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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30 April 18, 2026 21:05
Lille
#3 · 61 pts
0 – 0
Final score
Nice
#16 · 31 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Lille, result Pareggio

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lille a 81% win probability (draw 9%, Nice 8%). The final result was Lille 0–0 Nice. In 1 previous meetings, Lille have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nice.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
1
0.43
Actual xG
0.19
1
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
3
13
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
13'
Ngal'ayel Mukau
21'
Chancel Mbemba
30'
↕ Ngal'ayel Mukau / Olivier Giroud
56'
↕ Félix Correia / Ethan Mbappé
56'
71'
↕ Ayyoub Bouaddi / Osame Sahraoui
78'
83'
Tom Louchet / Mohamed-Ali Cho ↕
83'
Isak Jansson / Jonathan Clauss ↕
84'
Djibril Coulibaly / Tanguy Ndombélé ↕
90'+7
Isak Jansson
↕ Matías Fernández / Gaëtan Perrin
90'
90'
Tiago Gouveia / Elye Wahi ↕
90'
Kaïl Boudache / Sofiane Diop ↕
Pre-match prediction
81.73%
Lille
9.5%
X ←
8.76%
Nice
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 9.5% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lille
3.33
0.43
-2.9
Nice
0.73
0.19
-0.54
xG dominance was balanced (0.43 – 0.19). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Lille Lille 4-2-3-1
1 Berke Özer Berke Özer G 7.00
15 Romain Perraud Romain Perraud D 7.20
23 A. Mandi A. Mandi D 8.30
18 Chancel Mbemba Chancel Mbemba D 7.20
12 Thomas Meunier Thomas Meunier D 7.30
32 Ayyoub Bouaddi Ayyoub Bouaddi 78' M 6.70
21 B. André B. André M 7.30
27 Félix Correia Félix Correia 56' M 6.20
10 H. Haraldsson H. Haraldsson M 7.50
17 N. Mukau N. Mukau 56' M 6.90
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo M. Fernandez-Pardo 89' F 6.60
Bench
24 Calvin Verdonk Calvin Verdonk D
8 Ethan Mbappé Ethan Mbappé 34' M 6.70
28 Gaëtan Perrin Gaëtan Perrin 1' F
20
N. Edjouma F
9 Olivier Giroud Olivier Giroud 34' F 6.60
22
T. Santos D
Nice Nice 5-4-1
80 Yehvann Diouf Yehvann Diouf G 7.70
26 Melvin Bard Melvin Bard D 6.30
37 Kojo Peprah Oppong Kojo Peprah Oppong D 6.90
28 Abdulay Juma Bah Abdulay Juma Bah D 7.20
33 Antoine Mendy Antoine Mendy D 7.50
92 J. Clauss J. Clauss 83' D 7.20
10 S. Diop S. Diop 89' M 6.90
22
Tanguy Ndombélé 84' M 6.60
99 Salis Abdul Samed Salis Abdul Samed M 6.90
25 M. Cho M. Cho 83' M 6.90
11 Elye Wahi Elye Wahi 89' F 6.30
Bench
2 Ali Abdi Ali Abdi D
36
Brad-Hamilton Mantsounga D
39
D. Coulibaly 14' M 6.60
23
G. Bernardeau M
21 Isak Jansson Isak Jansson 15' F 6.50
32 Kaïl Boudache Kaïl Boudache 8' F 6.70
31 Maxime Dupé Maxime Dupé G
47
T. Gouveia 8' F 6.50
20 Tom Louchet Tom Louchet 15' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
A. Mandi
A. Mandi
D · Lille
8.30
· 104 pass
Yehvann Diouf
Yehvann Diouf
G · Nice
7.70
· 27 pass
Antoine Mendy
Antoine Mendy
D · Nice
7.50
· 44 pass
H. Haraldsson
H. Haraldsson
M · Lille
7.50
1 shots · 50 pass
Thomas Meunier
Thomas Meunier
D · Lille
7.30
· 70 pass
B. André
B. André
M · Lille
7.30
· 60 pass
Lille Lille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Berke Özer G 90 7.00 — — — 25 21% — — —
Romain Perraud D 90 7.20 — — 1 63 55% 1 — —
A. Mandi D 90 8.30 — — — 104 97% 2 — —
Chancel Mbemba D 90 7.20 — — 1 63 61% — 1 —
Thomas Meunier D 90 7.30 — — — 70 63% 1 — —
Ayyoub Bouaddi M 78 6.70 — — 1 52 48% 1 — —
B. André M 90 7.30 — — — 60 50% 3 — —
Félix Correia M 56 6.20 — — — 21 14% — — —
H. Haraldsson M 90 7.50 — — 1 50 48% 1 — —
N. Mukau M 56 6.90 — — — 24 19% 2 1 —
M. Fernandez-Pardo F 89 6.60 — — 1 16 14% — — —
Ethan Mbappé M 34 6.70 — — — 21 14% — — —
Gaëtan Perrin F 1 — — — — 4 3% — — —
Olivier Giroud F 34 6.60 — — — 3 2% 2 — —
Nice Nice — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Yehvann Diouf G 90 7.70 — — — 27 11% — — —
Melvin Bard D 90 6.30 — — — 40 31% 2 — —
Kojo Peprah Oppong D 90 6.90 — — — 47 44% — — —
Abdulay Juma Bah D 90 7.20 — — — 30 28% — — —
Antoine Mendy D 90 7.50 — — — 44 35% 5 — —
J. Clauss D 83 7.20 — — 2 38 26% 4 — —
S. Diop M 89 6.90 — — — 29 17% 2 — —
Tanguy Ndombélé M 84 6.60 — — 1 28 26% — — —
Salis Abdul Samed M 90 6.90 — — 1 41 39% — — —
M. Cho M 83 6.90 — — — 21 19% 3 — —
Elye Wahi F 89 6.30 — — — 19 14% 1 — —
D. Coulibaly M 14 6.60 — — — 3 3% — — —
Isak Jansson F 15 6.50 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
Kaïl Boudache F 8 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
T. Gouveia F 8 6.50 — — — 3 1% — — —
Tom Louchet M 15 6.90 — — — 2 1% 4 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lille vs Nice?
The final score was Lille 0–0 Nice.
What did the model predict before Lille vs Nice?
The model assigned 81% probability to a Lille win, 9% to a draw, and 8% to an Nice win.