Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 30
April 18, 2026 21:05
✗Model wrong — prediction Lille, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lille a 81% win probability (draw 9%, Nice 8%). The final result was Lille 0–0 Nice. In 1 previous meetings, Lille have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nice.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
1
0.43
Actual xG
0.19
1
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
3
13
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
13'
Ngal'ayel Mukau
21'
Chancel Mbemba
30'
Ngal'ayel Mukau
/ Olivier Giroud
56'
Félix Correia
/ Ethan Mbappé
56'
71'
Ayyoub Bouaddi
/ Osame Sahraoui
78'
83'
Tom Louchet
/
Mohamed-Ali Cho
83'
Isak Jansson
/
Jonathan Clauss
84'
Djibril Coulibaly
/
Tanguy Ndombélé
90'+7
Isak Jansson
Matías Fernández
/ Gaëtan Perrin
90'
90'
Tiago Gouveia
/
Elye Wahi
90'
Kaïl Boudache
/
Sofiane Diop
Pre-match prediction
81.73%
Lille
9.5%
X ←
8.76%
Nice
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
9.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.33
0.43
-2.9
0.73
0.19
-0.54
xG dominance was balanced (0.43 – 0.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
B. Özer
G
B. Özer
G
15
R. Perraud
D
R. Perraud
D
23
A. Mandi
D
A. Mandi
D
18
C. Mbemba
D
C. Mbemba
D
12
T. Meunier
D
T. Meunier
D
32
A. Bouaddi
78'
M
A. Bouaddi
78'
M
21
B. André
M
B. André
M
27
Félix Correia
56'
M
Félix Correia
56'
M
10
H. Haraldsson
M
H. Haraldsson
M
17
N. Mukau
56'
M
N. Mukau
56'
M
7
M. Fernandez-Pardo
89'
F
M. Fernandez-Pardo
89'
F
Bench
24
C. Verdonk
D
C. Verdonk
D
8
E. Mbappé
34'
M
E. Mbappé
34'
M
28
G. Perrin
1'
F
G. Perrin
1'
F
20
N. Edjouma
F
N. Edjouma
F
9
O. Giroud
34'
F
O. Giroud
34'
F
22
Tiago Santos
D
Tiago Santos
D
80
Y. Diouf
G
Y. Diouf
G
26
M. Bard
D
M. Bard
D
37
K. Peprah Oppong
D
K. Peprah Oppong
D
28
Abdulay Bah
D
Abdulay Bah
D
33
A. Mendy
D
A. Mendy
D
92
J. Clauss
83'
D
J. Clauss
83'
D
10
S. Diop
89'
M
S. Diop
89'
M
22
Tanguy Ndombélé
84'
M
99
Salis Abdul Samed
M
Salis Abdul Samed
M
25
M. Cho
83'
M
M. Cho
83'
M
11
E. Wahi
89'
F
E. Wahi
89'
F
Bench
2
A. Abdi
D
A. Abdi
D
36
Brad-Hamilton Mantsounga
D
Brad-Hamilton Mantsounga
D
39
D. Coulibaly
14'
M
D. Coulibaly
14'
M
23
G. Bernardeau
M
G. Bernardeau
M
21
I. Jansson
15'
F
I. Jansson
15'
F
32
K. Boudache
8'
F
K. Boudache
8'
F
31
M. Dupé
G
M. Dupé
G
47
Tiago Gouveia
8'
F
Tiago Gouveia
8'
F
20
Tom Louchet
15'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Mandi
D · Lille
8.30
· 104 pass
Y. Diouf
G · Nice
7.70
· 27 pass
A. Mendy
D · Nice
7.50
· 44 pass
H. Haraldsson
M · Lille
7.50
1 shots
· 50 pass
T. Meunier
D · Lille
7.30
· 70 pass
B. André
M · Lille
7.30
· 60 pass
Lille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Özer | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. Perraud | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mandi | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 104 | 97% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Mbemba | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 61% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Meunier | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bouaddi | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| B. André | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| Félix Correia | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| H. Haraldsson | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Mukau | M | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| E. Mbappé | M | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| G. Perrin | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| O. Giroud | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Nice — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Diouf | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Bard | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Peprah Oppong | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Abdulay Bah | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| A. Mendy | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Clauss | D | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Diop | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Tanguy Ndombélé | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Salis Abdul Samed | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 39% | — | — | — |
| M. Cho | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Wahi | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Coulibaly | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| I. Jansson | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Boudache | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Gouveia | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tom Louchet | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 4 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lille vs Nice?
The final score was Lille 0–0 Nice.
What did the model predict before Lille vs Nice?
The model assigned 81% probability to a Lille win, 9% to a draw, and 8% to an Nice win.