← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 45 April 24, 2026 21:00
Leicester
#23 · 46 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Millwall
#3 · 83 pts
H. Souttar (ast. L. Thomas) 78'
90' M. Langstaff

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leicester a 36% win probability (draw 28%, Millwall 35%). The final result was Leicester 1–1 Millwall. In 1 previous meetings, Leicester have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Millwall.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
0.92
Actual xG
1.99
3
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
12
11
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
10'
M. Ivanovic / J. Coburn ↕
50'
J. Cooper
60'
F. Azeez
↕ B. De Cordova-Reid / J. Monga
60'
↕ D. Mukasa / L. Page
60'
67'
T. Ballo
72'
M. Langstaff / T. Ballo ↕
H. Choudhury
72'
⚽H. Souttar · ast. L. Thomas
78'
↕ I. Fatawu / S. Mavididi
79'
↕ O. Skipp / J. James
79'
82'
L. Cundle / Z. Sturge ↕
82'
T. Watson / C. De Norre ↕
82'
B. Bannan / D. Mazou-Sacko ↕
↕ P. Daka / O. Aluko
90'+5
90'
M. Langstaff⚽
Pre-match prediction
36.37%
Leicester
28.45%
X ←
35.18%
Millwall
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.45% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Leicester
1.28
0.92
-0.36
Millwall
0.96
1.99
+1.03
Millwall dominated by xG (1.99 vs 0.92). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Leicester Leicester 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.90
33 L. Thomas L. Thomas 1 👟 D 6.90
23
J. Vestergaard D 7.00
15
H. Souttar 1 ⚽ D 8.50
17
H. Choudhury D 7.00
8
H. Winks M 7.30
22
O. Skipp 80' M 7.30
14 B. De Cordova-Reid B. De Cordova-Reid 60' M 6.60
29
D. Mukasa 60' M 6.90
7 A. Fatawu A. Fatawu 80' M 6.90
20
P. Daka 89' F 6.90
Bench
9
J. Ayew F
6 J. James J. James 10' M 6.50
28
J. Monga 30' M 6.30
25
L. Page 30' M 6.70
21
R. Pereira D
10
S. Mavididi 10' F 6.30
Millwall Millwall 4-2-3-1
13
G 6.30
3 Zak Sturge Zak Sturge 82' D 6.90
5 J. Cooper J. Cooper D 6.90
4
D 6.90
18
D 7.30
24 Casper De Norre Casper De Norre 82' M 6.60
49 Derek Mazou-Sacko Derek Mazou-Sacko 82' M 6.90
7 Thierno Ballo Thierno Ballo 72' M 6.70
10 Camiel Neghli Camiel Neghli M 7.30
11 O. Azeez O. Azeez M 6.30
19 Josh Coburn Josh Coburn 10' F 6.70
Bench
67 Barry Bannan Barry Bannan 8' M 6.60
2 Danny McNamara Danny McNamara D
25 Luke Cundle Luke Cundle 8' M 6.90
17 Macaulay Langstaff Macaulay Langstaff 1 ⚽ 18' F 7.50
9 Mihailo Ivanović Mihailo Ivanović 80' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
H. Souttar
D · Leicester
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 44 pass
G · Leicester
7.90
· 23 pass
Macaulay Langstaff
Macaulay Langstaff
F · Millwall
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
Camiel Neghli
Camiel Neghli
M · Millwall
7.30
· 33 pass
D · Millwall
7.30
1 shots · 41 pass
O. Skipp
M · Leicester
7.30
· 38 pass
Leicester Leicester — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 23 15% — — —
L. Thomas D 90 6.90 — 1 — 32 28% 2 — —
J. Vestergaard D 90 7.00 — — — 25 17% 1 — —
H. Souttar D 90 8.50 1 — 1 44 33% — — —
H. Choudhury D 90 7.00 — — — 56 46% 3 1 —
H. Winks M 90 7.30 — — 2 58 53% 2 — —
O. Skipp M 80 7.30 — — — 38 35% 3 — —
B. De Cordova-Reid M 60 6.60 — — — 18 15% — — —
D. Mukasa M 60 6.90 — — — 30 22% — — —
A. Fatawu M 80 6.90 — — 1 26 20% — — —
P. Daka F 89 6.90 — — — 10 9% — — —
J. James M 10 6.50 — — — 4 4% — — —
J. Monga M 30 6.30 — — — 8 7% — — —
L. Page M 30 6.70 — — 1 8 6% — — —
S. Mavididi F 10 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Millwall Millwall — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 34 22% — — —
Zak Sturge D 82 6.90 — — 1 26 19% 3 — —
J. Cooper D 90 6.90 — — — 60 42% 1 1 —
D 90 6.90 — — 1 63 52% 4 — —
D 90 7.30 — — 1 41 29% 2 — —
Casper De Norre M 82 6.60 — — — 37 34% — — —
Derek Mazou-Sacko M 82 6.90 — — 2 37 34% 2 — —
Thierno Ballo M 72 6.70 — — 1 15 10% — 1 —
Camiel Neghli M 90 7.30 — — — 33 28% 2 — —
O. Azeez M 90 6.30 — — 3 24 15% — 1 —
Josh Coburn F 10 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
Barry Bannan M 8 6.60 — — — 9 9% — — —
Luke Cundle M 8 6.90 — — — 12 11% — — —
Macaulay Langstaff F 18 7.50 1 — 1 4 4% — — —
Mihailo Ivanović F 80 6.30 — — 1 12 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leicester vs Millwall?
The final score was Leicester 1–1 Millwall.
What did the model predict before Leicester vs Millwall?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Leicester win, 28% to a draw, and 35% to an Millwall win.