Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 9
May 16, 2026 16:00
L. Ranger
13'
G. Nyheim
84'
L. Alperud
(ast. Felix Va)
90'+3
50'
N. Moller
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lillestrom a 45% win probability (draw 28%, Sandefjord 26%). The final result was Lillestrom 3–1 Sandefjord. In 1 previous meetings, Lillestrom have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sandefjord.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
1.25
Actual xG
1.06
4
Saves
4
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
3
19
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽L. Ranger
13'
30'
M. Melchior
50'
N. Moller⚽
60'
J. Vester
/
E. Pettersen
60'
S. Mathisen
/
N. Moller
61'
E. Patoulidis
/
B. Berntsen
62'
Z. Smajlovic
G. Nyheim
70'
C. Jebara
/ F. Elkaer
77'
S. Ottesen
/ L. Alperud
78'
⚽G. Nyheim
84'
87'
Z. Smajlovic
87'
Z. Smajlovic
G. Nyheim
/ K. Krygard
88'
S. Drammeh
/ Y. Paintsil
89'
⚽L. Alperud
· ast. Felix Va
90'+3
90'
S. Kristiansen
/
R. Alte
90'
R. Dzabic
/
M. Melchior
H. Woxen
/ E. B. Garnas
90'
Pre-match prediction
45.4%
Lillestrom ←
28.03%
X
26.57%
Sandefjord
we assigned to the actual result (Lillestrom)
45.4%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.25
-0.23
0.80
1.06
+0.26
xG dominance was balanced (1.25 – 1.06).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
Pontus Dahlberg
G
Pontus Dahlberg
G
3
Sturla Ottesen
78'
D
Sturla Ottesen
78'
D
28
Ruben Gabrielsen
D
Ruben Gabrielsen
D
5
Sander Moen Foss
D
Sander Moen Foss
D
2
Lars Ranger
1 ⚽
D
Lars Ranger
1 ⚽
D
6
H. Woxen
M
H. Woxen
M
15
Salieu Drammeh
88'
M
14
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
1 ⚽
88'
M
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
1 ⚽
88'
M
8
M. Karlsbakk
M
M. Karlsbakk
M
19
Camil Jebara
78'
M
Camil Jebara
78'
M
20
Vá
1 👟
F
Vá
1 👟
F
Bench
4
E. Garnås
2'
D
E. Garnås
2'
D
11
Frederik Elkær
14'
D
Frederik Elkær
14'
D
22
John Kitolano
D
John Kitolano
D
7
Karl Linus Alperud
1 ⚽
14'
M
Karl Linus Alperud
1 ⚽
14'
M
18
Kevin Martin Krygard
4'
M
Kevin Martin Krygard
4'
M
9
Kparobo Arierhi
F
Kparobo Arierhi
F
27
Markus Wähler
F
Markus Wähler
F
1
Stephan Hagerup
G
Stephan Hagerup
G
26
Yaw Paintsil
4'
M
Yaw Paintsil
4'
M
30
Elias Hadaya
G
Elias Hadaya
G
3
Vetle Walle Egeli
D
Vetle Walle Egeli
D
44
Xander Lambrix
D
Xander Lambrix
D
2
Z. Smajlović
87'
D
Z. Smajlović
87'
D
4
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
D
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
D
6
Sander Risan Mörk
M
Sander Risan Mörk
M
10
Ruben Alte
M
Ruben Alte
M
20
Marcus Melchior
M
Marcus Melchior
M
14
Edvard Pettersen
60'
M
Edvard Pettersen
60'
M
19
Bendik Berntsen
61'
M
Bendik Berntsen
61'
M
11
N. Möller
1 ⚽
61'
F
N. Möller
1 ⚽
61'
F
Bench
1
Alf Grønneberg
G
Alf Grønneberg
G
7
Evangelos Patoulidis
31'
M
Evangelos Patoulidis
31'
M
17
Foster Apetorgbor
F
Foster Apetorgbor
F
5
Gustav Højbjerg
D
Gustav Højbjerg
D
37
Jakob Vester
32'
M
Jakob Vester
32'
M
29
Kristoffer Halvorsen
M
Kristoffer Halvorsen
M
8
Robin Dzabic
2'
M
Robin Dzabic
2'
M
24
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
31'
F
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
31'
F
47
Stian Kristiansen
2'
D
Stian Kristiansen
2'
D
Best on the pitch
Lars Ranger
D · Lillestrom
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 55 pass
M. Karlsbakk
M · Lillestrom
7.70
2 shots
· 48 pass
Elias Hadaya
G · Sandefjord
7.50
· 30 pass
Ruben Gabrielsen
D · Lillestrom
7.30
1 shots
· 74 pass
Salieu Drammeh
M · Lillestrom
7.30
1 shots
· 29 pass
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
M · Lillestrom
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
Lillestrom — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontus Dahlberg | G | 92 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Sturla Ottesen | D | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Ruben Gabrielsen | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| Sander Moen Foss | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Lars Ranger | D | 92 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 55 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Woxen | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| Salieu Drammeh | M | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim | M | 88 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Karlsbakk | M | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Camil Jebara | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Vá | F | 92 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Garnås | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frederik Elkær | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Karl Linus Alperud | M | 14 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Martin Krygard | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yaw Paintsil | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Sandefjord — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Hadaya | G | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Vetle Walle Egeli | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Xander Lambrix | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 69% | — | — | — |
| Z. Smajlović | D | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 53% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Fredrik Carson Pedersen | D | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Sander Risan Mörk | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Ruben Alte | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Marcus Melchior | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Edvard Pettersen | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Bendik Berntsen | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Möller | F | 61 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Evangelos Patoulidis | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Jakob Vester | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Robin Dzabic | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Holm Mathisen | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Stian Kristiansen | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lillestrom vs Sandefjord?
The final score was Lillestrom 3–1 Sandefjord.
What did the model predict before Lillestrom vs Sandefjord?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Lillestrom win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an Sandefjord win.