Lillestrom - Sandefjord
Eliteserien
May 16, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.74%
Win
Lillestrom
28.69%
Draw
26.57%
Win
Sandefjord
1.47
0.8
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lillestrom a 44% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Sandefjord. Expected goals are 1.5 for Lillestrom and 0.8 for Sandefjord (total 2.3), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.2% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Lillestrom
Sandefjord →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.4% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 15.2% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 11.2% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Lillestrom
Attack
40
Defence
69
Form
61
Sandefjord
Attack
37
Defence
71
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tromso
|
10 | 23 |
| 2 |
Viking
|
8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Lillestrom
|
8 | 16 |
| 4 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
7 | 13 |
| 5 |
Molde
|
8 | 13 |
| 6 |
Ham-Kam
|
7 | 13 |
| 7 |
Sandefjord
|
8 | 13 |
| 8 |
Brann
|
8 | 10 |
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
|
8 | 8 |
| 10 |
Kristiansund BK
|
7 | 8 |
| 11 |
Valerenga
|
8 | 8 |
| 12 |
KFUM Oslo
|
8 | 8 |
| 13 |
Rosenborg
|
8 | 8 |
| 14 |
Fredrikstad
|
8 | 7 |
| 15 |
Start
|
8 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aalesund
|
7 | 3 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lillestrom vs Sandefjord?
The model gives Lillestrom a 44% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 26% for an Sandefjord win.
How many goals are expected in Lillestrom vs Sandefjord?
Expected goals: Lillestrom 1.5, Sandefjord 0.8 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Lillestrom vs Sandefjord?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.2%.