USL Championship · Group Stage May 09, 2026 01:30

Lexington

#7 · 37 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Monterey Bay

#12 · 18 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Lexington

Nick Firmino (ast. A. Ordonez) 26'

Nick Firmino (ast. M. Epps) 31'

P. Goodrum (ast. A. Molloy) 56'

64' (ast. C. Nadje) S. Lletget

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lexington a 56% win probability (draw 25%, Monterey Bay 18%). The final result was Lexington 3–1 Monterey Bay. In 1 previous meetings, Lexington have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Monterey Bay.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽Nick Firmino · ast. A. Ordonez

26'

⚽Nick Firmino · ast. M. Epps

31'

38'

Z. Farnsworth

53'

C. Nadje

⚽P. Goodrum · ast. A. Molloy

56'

59'

R. Nakamura / J. Belmar ↕

59'

S. Lletget / E. Blancas ↕

59'

L. Malesevic / S. Ritchie ↕

↕ L. Blessing / T. Scott

62'

64'

ast. C. Nadje · S. Lletget⚽

75'

K. Egwu

76'

G. Lomtadze / N. Ross ↕

76'

W. Leggett / C. Nadje ↕

↕ M. Epps / J. Lewis

76'

T. Scott

88'

Pre-match prediction

56.46%

Lexington ←

25.07%

X

18.48%

Monterey

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lexington) 56.46% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Lexington

2.30

—

—

Monterey

0.57

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	El Paso Locomotive	25	46
2	New Mexico United	24	43
3	Colorado Springs	25	38
4	San Antonio	25	37
5	Sacramento Republic	24	37
6	FC Tulsa	24	37
7	Lexington	25	37
8	Orange County SC	25	36
9	Las Vegas Lights	25	33
10	Phoenix Rising	25	33
11	Oakland Roots	25	30
12	Monterey Bay	25	18