← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 15:00
Lille
#3 · 61 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Le Havre
#14 · 32 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Lille, result Pareggio
H. Haraldsson (ast. R. Perraud) 29'
33' I. Soumare

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lille a 71% win probability (draw 18%, Le Havre 9%). The final result was Lille 1–1 Le Havre. In 1 previous meetings, Lille have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Le Havre.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
2
10
Shots on target
2
1.49
Actual xG
0.14
1
Saves
9
66%
Possession
34%
13
Corners
5
11
Tackles
27
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
5'
L. Gourna-Douath
⚽H. Haraldsson · ast. R. Perraud
29'
33'
I. Soumare⚽
35'
A. Seko
T. Meunier
43'
A. Mandi
59'
65'
Y. Kechta / S. Boufal ↕
65'
T. Pembele / F. Doucoure ↕
↕ N. Mukau / E. Mbappe
66'
74'
I. Soumare
↕ R. Perraud / C. Verdonk
74'
↕ F. Correia / O. Giroud
74'
75'
E. K. Vinette / Y. Zouaoui ↕
↕ A. Bouaddi / G. Perrin
85'
↕ T. Meunier / T. Santos
85'
88'
E. Youte Kinkoue / A. Samatta ↕
Pre-match prediction
71.53%
Lille
18.78%
X ←
9.7%
Le
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 18.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lille
2.65
1.49
-1.16
Le
0.91
0.14
-0.77
Lille dominated by xG (1.49 vs 0.14). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Lille Lille 4-2-3-1
1 Berke Özer Berke Özer G 6.50
15 Romain Perraud Romain Perraud 1 👟 74' D 7.00
23 A. Mandi A. Mandi D 7.30
3 N. Ngoy N. Ngoy D 6.90
12 Thomas Meunier Thomas Meunier 85' D 6.60
21 B. André B. André M 7.30
32 Ayyoub Bouaddi Ayyoub Bouaddi 84' M 6.90
27 Félix Correia Félix Correia 74' M 6.20
10 H. Haraldsson H. Haraldsson 1 ⚽ M 8.50
17 N. Mukau N. Mukau 66' M 7.30
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo M. Fernandez-Pardo F 6.70
Bench
24 Calvin Verdonk Calvin Verdonk 21' D 6.60
18 Chancel Mbemba Chancel Mbemba D
8 Ethan Mbappé Ethan Mbappé 29' M 6.60
28 Gaëtan Perrin Gaëtan Perrin 11' F 6.70
9 Olivier Giroud Olivier Giroud 21' F 6.50
22
T. Santos 10' D 6.30
Le Havre Le Havre 4-2-3-1
99 Mory Diaw Mory Diaw G 8.50
18 Yanis Zouaoui Yanis Zouaoui 75' D 7.20
4 Gautier Lloris Gautier Lloris D 7.50
15 Ayumu Seko Ayumu Seko D 6.00
7 Loic Négo Loic Négo D 7.20
19 Lucas Gourna-Douath Lucas Gourna-Douath M 6.90
26 S. Ebonog S. Ebonog M 6.70
45 I. Soumaré I. Soumaré 1 ⚽ M 7.30
17 Sofiane Boufal Sofiane Boufal 65' M 7.00
13 Fodé Doucouré Fodé Doucouré 64' M 6.70
25 Ally Samatta Ally Samatta 88' F 6.90
Bench
27 Enzo Koffi Enzo Koffi 20' F 6.20
10 Felix Mambimbi Felix Mambimbi F
77 Lionel Mpasi Nzau Lionel Mpasi Nzau G
32 Timothee Pembele Timothee Pembele 31' D 6.50
8 Yassine Kechta Yassine Kechta 30' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
Mory Diaw
Mory Diaw
G · Le
8.50
· 31 pass
H. Haraldsson
H. Haraldsson
M · Lille
8.50
1 ⚽
4 shots · 49 pass
Gautier Lloris
Gautier Lloris
D · Le
7.50
· 22 pass
I. Soumaré
I. Soumaré
M · Le
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
N. Mukau
N. Mukau
M · Lille
7.30
1 shots · 44 pass
B. André
B. André
M · Lille
7.30
· 54 pass
Lille Lille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Berke Özer G 95 6.50 — — — 22 21% — — —
Romain Perraud D 74 7.00 — 1 — 38 35% — — —
A. Mandi D 95 7.30 — — 3 60 54% — 1 —
N. Ngoy D 95 6.90 — — 2 48 43% 1 — —
Thomas Meunier D 85 6.60 — — — 48 43% 1 1 —
B. André M 95 7.30 — — — 54 46% 3 — —
Ayyoub Bouaddi M 84 6.90 — — — 36 31% 2 — —
Félix Correia M 74 6.20 — — 3 27 21% 1 — —
H. Haraldsson M 95 8.50 1 — 4 49 44% 2 — —
N. Mukau M 66 7.30 — — 1 44 43% — — —
M. Fernandez-Pardo F 95 6.70 — — 1 24 20% — — —
Calvin Verdonk D 21 6.60 — — 1 13 12% — — —
Ethan Mbappé M 29 6.60 — — — 9 6% — — —
Gaëtan Perrin F 11 6.70 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Olivier Giroud F 21 6.50 — — — 2 — — — —
T. Santos D 10 6.30 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Le Havre Le Havre — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mory Diaw G 95 8.50 — — — 31 12% — — —
Yanis Zouaoui D 75 7.20 — — — 22 16% 4 — —
Gautier Lloris D 95 7.50 — — — 22 19% 3 — —
Ayumu Seko D 95 6.00 — — — 29 20% — 1 —
Loic Négo D 95 7.20 — — — 23 18% 4 — —
Lucas Gourna-Douath M 95 6.90 — — — 28 22% 4 1 —
S. Ebonog M 95 6.70 — — — 13 10% 2 — —
I. Soumaré M 95 7.30 1 — 1 16 10% 4 1 —
Sofiane Boufal M 65 7.00 — — — 23 20% 4 — —
Fodé Doucouré M 64 6.70 — — — 20 14% 1 — —
Ally Samatta F 88 6.90 — — 1 12 9% — — —
Enzo Koffi F 20 6.20 — — — 2 1% — — —
Timothee Pembele D 31 6.50 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Yassine Kechta M 30 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lille vs Le Havre?
The final score was Lille 1–1 Le Havre.
What did the model predict before Lille vs Le Havre?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Lille win, 18% to a draw, and 9% to an Le Havre win.