Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 30
April 18, 2026 21:05
✗Model wrong — prediction Lille, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lille a 81% win probability (draw 9%, Nice 8%). The final result was Lille 0–0 Nice. In 1 previous meetings, Lille have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nice.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
1
0.43
Actual xG
0.19
1
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
3
13
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
13'
Ngal'ayel Mukau
21'
Chancel Mbemba
30'
Ngal'ayel Mukau
/ Olivier Giroud
56'
Félix Correia
/ Ethan Mbappé
56'
71'
Ayyoub Bouaddi
/ Osame Sahraoui
78'
83'
Tom Louchet
/
Mohamed-Ali Cho
83'
Isak Jansson
/
Jonathan Clauss
84'
Djibril Coulibaly
/
Tanguy Ndombélé
90'+7
Isak Jansson
Matías Fernández
/ Gaëtan Perrin
90'
90'
Tiago Gouveia
/
Elye Wahi
90'
Kaïl Boudache
/
Sofiane Diop
Pre-match prediction
81.73%
Lille
9.5%
X ←
8.76%
Nice
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
9.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.33
0.43
-2.9
0.73
0.19
-0.54
xG dominance was balanced (0.43 – 0.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Berke Özer
G
Berke Özer
G
15
R. Perraud
D
R. Perraud
D
23
A. Mandi
D
A. Mandi
D
18
Chancel Mbemba
D
Chancel Mbemba
D
12
Thomas Meunier
D
Thomas Meunier
D
32
A. Bouaddi
78'
M
A. Bouaddi
78'
M
21
B. André
M
B. André
M
27
Félix Correia
56'
M
Félix Correia
56'
M
10
H. Haraldsson
M
H. Haraldsson
M
17
Ngal'ayel Mukau
56'
M
Ngal'ayel Mukau
56'
M
7
Matías Fernández-Pardo
89'
F
Matías Fernández-Pardo
89'
F
Bench
24
Calvin Verdonk
D
8
Ethan Mbappé
34'
M
Ethan Mbappé
34'
M
28
Gaëtan Perrin
1'
F
Gaëtan Perrin
1'
F
20
Noah Edjouma
F
Noah Edjouma
F
9
Olivier Giroud
34'
F
Olivier Giroud
34'
F
22
T. Santos
D
80
Yehvann Diouf
G
Yehvann Diouf
G
26
Melvin Bard
D
Melvin Bard
D
37
Kojo Peprah Oppong
D
Kojo Peprah Oppong
D
28
Abdulay Juma Bah
D
Abdulay Juma Bah
D
33
Antoine Mendy
D
Antoine Mendy
D
92
J. Clauss
83'
D
J. Clauss
83'
D
10
S. Diop
89'
M
S. Diop
89'
M
22
Tanguy Ndombélé
84'
M
99
Salis Abdul Samed
M
Salis Abdul Samed
M
25
M. Cho
83'
M
M. Cho
83'
M
11
E. Wahi
89'
F
E. Wahi
89'
F
Bench
2
A. Abdi
D
A. Abdi
D
36
Brad-Hamilton Mantsounga
D
Brad-Hamilton Mantsounga
D
39
Djibril Coulibaly
14'
M
Djibril Coulibaly
14'
M
23
G. Bernardeau
M
21
Isak Jansson
15'
F
Isak Jansson
15'
F
32
Kaïl Boudache
8'
F
Kaïl Boudache
8'
F
31
Maxime Dupé
G
Maxime Dupé
G
47
Tiago Gouveia
8'
F
Tiago Gouveia
8'
F
20
Tom Louchet
15'
M
Tom Louchet
15'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Mandi
D · Lille
8.30
· 104 pass
Yehvann Diouf
G · Nice
7.70
· 27 pass
Antoine Mendy
D · Nice
7.50
· 44 pass
H. Haraldsson
M · Lille
7.50
1 shots
· 50 pass
Thomas Meunier
D · Lille
7.30
· 70 pass
B. André
M · Lille
7.30
· 60 pass
Lille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berke Özer | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. Perraud | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mandi | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 104 | 97% | 2 | — | — |
| Chancel Mbemba | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 61% | — | 1 | — |
| Thomas Meunier | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bouaddi | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| B. André | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| Félix Correia | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| H. Haraldsson | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Ngal'ayel Mukau | M | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Matías Fernández-Pardo | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Ethan Mbappé | M | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Gaëtan Perrin | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Olivier Giroud | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Nice — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yehvann Diouf | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Melvin Bard | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Kojo Peprah Oppong | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Abdulay Juma Bah | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Antoine Mendy | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Clauss | D | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Diop | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Tanguy Ndombélé | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Salis Abdul Samed | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 39% | — | — | — |
| M. Cho | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Wahi | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Djibril Coulibaly | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Isak Jansson | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Kaïl Boudache | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Gouveia | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tom Louchet | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 4 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lille vs Nice?
The final score was Lille 0–0 Nice.
What did the model predict before Lille vs Nice?
The model assigned 81% probability to a Lille win, 9% to a draw, and 8% to an Nice win.