Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 29
April 17, 2026 20:30
R. Adamski
(ast. K. Piatkowski)
29'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Legia Warszawa a 44% win probability (draw 31%, Zaglebie Lubin 23%). The final result was Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin. In 2 previous meetings, Legia Warszawa have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Zaglebie Lubin.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
1
1.74
Actual xG
0.57
1
Saves
1
62%
Possession
38%
10
Corners
4
8
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽R. Adamski
· ast. K. Piatkowski
29'
58'
Filip Kocaba
62'
D. Dabrowski
/
F. Kocaba
62'
J. Sypek
/
A. Radwanski
62'
M. Grzybek
/
J. Corluka
74'
M. Kosidis
/
L. Szabo
74'
M. Dziewiatowski
/
J. Kolan
K. Urbanski
/ E. Krasniqi
80'
Damian Szymanski
85'
85'
Jasmin Burić
P. Kun
/ A. Reca
89'
D. Szymanski
/ B. Kapustka
90'+6
90'
Mateusz Dziewiatowski
Pre-match prediction
44.92%
Legia ←
31.69%
X
23.39%
Zaglebie
we assigned to the actual result (Legia Warszawa)
44.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
1.74
+0.5
0.78
0.57
-0.21
Legia Warszawa dominated by xG (1.74 vs 0.57).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
89
G
12
Radovan Pankov
D
Radovan Pankov
D
8
R. Augustyniak
D
R. Augustyniak
D
91
1 👟
D
23
P. Kun
89'
M
P. Kun
89'
M
44
D. Szymański
89'
M
D. Szymański
89'
M
22
Juergen Elitim
M
Juergen Elitim
M
82
K. UrbaÅski
80'
M
K. UrbaÅski
80'
M
7
P. Wszołek
M
P. Wszołek
M
9
R. Adamski
1 ⚽
F
R. Adamski
1 ⚽
F
29
M. Rajović
F
M. Rajović
F
Bench
13
A. Reca
9'
D
A. Reca
9'
D
67
B. Kapustka
1'
M
B. Kapustka
1'
M
18
J. Nsame
F
J. Nsame
F
1
J. Burić
G
J. Burić
G
35
Luka Lučić
D
Luka Lučić
D
4
D
25
M. Nalepa
D
M. Nalepa
D
31
I. Orlikowski
D
I. Orlikowski
D
39
F. Kocaba
62'
M
F. Kocaba
62'
M
26
J. Kolan
74'
M
J. Kolan
74'
M
18
A. Radwański
62'
M
A. Radwański
62'
M
44
M. Reguła
M
M. Reguła
M
16
J. Ćorluka
62'
M
J. Ćorluka
62'
M
17
Levente Szabó
74'
F
Levente Szabó
74'
F
Bench
8
D. Dąbrowski
28'
M
D. Dąbrowski
28'
M
20
M. Dziewiatowski
16'
M
M. Dziewiatowski
16'
M
13
M. Grzybek
28'
D
M. Grzybek
28'
D
9
M. Kosidis
16'
F
M. Kosidis
16'
F
7
Sebastian Kowalczyk
M
Sebastian Kowalczyk
M
Best on the pitch
M. Nalepa
D · Zaglebie
8.30
1 shots
· 24 pass
Juergen Elitim
M · Legia
8.20
· 45 pass
P. Wszołek
M · Legia
7.70
· 34 pass
R. Augustyniak
D · Legia
7.50
· 59 pass
D · Legia
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 38 pass
K. UrbaÅski
M · Legia
7.30
2 shots
· 25 pass
Legia Warszawa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Radovan Pankov | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Augustyniak | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 59 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 38 | 25% | 2 | — | — | |
| P. Kun | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| D. Szymański | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Juergen Elitim | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| K. UrbaÅski | M | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| P. Wszołek | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Adamski | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rajović | F | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Reca | D | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| B. Kapustka | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Zaglebie Lubin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Burić | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Luka Lučić | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Nalepa | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Orlikowski | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| F. Kocaba | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Kolan | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Radwański | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Reguła | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Ćorluka | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Levente Szabó | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Dąbrowski | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Dziewiatowski | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Grzybek | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Kosidis | F | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The final score was Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin.
What did the model predict before Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Legia Warszawa win, 31% to a draw, and 23% to an Zaglebie Lubin win.