Championship
· Regular Season - 45
April 24, 2026 21:00
H. Souttar
(ast. L. Thomas)
78'
90'
M. Langstaff
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leicester a 36% win probability (draw 28%, Millwall 35%). The final result was Leicester 1–1 Millwall. In 1 previous meetings, Leicester have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Millwall.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
0.92
Actual xG
1.99
3
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
12
11
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
10'
M. Ivanovic
/
J. Coburn
50'
J. Cooper
60'
F. Azeez
B. De Cordova-Reid
/ J. Monga
60'
D. Mukasa
/ L. Page
60'
67'
T. Ballo
72'
M. Langstaff
/
T. Ballo
H. Choudhury
72'
⚽H. Souttar
· ast. L. Thomas
78'
I. Fatawu
/ S. Mavididi
79'
O. Skipp
/ J. James
79'
82'
L. Cundle
/
Z. Sturge
82'
T. Watson
/
C. De Norre
82'
B. Bannan
/
D. Mazou-Sacko
P. Daka
/ O. Aluko
90'+5
90'
M. Langstaff⚽
Pre-match prediction
36.37%
Leicester
28.45%
X ←
35.18%
Millwall
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
0.92
-0.36
0.96
1.99
+1.03
Millwall dominated by xG (1.99 vs 0.92).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
33
L. Thomas
1 👟
D
L. Thomas
1 👟
D
23
J. Vestergaard
D
15
Harry Souttar
1 ⚽
D
Harry Souttar
1 ⚽
D
17
Hamza Choudhury
D
8
H. Winks
M
22
O. Skipp
80'
M
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
60'
M
B. De Cordova-Reid
60'
M
29
D. Mukasa
60'
M
7
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
80'
M
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
80'
M
20
P. Daka
89'
F
Bench
6
J. James
10'
M
J. James
10'
M
28
J. Monga
30'
M
9
Jordan Ayew
F
Jordan Ayew
F
25
L. Page
30'
M
21
R. Pereira
D
10
S. Mavididi
10'
F
13
G
3
Zak Norton Sturge
82'
D
Zak Norton Sturge
82'
D
5
J. Cooper
D
J. Cooper
D
4
D
18
D
24
Casper De Norre
82'
M
Casper De Norre
82'
M
49
Derek Mazou-Sacko
82'
M
Derek Mazou-Sacko
82'
M
7
Thierno Ballo
72'
M
Thierno Ballo
72'
M
10
Camiel Neghli
M
Camiel Neghli
M
11
O. Azeez
M
O. Azeez
M
19
Josh Coburn
10'
F
Josh Coburn
10'
F
Bench
67
Barry Bannan
8'
M
Barry Bannan
8'
M
2
Danny McNamara
D
Danny McNamara
D
25
Luke Cundle
8'
M
Luke Cundle
8'
M
17
Macaulay Langstaff
1 ⚽
18'
F
Macaulay Langstaff
1 ⚽
18'
F
9
Mihailo Ivanović
80'
F
Mihailo Ivanović
80'
F
Best on the pitch
Harry Souttar
D · Leicester
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
G · Leicester
7.90
· 23 pass
Macaulay Langstaff
F · Millwall
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
Camiel Neghli
M · Millwall
7.30
· 33 pass
D · Millwall
7.30
1 shots
· 41 pass
O. Skipp
M · Leicester
7.30
· 38 pass
Leicester — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| L. Thomas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Vestergaard | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Harry Souttar | D | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Hamza Choudhury | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 46% | 3 | 1 | — |
| H. Winks | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Skipp | M | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| B. De Cordova-Reid | M | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Mukasa | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Abdul Fatawu Issahaku | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| P. Daka | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. James | M | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Monga | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. Page | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Mavididi | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Millwall — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Zak Norton Sturge | D | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Cooper | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 52% | 4 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 29% | 2 | — | — | |
| Casper De Norre | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Derek Mazou-Sacko | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Thierno Ballo | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Camiel Neghli | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Azeez | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Josh Coburn | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Barry Bannan | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Luke Cundle | M | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Macaulay Langstaff | F | 18 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Mihailo Ivanović | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Leicester vs Millwall?
The final score was Leicester 1–1 Millwall.
What did the model predict before Leicester vs Millwall?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Leicester win, 28% to a draw, and 35% to an Millwall win.