
2 shots
· 25 pass
Legia Warszawa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Radovan Pankov | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafał Augustyniak | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 59 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 38 | 25% | 2 | — | — | |
| Patryk Kun | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Damian Szymański | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Juergen Elitim | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Kacper Urbański | M | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Paweł Wszołek | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafał Adamski | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Mileta Rajović | F | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Reca | D | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Bartosz Kapustka | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Zaglebie Lubin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmin Burić | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Luka Lučić | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — | |
| Michał Nalepa | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Orlikowski | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Filip Kocaba | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Jakub Kolan | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Adam Radwański | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Marcel Regula | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Josip Ćorluka | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Levente Szabó | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Damian Dąbrowski | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateusz Dziewiatowski | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mateusz Grzybek | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Michalis Kosidis | F | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The final score was Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin.
What did the model predict before Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Legia Warszawa win, 31% to a draw, and 23% to an Zaglebie Lubin win.