USL Championship
· Group Stage
May 09, 2026 01:30
✓Model correct — prediction Lexington
Nick Firmino
(ast. A. Ordonez)
26'
Nick Firmino
(ast. M. Epps)
31'
P. Goodrum
(ast. A. Molloy)
56'
64'
(ast. C. Nadje)
S. Lletget
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lexington a 56% win probability (draw 25%, Monterey Bay 18%). The final result was Lexington 3–1 Monterey Bay.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽Nick Firmino
· ast. A. Ordonez
26'
⚽Nick Firmino
· ast. M. Epps
31'
38'
Z. Farnsworth
53'
C. Nadje
⚽P. Goodrum
· ast. A. Molloy
56'
59'
R. Nakamura
/
J. Belmar
59'
S. Lletget
/
E. Blancas
59'
L. Malesevic
/
S. Ritchie
L. Blessing
/ T. Scott
62'
64'
ast. C. Nadje ·
S. Lletget⚽
75'
K. Egwu
76'
G. Lomtadze
/
N. Ross
76'
W. Leggett
/
C. Nadje
M. Epps
/ J. Lewis
76'
T. Scott
88'
Pre-match prediction
56.46%
Lexington ←
25.07%
X
18.48%
Monterey
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lexington)
56.46%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.30
—
—
0.57
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lexington vs Monterey Bay?
The final score was Lexington 3–1 Monterey Bay.
What did the model predict before Lexington vs Monterey Bay?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Lexington win, 25% to a draw, and 18% to an Monterey Bay win.