Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 9
May 16, 2026 16:00
L. Ranger
13'
G. Nyheim
84'
L. Alperud
(ast. Felix Va)
90'+3
50'
N. Moller
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lillestrom a 45% win probability (draw 28%, Sandefjord 26%). The final result was Lillestrom 3–1 Sandefjord. In 1 previous meetings, Lillestrom have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sandefjord.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
1.25
Actual xG
1.06
4
Saves
4
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
3
19
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽L. Ranger
13'
30'
M. Melchior
50'
N. Moller⚽
60'
J. Vester
/
E. Pettersen
60'
S. Mathisen
/
N. Moller
61'
E. Patoulidis
/
B. Berntsen
62'
Z. Smajlovic
G. Nyheim
70'
C. Jebara
/ F. Elkaer
77'
S. Ottesen
/ L. Alperud
78'
⚽G. Nyheim
84'
87'
Z. Smajlovic
87'
Z. Smajlovic
G. Nyheim
/ K. Krygard
88'
S. Drammeh
/ Y. Paintsil
89'
⚽L. Alperud
· ast. Felix Va
90'+3
90'
S. Kristiansen
/
R. Alte
90'
R. Dzabic
/
M. Melchior
H. Woxen
/ E. B. Garnas
90'
Pre-match prediction
45.4%
Lillestrom ←
28.03%
X
26.57%
Sandefjord
we assigned to the actual result (Lillestrom)
45.4%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.25
-0.23
0.80
1.06
+0.26
xG dominance was balanced (1.25 – 1.06).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
P. Dahlberg
G
P. Dahlberg
G
3
S. Ottesen
78'
D
S. Ottesen
78'
D
28
R. Gabrielsen
D
R. Gabrielsen
D
5
S. Foss
D
S. Foss
D
2
L. Ranger
1 ⚽
D
L. Ranger
1 ⚽
D
6
H. Woxen
M
H. Woxen
M
15
S. Drammeh
88'
M
S. Drammeh
88'
M
14
G. Nyheim
1 ⚽
88'
M
G. Nyheim
1 ⚽
88'
M
8
Markus Karlsbakk
M
Markus Karlsbakk
M
19
Camil Jebara
78'
M
Camil Jebara
78'
M
20
Vá
1 👟
F
Vá
1 👟
F
Bench
4
E. Garnås
2'
D
E. Garnås
2'
D
11
F. Elkær
14'
D
F. Elkær
14'
D
22
J. Kitolano
D
J. Kitolano
D
7
Karl Linus Alperud
1 ⚽
14'
M
18
K. Krygård
4'
M
K. Krygård
4'
M
9
Kparobo Arierhi
F
Kparobo Arierhi
F
27
Markus Wähler
F
Markus Wähler
F
1
S. Hagerup
G
S. Hagerup
G
26
Y. Paintsil
4'
M
Y. Paintsil
4'
M
30
E. Hadaya
G
E. Hadaya
G
3
V. Egeli
D
V. Egeli
D
44
X. Lambrix
D
X. Lambrix
D
2
Z. Smajlović
87'
D
Z. Smajlović
87'
D
4
F. Pedersen
D
F. Pedersen
D
6
S. Mørk
M
S. Mørk
M
10
R. Alte
M
R. Alte
M
20
Marcus Melchior
M
Marcus Melchior
M
14
E. Pettersen
60'
M
E. Pettersen
60'
M
19
Bendik Berntsen
61'
M
Bendik Berntsen
61'
M
11
Nikolaj Möller
1 ⚽
61'
F
Nikolaj Möller
1 ⚽
61'
F
Bench
17
A. Foster
F
A. Foster
F
1
A. Grønneberg
G
A. Grønneberg
G
7
E. Patoulidis
31'
M
E. Patoulidis
31'
M
5
G. Højbjerg
D
G. Højbjerg
D
37
J. Vester
32'
M
J. Vester
32'
M
29
Kristoffer Halvorsen
M
Kristoffer Halvorsen
M
8
R. Dzabic
2'
M
R. Dzabic
2'
M
24
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
31'
F
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
31'
F
47
S. Kristiansen
2'
D
S. Kristiansen
2'
D
Best on the pitch
L. Ranger
D · Lillestrom
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 55 pass
Markus Karlsbakk
M · Lillestrom
7.70
2 shots
· 48 pass
E. Hadaya
G · Sandefjord
7.50
· 30 pass
R. Gabrielsen
D · Lillestrom
7.30
1 shots
· 74 pass
S. Drammeh
M · Lillestrom
7.30
1 shots
· 29 pass
G. Nyheim
M · Lillestrom
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
Lillestrom — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Dahlberg | G | 92 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 23% | — | — | — |
| S. Ottesen | D | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | — | — | — |
| R. Gabrielsen | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Foss | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 57% | — | — | — |
| L. Ranger | D | 92 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 55 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Woxen | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Drammeh | M | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Nyheim | M | 88 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Markus Karlsbakk | M | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Camil Jebara | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Vá | F | 92 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Garnås | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Elkær | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Karl Linus Alperud | M | 14 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| K. Krygård | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Paintsil | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Sandefjord — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Hadaya | G | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| V. Egeli | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 34% | — | — | — |
| X. Lambrix | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 69% | — | — | — |
| Z. Smajlović | D | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 53% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| F. Pedersen | D | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mørk | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Alte | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Marcus Melchior | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 3 | 1 | — |
| E. Pettersen | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Bendik Berntsen | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Nikolaj Möller | F | 61 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Patoulidis | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Vester | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| R. Dzabic | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Holm Mathisen | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Kristiansen | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lillestrom vs Sandefjord?
The final score was Lillestrom 3–1 Sandefjord.
What did the model predict before Lillestrom vs Sandefjord?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Lillestrom win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an Sandefjord win.