← Premier League
#4 · 59 pts
3 – 1
Final score
#15 · 44 pts
Model correct — prediction Liverpool
A. Isak (ast. A. Mac Allister) 35'
A. Robertson (ast. C. Jones) 40'
F. Wirtz (ast. A. Mac Allister) 90'+6
71' D. Munoz

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Liverpool a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Crystal Palace 17%). The final result was Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace. In 2 previous meetings, Liverpool have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Crystal Palace.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
7
0.91
Actual xG
2.32
5
Saves
0
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
8
9
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
19'
D. Munoz
32'
D. Henderson
A. Isak · ast. A. Mac Allister
35'
A. Robertson · ast. C. Jones
40'
46'
B. Sosa / T. Mitchell
M. Salah / J. Frimpong
59'
59'
Y. Pino / B. Johnson
70'
J. S. Larsen / J. Mateta
71'
D. Munoz
A. Isak / R. Gravenberch
79'
A. Robertson / M. Kerkez
87'
C. Jones / J. Gomez
87'
90'+3
B. Sosa
F. Wirtz · ast. A. Mac Allister
90'+6
D. Szoboszlai
90'
Pre-match prediction
58.26%
Liverpool ←
23.82%
X
17.92%
Crystal
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Liverpool) 58.26% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Liverpool
1.91
0.91
-1.0
Crystal
0.97
2.32
+1.35
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (2.32 vs 0.91). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 36 79
2 Manchester City Manchester City 36 77
3 Manchester United Manchester United 36 65
4 Liverpool Liverpool 36 59
5 Aston Villa Aston Villa 36 59
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 36 55
7 Brighton Brighton 36 53
8 Brentford Brentford 36 51
9 Chelsea Chelsea 36 49
10 Everton Everton 36 49
11 Fulham Fulham 36 48
12 Sunderland Sunderland 36 48
13 Newcastle Newcastle 36 46
14 Leeds Leeds 36 44
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 36 44
16 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 36 43
17 Tottenham Tottenham 36 38
18 West Ham West Ham 36 36
19 Burnley Burnley 36 21
20 Wolves Wolves 36 18
Lineups
Liverpool Liverpool 4-2-3-1
28
G 8.20
26
A. Robertson 1 ⚽ 87' D 8.20
4 V. van Dijk V. van Dijk D 6.90
5
Ibrahima Konaté D 7.90
17
C. Jones 1 👟 87' D 6.90
10
Alexis Mac Allister 2 👟 M 7.30
8 D. Szoboszlai D. Szoboszlai M 6.90
18 C. Gakpo C. Gakpo M 6.90
7 F. Wirtz F. Wirtz 1 ⚽ M 7.30
11 Mohamed Salah Mohamed Salah 59' M 6.20
9
A. Isak 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.20
Bench
14
F. Chiesa F
30
J. Frimpong 31' D 6.70
2
J. Gomez 11' D 6.90
6
Miloš Kerkez 11' D 6.90
38
R. Gravenberch 11' M 6.50
73
R. Ngumoha F
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1
1 Dean Henderson Dean Henderson G 6.20
23 Jaydee Canvot Jaydee Canvot D 6.70
5 Maxence Lacroix Maxence Lacroix D 6.30
26 Chris Richards Chris Richards D 5.70
3 Tyrick Mitchell Tyrick Mitchell 45' M 6.30
20 Adam Wharton Adam Wharton M 6.90
18 Daichi Kamada Daichi Kamada M 7.30
2 Daniel Muñoz Daniel Muñoz 1 ⚽ M 6.90
11 Brennan Johnson Brennan Johnson 59' F 7.30
7 Ismaïla Sarr Ismaïla Sarr F 6.90
14 Jean Philippe Mateta Jean Philippe Mateta 70' F 6.20
Bench
24
B. Sosa 45' D 6.20
34 Chadi Riad Chadi Riad D
8 Jefferson Lerma Jefferson Lerma M
22 Jørgen Strand Larsen Jørgen Strand Larsen 20' F 6.50
19 Will Hughes Will Hughes M
10 Yéremy Pino Yéremy Pino 31' M 6.20
Best on the pitch
G · Liverpool
8.20
· 35 pass
A. Robertson
D · Liverpool
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 44 pass
Ibrahima Konaté
D · Liverpool
7.90
· 61 pass
Alexis Mac Allister
M · Liverpool
7.30
2 👟
1 shots · 50 pass
Brennan Johnson
Brennan Johnson
F · Crystal
7.30
1 shots · 18 pass
F. Wirtz
F. Wirtz
M · Liverpool
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 36 pass
Liverpool Liverpool — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.20 35 20%
A. Robertson D 87 8.20 1 1 44 37%
V. van Dijk D 90 6.90 51 48%
Ibrahima Konaté D 90 7.90 61 58%
C. Jones D 87 6.90 1 63 53% 3
Alexis Mac Allister M 90 7.30 2 1 50 41% 2
D. Szoboszlai M 90 6.90 50 44% 2 1
C. Gakpo M 90 6.90 24 15%
F. Wirtz M 90 7.30 1 1 36 28%
Mohamed Salah M 59 6.20 1 18 14%
A. Isak F 79 7.20 1 1 11 6%
J. Frimpong D 31 6.70 9 7% 1
J. Gomez D 11 6.90 1 1
Miloš Kerkez D 11 6.90 2 1%
R. Gravenberch M 11 6.50 4 3%
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dean Henderson G 90 6.20 29 18% 1
Jaydee Canvot D 90 6.70 62 58% 3
Maxence Lacroix D 90 6.30 2 53 48% 1
Chris Richards D 90 5.70 1 45 38%
Tyrick Mitchell M 45 6.30 21 14%
Adam Wharton M 90 6.90 35 25%
Daichi Kamada M 90 7.30 57 50% 4
Daniel Muñoz M 90 6.90 1 2 25 21% 2 1
Brennan Johnson F 59 7.30 1 18 11% 2
Ismaïla Sarr F 90 6.90 2 17 13%
Jean Philippe Mateta F 70 6.20 2 7 6%
B. Sosa D 45 6.20 1 17 14% 1
Jørgen Strand Larsen F 20 6.50 1 1 1%
Yéremy Pino M 31 6.20 1 13 10% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
The final score was Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace.
What did the model predict before Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Liverpool win, 23% to a draw, and 17% to an Crystal Palace win.