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Lillestrom - Sandefjord

Eliteserien May 16, 2026 16:00
#3 · 16 pts
vs
#7 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.74%
Win
Lillestrom
28.69%
Draw
26.57%
Win
Sandefjord
1.47
Expected xG
0.8

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lillestrom a 44% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Sandefjord. Expected goals are 1.5 for Lillestrom and 0.8 for Sandefjord (total 2.3), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.2% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Lillestrom Sandefjord →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4% 8.3% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 15.2% 12.2% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3%
2 11.2% 8.9% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.5% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
L Rosenborg 2–0
W Sarpsborg 08 FF 4–0
L Bodo/Glimt 0–2
W Valerenga 0–2
D Tromso 0–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 29%
W Kristiansund BK 2–0
W Aalesund 1–0
L Tromso 3–1
D Rosenborg 0–0
W Brann 0–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 26%
Playing profile
Lillestrom Lillestrom
Attack
40
Defence
69
Form
61
Sandefjord Sandefjord
Attack
37
Defence
71
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Tromso Tromso 10 23
2 Viking Viking 8 21
3 Lillestrom Lillestrom 8 16
4 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 7 13
5 Molde Molde 8 13
6 Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 7 13
7 Sandefjord Sandefjord 8 13
8 Brann Brann 8 10
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 8 8
10 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 7 8
11 Valerenga Valerenga 8 8
12 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 8 8
13 Rosenborg Rosenborg 8 8
14 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 8 7
15 Start Start 8 4
16 Aalesund Aalesund 7 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lillestrom vs Sandefjord?
The model gives Lillestrom a 44% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 26% for an Sandefjord win.
How many goals are expected in Lillestrom vs Sandefjord?
Expected goals: Lillestrom 1.5, Sandefjord 0.8 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Lillestrom vs Sandefjord?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.2%.